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Daniel Thioune
SV Werder Bremen
RB Leipzig
SV Werder Bremen
4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3
RB Leipzig
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
1616676 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
74.0%
-25.0 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
21.2%
+21.1 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
4.8%
+4.7 vs price
Half time
17658 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
81.0%
-18.0 vs price
Away
150.0 · implied 0.7%
14.1%
+13.5 vs price
Draw
18.0 · implied 5.6%
4.9%
-0.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
158595 EUR · live
Over
1.93 · implied 51.8%
66.4%
+14.6 vs price
Under
2.08 · implied 48.1%
33.6%
-14.4 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
19845 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
88.3%
-10.7 vs price
Over
36.0 · implied 2.8%
11.7%
+8.9 vs price
15 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
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Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
4'
⚽
E. Dinkçi · assist Chuky1–0
23'
Chuky · Foul
24'
VAR
Penalty not given after review · C. Nkunku
Half-time · 1–0
63'
🔁
T. Gomis ◂ J. Bakayoko
67'
🔁
P. Erevbenagie ◂ E. Dinkçi
67'
🔁
M. Schmetgens ◂ Arthur
68'
⚽
N. Füllkrug · assist M. Grüll2–0
74'
🔁
C. Itten ◂ N. Füllkrug
75'
🔁
M. Guiu ◂ N. El Aynaoui
80'
⚽
M. Grüll3–0
83'
🔁
S. Musah ◂ Chuky
83'
🔁
D. Stalmach ◂ Y. Regeer
84'
🔁
S. Konaté ◂ A. Nusa
84'
🔁
A. Maksimović ◂ C. Nkunku
Full-time · 3–1
90'+5
⚽
R. Baku · assist A. Maksimović3–1
Coaches
Martín Demichelis 
Recent form
LASC Freiburg1-4
WHSV Meppen3-1
WALSK Hansa Lüneburg3-0
LHAuxerre0-1
DHSC Paderborn 072-2
WHBorussia M'gladbach3-0
WAEintracht Trier6-0
LALeeds United0-2
WHSC Verl4-0
WHFC Ingolstadt 041-0
Where to watch
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Match facts
Stadium
Weserstadion
City
Bremen
Kickoff
05 Sep, 13:30 UTC
Competition
Bundesliga
Highlights & clips
1
K. Hein
7.9
33
M. Schmetgens
6.4
↑ 67'
5
A. Pieper
7.8
32
M. Friedl
6.7
2
O. Deman
7.9
15
L. Reis
7.2
23
D. Stalmach
6.4
↑ 83'
38
P. Erevbenagie
6.7
↑ 67'
29
S. Musah
6.3
↑ 83'
17
M. Grüll
8.8
26
C. Itten
6.4
↑ 74'
26
M. Vandevoordt
5.9
17
R. Baku
7.3
4
W. Orbán
6.9
3
M. Estève
7.1
22
D. Raum
6.1
9
M. Guiu
6.4
↑ 75'
13
N. Seiwald
6.5
6
E. Banzuzi
6.0
27
T. Gomis
6.3
↑ 63'
30
A. Maksimović
7.2
↑ 84'
45
S. Konaté
6.1
↑ 84'
Substitutes
30GA. Schlager
16DM. Ndiaye
3DO. Wojcik
4DN. Stark
44MY. Regeer↓ 83'7.2
13MArthur↓ 67'7.1
20MChuky↓ 83'7.1
10FN. Füllkrug↓ 74'7.7
18FE. Dinkçi↓ 67'7.2
Coach: Daniel Thioune
Substitutes
1GØ. Nyland
2DA. Koné
35DM. Finkgräfe
16DL. Klostermann
39DB. Henrichs
21MN. El Aynaoui↓ 75'6.3
7FA. Nusa↓ 84'6.8
28FC. Nkunku↓ 84'6.6
11FJ. Bakayoko↓ 63'6.3
Coach: Martín Demichelis
Top stats
29%Possession71%
0.95Expected goals (xG)1.5
12Total shots19
7Shots on target5
1Big chances2
2Corners7
Shots
3Shots off target7
2Blocked shots7
5Shots inside box14
7Shots outside box5
1Hit woodwork1
1Big chances scored1
0Big chances missed1
-0.26Goals prevented-1.27
Attack
13Touches in box39
35Final third entries95
4Offsides1
8Free kicks13
1Fouled in final third3
Passing
287Passes691
208Accurate passes612
22/50 (44%)Long balls14/31 (45%)
1/10 (10%)Crosses7/35 (20%)
14Throw-ins35
Duels
56Duels44
49/81 (60%)Ground duels32/81 (40%)
8/21 (38%)Aerial duels13/21 (62%)
4/8 (50%)Dribbles11/34 (32%)
4Dispossessed14
Defending
37Tackles8
54Tackles won63
18Interceptions6
33Clearances20
47Recoveries46
Discipline
13Fouls8
1Yellow cards0
Goalkeeping
3Saves4
12Goal kicks4
1Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
1X2Leipzig to win 53% · 2.15 @ William Hill
Who winsLeipzig to win (DNB) 62% · 1.38 @ Betano
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 64% · 3.30 @ William Hill
BTTSBoth teams to score 64% · 2.62 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 83% · 1.73 @ William Hill
CornersOver 9.5 corners 50% · 1.91 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 62% · 1.51 @ Pinnacle
1X2Draw 23% · 3.00 @ Unibet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 61% · 1.70 @ 10bet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 59% · 1.75 @ 1xBet
1X2Bremen to win 23% · 4.00 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
4.03
SV Werder Bremen
4.10
Draw
1.77
RB Leipzig
Double Chanceconsensus
2.02
SV Werder Bremen or Draw
1.21
SV Werder Bremen or RB Leipzig
1.22
Draw or RB Leipzig
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.44
Yes
2.65
No
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
5.75
YES
1.10
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
3.20
YES
1.30
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
8.75
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
3.85
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
19.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.13
Over 1.50
5.42
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.48
Over 2.50
2.62
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.22
Over 3.50
1.66
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
3.67
Over 4.50
1.25
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
3.00
SV Werder Bremen
1.35
RB Leipzig
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.23
Over 7.50
3.36
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.46
Over 8.50
2.47
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.83
Over 9.50
1.91
Under 9.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Over 1.5 goals
✓
83% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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