RB Leipzig vs Borussia M'gladbach — live & stats

Where the money is

2194691 EUR matched · captured 2 weeks, 6 days ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 787222 EUR · live

Home 1.01 · implied 99.0%

88.5%

-10.5 vs price

Away 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

7.0%

+6.9 vs price

Draw 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

4.6%

+4.5 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 193369 EUR · live

Over 1.29 · implied 77.5%

51.8%

-25.7 vs price

Under 4.6 · implied 21.7%

48.2%

+26.5 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 415 EUR

Under 1.23 · implied 81.3%

88.2%

+6.9 vs price

Over 5.1 · implied 19.6%

11.6%

-8.0 vs price

12 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

25' ⚽ R. Baku · assist T. Gomis1–0

Half-time · 1–0

49' ⚽ A. Nusa · assist T. Gomis2–0

64' 🔁 C. Nkunku ◂ T. Gomis

64' 🔁 D. Herold ◂ W. Mohya

64' 🔁 M. Nguefack ◂ L. Ullrich

64' 🔁 F. Honorat ◂ K. Stöger

64' 🔁 I. Lidberg ◂ R. Hack

66' ⚽ R. Reitz · assist C. Nkunku3–0

72' A. Nusa · Foul

73' 🔁 B. Henrichs ◂ R. Baku

73' 🔁 J. Bakayoko ◂ B. Gruda

76' 🔁 J. Scally ◂ D. Hashioka

83' 🔁 C. Harder ◂ E. Banzuzi

83' 🔁 A. Vermeeren ◂ R. Reitz

Full-time · 3–0

90'⁺⁶ VAR Goal not given after review · H. Bolin

Coaches

Martín Demichelis

Eugen Polanski

Recent form

RB Leipzig

WAEintracht Trier6-0

LALeeds United0-2

WHSC Verl4-0

WHFC Ingolstadt 041-0

WAVSG Altglienicke2-1

Borussia M'gladbach

WATSV Schott Mainz5-0

WHAston Villa2-1

WASSVg Velbert8-0

WATSG Hoffenheim4-1

WAFC Hansa Rostock3-1

Where to watch

beIN Sports 3

Match facts

Stadium

Red Bull Arena

City

Leipzig

Referee

Sven Jablonski

3.31 yellows/match · 42 matches

Kickoff

29 Aug, 13:30 UTC

Competition

Bundesliga

Highlights & clips

RB Leipzig 4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1 Borussia M'gladbach

26 M. Vandevoordt 8.1 39 B. Henrichs 6.8 ↑ 73' 4 W. Orbán 7.9 23 C. Lukeba 8.0 22 D. Raum 7.7 48 A. Vermeeren 6.5 ↑ 83' 13 N. Seiwald 7.0 9 C. Harder 6.5 ↑ 83' 11 J. Bakayoko 6.3 ↑ 73' 28 C. Nkunku 7.1 ↑ 64' 7 A. Nusa 8.3 1 M. Nicolas 8.7 29 J. Scally 6.6 ↑ 76' 6 K. Itakura 6.1 4 K. Diks 6.2 20 D. Herold 6.6 ↑ 64' 16 P. Sander 6.8 34 M. Nguefack 6.8 ↑ 64' 38 H. Bolin 6.9 9 F. Honorat 6.8 ↑ 64' 3 I. Lidberg 6.6 ↑ 64' 11 T. Kleindienst 6.4

Substitutes

25GL. Zingerle 17DR. Baku↓ 73'8.2 35DM. Finkgräfe 3DM. Estève 10MB. Gruda↓ 73'8.8 20MR. Reitz↓ 83'8.0 6ME. Banzuzi↓ 83'6.9 30MA. Maksimović 27FT. Gomis↓ 64'6.6

Coach: Martín Demichelis

Substitutes

33GD. Batz 26DL. Ullrich↓ 64'6.3 14DD. Hashioka↓ 76'5.8 5DJ. Leszczyński 36MW. Mohya↓ 64'6.5 7MK. Stöger↓ 64'6.4 25MR. Hack↓ 64'6.2 8ME. Leopold 18FS. Machino

Coach: Eugen Polanski

Top stats

47%Possession53%

3.96Expected goals (xG)1.09

25Total shots15

11Shots on target4

6Big chances2

7Corners6

Shots

10Shots off target5

4Blocked shots6

19Shots inside box10

6Shots outside box5

1Hit woodwork1

2Big chances scored1

4Big chances missed2

0.66Goals prevented0.83

Attack

38Touches in box27

45Final third entries40

0Offsides5

13Free kicks10

2Fouled in final third1

Passing

427Passes475

358Accurate passes411

27/53 (51%)Long balls19/46 (41%)

8/15 (53%)Crosses6/21 (29%)

21Throw-ins16

Duels

51Duels49

34/67 (51%)Ground duels33/67 (49%)

7/14 (50%)Aerial duels7/14 (50%)

8/23 (35%)Dribbles3/12 (25%)

5Dispossessed4

Defending

13Tackles20

46Tackles won50

8Interceptions4

32Clearances20

47Recoveries52

Discipline

10Fouls13

1Yellow cards0

Goalkeeping

4Saves8

0Big saves2

10Goal kicks7

1Punches0

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 73 bookmakers

Leipzig 60%

21%

M'gladbach 19%

1X2Leipzig to win 60% · 1.87 @ forbet

Who winsLeipzig to win (DNB) 76% · 1.33 @ forbet

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 64% · 3.30 @ 888Sport

BTTSBoth teams to score 60% · 2.80 @ William Hill

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 83% · 1.75 @ 1xBet

CornersOver 8.5 corners 57% · 1.42 @ Unibet

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 66% · 1.64 @ Unibet

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 54% · 2.02 @ Pinnacle

1X2Draw 21% · 3.30 @ betcity

1X2M'gladbach to win 19% · 5.25 @ Interwetten

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 58% · 1.74 @ bet9ja

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

1.54

RB Leipzig ▲

4.49

Draw ▲

5.24

Borussia M'gladbach ▼

Double Chanceconsensus

1.15

RB Leipzig or Draw

1.19

RB Leipzig or Borussia M'gladbach

2.38

Draw or Borussia M'gladbach ▼

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.53

Yes

2.36

No ▼

Home Clean Sheetconsensus

2.80

YES

1.38

NO

Away Clean Sheetconsensus

7.00

YES

1.06

NO

Home Win to Nilconsensus

3.10

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

11.00

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.02

Over 0.50

19.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.12

Over 1.50

5.46

Under 1.50 ▼

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.44

Over 2.50

2.65

Under 2.50 ▼

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.12

Over 3.50 ▲

1.68

Under 3.50 ▼

Total Goals 4.50consensus

3.73

Over 4.50

1.25

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.21

RB Leipzig

3.94

Borussia M'gladbach

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.22

Over 7.50

3.40

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.42

Over 8.50

2.54

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.75

Over 9.50

1.99

Under 9.50

Full odds via API →

Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.

Over 1.5 goals

✓

83% confidence

RB Leipzig to win or draw

✓

81% confidence

A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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