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Vincent Wagner
SV 07 Elversberg
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
SV 07 Elversberg
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
1672779 EUR · live
Home
1.02 · implied 98.0%
85.3%
-12.7 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
10.6%
+10.5 vs price
Draw
34.0 · implied 2.9%
4.1%
+1.1 vs price
Half time
1049 EUR
Away
2.14 · implied 46.7%
88.0%
+41.2 vs price
Home
5.5 · implied 18.2%
7.5%
-10.7 vs price
Draw
2.86 · implied 35.0%
4.4%
-30.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
92694 EUR · live
Over
1.13 · implied 88.5%
60.8%
-27.7 vs price
Under
8.6 · implied 11.6%
39.2%
+27.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
917 EUR
Under
1.22 · implied 82.0%
82.4%
+0.4 vs price
Over
5.1 · implied 19.6%
17.5%
-2.1 vs price
14 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
8'
⚽
L. Petkov · assist F. Onyeka1–0
9'
⚽
C. Campbell2–0
29'
M. Rohr · Foul
41'
C. Campbell · Foul
Half-time · 2–0
46'
⚽
D. Mokwa · assist L. Petkov3–0
53'
I. Maza · Foul
55'
🔁
C. Kofane ◂ L. Vázquez
55'
🔁
F. Medina ◂ E. Fernández
55'
🔁
J. Quansah ◂ L. Badé
65'
🔁
J. Hofmann ◂ M. Tillman
65'
🔁
M. Krattenmacher ◂ C. Campbell
65'
🔁
N. Darvich ◂ F. Onyeka
75'
🔁
L. Sirch ◂ J. Gyamerah
75'
🔁
L. Schnellbacher ◂ D. Mokwa
77'
⚽
P. Schick · assist I. Maza3–1
78'
F. Medina · Foul
82'
🔁
F. Le Joncour ◂ M. Rohr
85'
🔁
V. O. Boniface ◂ A. Moreira
89'
N. Kristof · Time wasting
Full-time · 3–2
90'+1
⚽
C. Kofane3–2
Coaches
Carles Martínez 
Recent form
WAMSV Duisburg3-1
WHLorient4-1
DAMallorca1-1
WARC Strasbourg5-2
WANEC Nijmegen1-0
WASV Wehen Wiesbaden4-0
WANewcastle United2-1
LANottingham Forest1-2
WHSevilla2-1
WHRot-Weiss Essen3-0
Where to watch
Disney+ Premium Argentina
Prime Video
Arena Sport 1 SRB
Prime Video
Diema Sport 3 HD
Disney+ Premium Chile
OneFootballPrime VideoYouTube - CazéTV
Sky Bundesliga HD 5
Disney+ Premium Chile
DAZNSky Bundesliga 4Sky Bundesliga 5Sky Bundesliga HD 5WOW
Viaplay
Prime Video
Viaplay
Viaplay
Disney+ Premium Chile
Eleven Sports 2 HD
Disney+ Premium Argentina
Viaplay
FandangoPeacockPrime Video
Disney+ Premium Argentina
Match facts
Stadium
Ursapharm-Arena an der Kaiserlinde
City
Spiesen-Elversberg
Kickoff
29 Aug, 13:30 UTC
Competition
Bundesliga
Highlights & clips
20
N. Kristof
7.3
26
L. Sirch
6.0
↑ 75'
19
L. Pinckert
6.7
3
F. Le Joncour
6.3
↑ 82'
21
L. Günther
6.7
43
F. Keidel
6.6
8
Ł. Poręba
6.8
25
L. Petkov
8.2
7
M. Krattenmacher
6.3
↑ 65'
10
N. Darvich
6.3
↑ 65'
24
L. Schnellbacher
6.4
↑ 75'
1
M. Flekken
5.9
4
J. Quansah
7.1
↑ 55'
2
F. Medina
6.9
↑ 55'
12
E. Tapsoba
5.8
3
M. Gutiérrez
6.8
35
C. Kofane
6.7
↑ 55'
24
A. García
7.0
30
I. Maza
7.1
7
J. Hofmann
6.7
↑ 65'
22
V. O. Boniface
6.4
↑ 85'
14
P. Schick
6.4
Substitutes
28GT. Boss
30DJ. Gyamerah↓ 75'7.3
31DM. Rohr↓ 82'6.4
2DN. Mickelson
40MF. Onyeka↓ 65'7.0
6MA. Condé
39FC. Campbell↓ 65'7.8
42FD. Mokwa↓ 75'7.5
9FN. Futkeu
Coach: Vincent Wagner
Substitutes
28GJ. Blaswich
5DL. Badé↓ 55'6.5
44DJ. Belocian
8DR. Andrich
10MM. Tillman↓ 65'6.9
6ME. Fernández↓ 55'6.7
17ML. Vázquez↓ 55'5.7
13MArthur
9FA. Moreira↓ 85'6.2
Coach: Carles Martínez
Top stats
33%Possession67%
1.27Expected goals (xG)1.88
11Total shots21
6Shots on target4
2Big chances6
4Corners3
Shots
3Shots off target13
2Blocked shots4
8Shots inside box13
3Shots outside box8
0Hit woodwork2
1Big chances scored2
1Big chances missed4
0.01Goals prevented-0.82
Attack
19Touches in box40
36Final third entries73
1Offsides1
15Free kicks18
0Fouled in final third3
Passing
293Passes582
212Accurate passes511
15/50 (30%)Long balls14/39 (36%)
3/12 (25%)Crosses11/38 (29%)
17Throw-ins17
Duels
48Duels52
31/66 (47%)Ground duels35/66 (53%)
11/22 (50%)Aerial duels11/22 (50%)
5/12 (42%)Dribbles5/11 (45%)
6Dispossessed6
Defending
12Tackles13
67Tackles won62
11Interceptions11
32Clearances14
49Recoveries58
Discipline
18Fouls15
3Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
2Saves3
1Big saves0
19Goal kicks4
1Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 73 bookmakers
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 65% · 3.30 @ 888Sport
Who winsLeverkusen to win (DNB) 76% · 1.33 @ forbet
1X2Leverkusen to win 60% · 1.90 @ 10bet
BTTSBoth teams to score 61% · 2.80 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 84% · 1.75 @ 888Sport
1X2Draw 21% · 3.10 @ fanatics
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 56% · 1.05 @ fanatics
1X2Elversberg to win 19% · 5.00 @ midnite
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
5.05
SV 07 Elversberg ▲
4.53
Draw ▲
1.55
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Double Chanceconsensus
2.36
SV 07 Elversberg or Draw ▲
1.19
SV 07 Elversberg or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1.16
Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.55
Yes
2.32
No ▼
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
2.88
YES
1.36
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
10.50
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
3.17
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
19.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.13
Over 1.50
5.36
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.46
Over 2.50
2.59
Under 2.50 ▲
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.16
Over 3.50 ▼
1.65
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
3.62
Over 4.50
1.27
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
3.83
SV 07 Elversberg
1.22
Bayer 04 Leverkusen ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.23
Over 7.50
3.29
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.46
Over 8.50
2.42
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.81
Over 9.50
1.90
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.25
Over 10.50
1.56
Under 10.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Over 1.5 goals
✓
84% confidence
Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win or draw
✗
81% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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