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Christian Ilzer
TSG Hoffenheim
Borussia Dortmund
TSG Hoffenheim
4-4-2 · 3-4-2-1
Borussia Dortmund
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
1172698 EUR · live
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
44.3%
+44.2 vs price
Away
1.06 · implied 94.3%
43.2%
-51.2 vs price
Draw
22.0 · implied 4.5%
12.5%
+8.0 vs price
Half time
10316 EUR · live
Draw
32.0 · implied 3.1%
39.3%
+36.2 vs price
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
38.3%
-60.7 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
22.4%
+22.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
150118 EUR · live
Over
1.3 · implied 76.9%
65.1%
-11.8 vs price
Under
4.3 · implied 23.3%
34.9%
+11.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
19720 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
96.6%
-2.4 vs price
Over
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
3.4%
+3.3 vs price
16 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 2 clips
Player of the match
Match events
32'
🔁
E. Nwaneri ◂ F. Mané
40'
O. Kabak · Foul
Half-time · 1–0
45'
⚽
L. Avdullahu · assist V. Coufal1–0
45'+2
A. Hajdari · Foul
46'
🔁
J. Veerman ◂ F. Nmecha
54'
⚽
T. Lemperle · assist A. Daghim2–0
61'
⚽
S. Guirassy · assist W. Anton2–1
62'
🔁
F. Silva ◂ K. Karetsas
63'
W. Burger · Argument
63'
🔁
L. Reggiani ◂ J. Gadou
66'
⚽
F. Silva · assist S. Guirassy2–2
73'
🔁
B. Conté ◂ P. Wimmer
73'
🔁
A. Kramarić ◂ A. Hložek
76'
L. Reggiani · Foul
78'
M. Beier · Time wasting
79'
🔁
N. D. Cat ◂ W. Burger
79'
🔁
R. Hranáč ◂ O. Kabak
80'
A. Kramarić · Foul
84'
🔁
M. Moerstedt ◂ T. Lemperle
86'
⚽
A. Hajdari2–3
87'
🔁
M. Sabitzer ◂ S. Guirassy
Full-time · 2–3
Coaches
Niko Kovač 
Recent form
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WHHamburger SV2-0
DHAS Roma2-2
WAFC Tokyo1-0
LACerezo Osaka0-1
Where to watch
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Match facts
Stadium
PreZero Arena
City
Sinsheim
Kickoff
05 Sep, 13:30 UTC
Competition
Bundesliga
Highlights & clips
1
O. Baumann
7.1
34
V. Coufal
6.6
2
R. Hranáč
6.3
↑ 79'
21
A. Hajdari
5.6
39
M. Rots
7.0
20
B. Conté
6.3
↑ 73'
7
L. Avdullahu
7.4
17
N. D. Cat
6.6
↑ 79'
14
A. Daghim
6.2
27
A. Kramarić
6.4
↑ 73'
9
M. Moerstedt
6.7
↑ 84'
1
G. Kobel
6.3
49
L. Reggiani
7.0
↑ 63'
3
W. Anton
7.6
18
E. Nwaneri
6.4
↑ 32'
26
J. Ryerson
8.1
7
J. Bellingham
7.1
25
J. Veerman
6.7
↑ 46'
24
D. Svensson
7.6
21
F. Silva
7.5
↑ 62'
14
M. Beier
7.1
20
M. Sabitzer
6.5
↑ 87'
Substitutes
37GL. Philipp
5DO. Kabak↓ 79'6.4
15DV. Gendrey
13DBernardo
18MW. Burger↓ 79'7.4
8MP. Wimmer↓ 73'6.1
32MC. Lenz
19FT. Lemperle↓ 84'6.8
10FA. Hložek↓ 73'6.7
Coach: Christian Ilzer
Top stats
60%Possession40%
1.17Expected goals (xG)2.02
18Total shots11
6Shots on target4
4Big chances4
10Corners3
Shots
7Shots off target2
5Blocked shots5
11Shots inside box10
7Shots outside box1
1Big chances scored2
3Big chances missed2
-1.01Goals prevented-0.85
Attack
36Touches in box21
75Final third entries35
1Offsides2
7Free kicks13
2Fouled in final third1
Passing
498Passes335
400Accurate passes253
25/61 (41%)Long balls20/50 (40%)
6/28 (21%)Crosses5/18 (28%)
28Throw-ins26
Duels
44Duels56
29/64 (45%)Ground duels35/64 (55%)
15/35 (43%)Aerial duels20/35 (57%)
4/14 (29%)Dribbles6/14 (43%)
6Dispossessed11
Defending
19Tackles16
68Tackles won56
8Interceptions16
21Clearances60
58Recoveries51
Discipline
13Fouls7
4Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
2Saves4
0Big saves1
4Goal kicks8
1Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 65% · 3.10 @ William Hill
Who winsDortmund to win (DNB) 57% · 1.90 @ Betsson
BTTSBoth teams to score 66% · 2.50 @ Bet365
1X2Dortmund to win 41% · 2.62 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 84% · 1.70 @ 1xBet
CornersOver 9.5 corners 51% · 1.83 @ Bet365
CornersOver 8.5 corners 63% · 1.40 @ Unibet
1X2Draw 25% · 2.95 @ Unibet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 60% · 1.66 @ Unibet
1X2Hoffenheim to win 34% · 2.90 @ 10bet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 56% · 1.78 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.80
TSG Hoffenheim
3.80
Draw
2.26
Borussia Dortmund
Double Chanceconsensus
1.62
TSG Hoffenheim or Draw
1.23
TSG Hoffenheim or Borussia Dortmund
1.42
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.40
Yes
2.80
No
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
5.00
YES
1.13
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
4.20
YES
1.18
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
6.25
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
5.25
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.01
Over 0.50
21.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.11
Over 1.50
5.80
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.44
Over 2.50
2.71
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.10
Over 3.50
1.72
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
3.52
Over 4.50
1.28
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.88
TSG Hoffenheim
1.83
Borussia Dortmund
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.20
Over 7.50
3.55
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.39
Over 8.50
2.64
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.70
Over 9.50
2.03
Under 9.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Over 1.5 goals
✓
84% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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