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Niko Kovač
Borussia Dortmund
Hamburger SV
Borussia Dortmund
3-4-3 · 3-4-2-1
Hamburger SV
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
2037862 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
95.1%
-3.9 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
2.7%
+2.6 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
2.2%
+2.1 vs price
Half time
2927 EUR
Home
1.8 · implied 55.6%
65.1%
+9.5 vs price
Draw
3.1 · implied 32.3%
25.9%
-6.3 vs price
Away
7.8 · implied 12.8%
9.0%
-3.8 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
644420 EUR · live
Under
1.09 · implied 91.7%
81.1%
-10.7 vs price
Over
11.0 · implied 9.1%
18.9%
+9.8 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
3183 EUR
Under
1.25 · implied 80.0%
89.4%
+9.3 vs price
Over
5.0 · implied 20.0%
10.7%
-9.3 vs price
17 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
9'
⚽
S. Guirassy · assist K. Karetsas1–0
21'
A. Sambi Lokonga · Foul
Half-time · 2–0
45'+1
⚽
S. Bornauw2–0
54'
🔁
M. Sabitzer ◂ G. Konstantelias
58'
J. Ryerson · Foul
67'
🔁
O. Stange ◂ M. Adeline
67'
🔁
T. Moffi ◂ P. Daka
74'
🔁
S. Inacio ◂ K. Karetsas
74'
🔁
J. Veerman ◂ F. Nmecha
74'
🔁
F. Mané ◂ J. Ryerson
77'
S. Inacio · Foul
82'
🔁
Y. Poulsen ◂ B. Jatta
82'
🔁
B. Nadir ◂ J. Torunarigha
84'
🔁
K. Prates ◂ M. Beier
85'
D. Svensson · Foul
89'
🔁
R. Philippe ◂ L. Lemke
Full-time · 2–0
Coaches
Niko KovačMerlin Polzin 
Recent form
Borussia DortmundDHAS Roma2-2
WAFC Tokyo1-0
LACerezo Osaka0-1
LAFortuna Düsseldorf1-2
WASC Rot-Weiß Oberhausen3-1
Hamburger SVWASC Verl3-0
WAToulouse2-1
DHLille2-2
LHEverton1-2
WH1. FC Heidenheim3-1
Where to watch
beIN SPORTS 2
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Viaplay
MBC Action
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DAZNMovistar+Prime Video
beIN SPORTS 2
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Viaplay
Sport Klub 1 HR
NOW TV UKSky Go UKSky Sports Football
MBC Action
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MBC Action
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Viaplay
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Match facts
Stadium
Signal Iduna Park
City
Dortmund
Kickoff
29 Aug, 16:30 UTC
Competition
Bundesliga
Highlights & clips
Borussia Dortmund
3-4-3 · 3-4-2-1
Hamburger SV
1
G. Kobel
7.2
22
J. Gadou
7.3
3
W. Anton
7.5
24
D. Svensson
7.7
39
F. Mané
6.6
↑ 74'
7
J. Bellingham
7.2
40
S. Inacio
4.5
↑ 74'
36
K. Prates
6.9
↑ 84'
25
J. Veerman
6.5
↑ 74'
9
S. Guirassy
8.0
20
M. Sabitzer
6.7
↑ 54'
1
D. Fernandes
8.4
24
N. Capaldo
6.0
33
S. Bornauw
5.3
4
B. Nadir
6.5
↑ 82'
15
Y. Poulsen
6.6
↑ 82'
6
A. Sambi Lokonga
6.9
21
N. Remberg
6.8
14
R. Philippe
↑ 89'
19
O. Stange
6.4
↑ 67'
11
A. Grønbæk
6.8
9
T. Moffi
6.4
↑ 67'
Substitutes
33GA. Meyer
49DL. Reggiani
19MK. Karetsas↓ 74'8.0
26MJ. Ryerson↓ 74'7.2
8MF. Nmecha↓ 74'6.9
45MG. Konstantelias↓ 54'6.8
14FM. Beier↓ 84'7.0
41FM. Albert
21FF. Silva
Coach: Niko Kovač
Substitutes
12GS. Tangvik
37DL. Lemke↓ 89'6.0
23DJ. Torunarigha↓ 82'5.9
43DS. Nandja
8DD. Elfadli
5MM. Adeline↓ 67'6.6
18MB. Jatta↓ 82'6.6
22MK. J. Amoako
27FP. Daka↓ 67'6.4
Coach: Merlin Polzin
Top stats
56%Possession44%
1.53Expected goals (xG)0.91
20Total shots8
6Shots on target3
0Big chances2
3Corners1
Shots
10Shots off target5
4Blocked shots0
12Shots inside box4
8Shots outside box4
0Hit woodwork1
0Big chances missed2
0.17Goals prevented-0.33
Attack
33Touches in box17
74Final third entries42
1Offsides1
19Free kicks13
3Fouled in final third2
Passing
538Passes419
472Accurate passes339
22/40 (55%)Long balls16/44 (36%)
4/14 (29%)Crosses4/13 (31%)
20Throw-ins23
Duels
58Duels42
42/73 (58%)Ground duels31/73 (42%)
11/18 (61%)Aerial duels7/18 (39%)
9/18 (50%)Dribbles6/13 (46%)
4Dispossessed7
Defending
14Tackles13
71Tackles won54
13Interceptions13
18Clearances16
42Recoveries40
Discipline
13Fouls19
2Yellow cards1
1Red cards0
Goalkeeping
3Saves5
2Big saves2
6Goal kicks17
1Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 73 bookmakers
1X2Dortmund to win 72% · 1.65 @ 888Sport
Who winsDortmund to win (DNB) 85% · 1.19 @ forbet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 64% · 3.40 @ 888Sport
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 83% · 1.75 @ 888Sport
CornersOver 8.5 corners 61% · 1.53 @ Unibet
BTTSBoth teams to score 53% · 3.40 @ William Hill
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 63% · 1.70 @ 10bet
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 51% · 2.05 @ 10bet
1X2Draw 17% · 3.40 @ Unibet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 58% · 1.72 @ 1xBet
1X2HSV to win 11% · 7.30 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.33
Borussia Dortmund
5.33
Draw ▼
8.12
Hamburger SV ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.07
Borussia Dortmund or Draw
1.14
Borussia Dortmund or Hamburger SV ▼
3.13
Draw or Hamburger SV ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.82
Yes
1.91
No ▲
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
2.15
YES
1.62
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
8.50
YES
1.04
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
2.35
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
16.00
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
19.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.15
Over 1.50
4.94
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.51
Over 2.50
2.44
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.30
Over 3.50
1.58
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
3.77
Over 4.50
1.25
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.10
Borussia Dortmund
6.08
Hamburger SV ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.25
Over 7.50
3.15
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.48
Over 8.50
2.40
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.75
Over 9.50
1.98
Under 9.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Borussia Dortmund to win or draw
✓
89% confidence
Borussia Dortmund to avoid defeat
✓
85% confidence
Over 1.5 goals
✓
83% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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