SC Freiburg vs SV Werder Bremen — live & stats

Where the money is

1371286 EUR matched · captured 2 weeks, 2 days ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 938388 EUR · live

Home 1.01 · implied 99.0%

87.7%

-11.3 vs price

Draw 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

7.3%

+7.2 vs price

Away 660.0 · implied 0.2%

5.0%

+4.9 vs price

Half time 20810 EUR · live

Home 1.01 · implied 99.0%

83.3%

-15.7 vs price

Draw 28.0 · implied 3.6%

9.2%

+5.6 vs price

Away 150.0 · implied 0.7%

7.5%

+6.8 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 84770 EUR · live

Over 1.27 · implied 78.7%

54.7%

-24.1 vs price

Under 4.8 · implied 20.8%

45.3%

+24.5 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 26969 EUR · live

Under 1.01 · implied 99.0%

94.9%

-4.1 vs price

Over 27.0 · implied 3.7%

5.1%

+1.4 vs price

14 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 2 clips

Player of the match

Match events

29' ⚽ Y. Suzuki · assist J. Beste1–0

Half-time · 2–0

45' ⚽ I. Matanović · assist M. Ginter2–0

46' 🔁 D. Stalmach ◂ S. Lynen

46' 🔁 C. Irié ◂ J. Beste

48' L. Reis · Foul

48' ⚽ Y. Suzuki3–0

55' ⚽ Y. Suzuki · assist I. Matanović4–0

61' 🔁 C. Itten ◂ N. Füllkrug

61' 🔁 S. Musah ◂ J. Njinmah

69' 🔁 P. Treu ◂ L. Kübler

69' 🔁 M. Rosenfelder ◂ P. Lienhart

73' 🔁 L. Höler ◂ I. Matanović

76' ⚽ D. Stalmach · assist M. Grüll4–1

80' 🔁 K. Goto ◂ Y. Suzuki

85' 🔁 E. Dinkçi ◂ L. Reis

85' 🔁 P. Čović ◂ M. Grüll

88' K. Goto · Foul

Full-time · 4–1

Coaches

Julian Schuster

Daniel Thioune

Recent form

SC Freiburg

WHMotherwell4-1

WAFortuna Düsseldorf5-1

WAMotherwell3-1

WHCrystal Palace3-0

WHRC Strasbourg2-0

SV Werder Bremen

WHSV Meppen3-1

WALSK Hansa Lüneburg3-0

LHAuxerre0-1

DHSC Paderborn 072-2

WAEnergie Cottbus4-2

Where to watch

beIN SPORTS 2

Match facts

Stadium

Europa-Park-Stadion

City

Freiburg im Breisgau

Referee

Daniel Siebert

4.58 yellows/match · 45 matches

Kickoff

30 Aug, 13:30 UTC

Competition

Bundesliga

Highlights & clips

SC Freiburg 4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3 SV Werder Bremen

1 M. Backhaus 5.8 29 P. Treu 6.4 ↑ 69' 28 M. Ginter 7.5 37 M. Rosenfelder 6.3 ↑ 69' 33 J. Makengo 6.8 8 M. Eggestein 6.9 16 Y. Engelhardt 6.1 22 C. Irié 6.6 ↑ 46' 42 K. Goto 6.4 ↑ 80' 7 D. Scherhant 7.1 9 L. Höler 6.6 ↑ 73' 1 K. Hein 6.0 33 M. Schmetgens 5.8 5 A. Pieper 6.6 32 M. Friedl 6.1 2 O. Deman 5.9 20 Chuky 6.2 23 D. Stalmach 8.0 ↑ 46' 24 P. Čović 6.5 ↑ 85' 29 S. Musah 6.5 ↑ 61' 26 C. Itten 6.4 ↑ 61' 18 E. Dinkçi 6.5 ↑ 85'

Substitutes

21GF. Müller 17DL. Kübler↓ 69'7.8 3DP. Lienhart↓ 69'7.8 27DB. Yılmaz 30DC. Günter 14MY. Suzuki↓ 80'9.4 19MJ. Beste↓ 46'7.2 32MV. Grifo 31FI. Matanović↓ 73'9.2

Coach: Julian Schuster

Substitutes

30GA. Schlager 22DJ. Malatini 15ML. Reis↓ 85'6.8 14MS. Lynen↓ 46'6.5 7MS. Mbangula 17FM. Grüll↓ 85'7.9 11FJ. Njinmah↓ 61'6.9 10FN. Füllkrug↓ 61'6.2 38FP. Erevbenagie

Coach: Daniel Thioune

Top stats

53%Possession47%

1.94Expected goals (xG)0.48

19Total shots9

5Shots on target3

3Big chances2

6Corners5

Shots

7Shots off target1

7Blocked shots5

8Shots inside box6

11Shots outside box3

1Hit woodwork0

3Big chances scored1

0Big chances missed1

-0.8Goals prevented-0.94

Attack

25Touches in box11

61Final third entries45

0Offsides1

16Free kicks13

3Fouled in final third3

Passing

488Passes429

436Accurate passes371

26/35 (74%)Long balls28/46 (61%)

2/16 (13%)Crosses5/24 (21%)

19Throw-ins9

Duels

43Duels57

34/78 (44%)Ground duels44/78 (56%)

9/21 (43%)Aerial duels12/21 (57%)

9/26 (35%)Dribbles4/8 (50%)

11Dispossessed5

Defending

9Tackles28

56Tackles won54

7Interceptions3

23Clearances32

41Recoveries48

Discipline

13Fouls16

1Yellow cards1

Goalkeeping

2Saves1

3Goal kicks5

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 74 bookmakers

Freiburg 49%

26%

Bremen 25%

BTTSBoth teams to score 57% · 3.00 @ Bet365

1X2Freiburg to win 49% · 2.45 @ Interwetten

Who winsFreiburg to win (DNB) 63% · 1.59 @ hardrock

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 55% · 4.20 @ 888Sport

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 77% · 2.00 @ 888Sport

1X2Draw 26% · 2.80 @ betcity

CornersOver 8.5 corners 58% · 1.57 @ Pinnacle

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 66% · 1.53 @ Unibet

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 54% · 1.86 @ Unibet

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 66% · 1.45 @ Pinnacle

1X2Bremen to win 25% · 3.90 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

2.02

SC Freiburg ▼

3.55

Draw ▲

3.50

SV Werder Bremen ▲

Double Chanceconsensus

1.29

SC Freiburg or Draw

1.28

SC Freiburg or SV Werder Bremen

1.76

Draw or SV Werder Bremen ▲

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.61

Yes ▲

2.19

No ▼

Home Clean Sheetconsensus

2.88

YES

1.36

NO

Away Clean Sheetconsensus

4.75

YES

1.15

NO

Home Win to Nilconsensus

3.60

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

6.75

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.03

Over 0.50

12.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.22

Over 1.50 ▲

3.98

Under 1.50 ▼

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.73

Over 2.50 ▲

2.06

Under 2.50 ▼

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.76

Over 3.50 ▲

1.41

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

5.01

Over 4.50

1.14

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.48

SC Freiburg

2.50

SV Werder Bremen

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.27

Over 7.50

3.04

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.51

Over 8.50

2.32

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.92

Over 9.50

1.83

Under 9.50

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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