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Sebastian Hoeneß
VfB Stuttgart
1. FC Köln
VfB Stuttgart
3-4-2-1 · 4-3-3
1. FC Köln
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
1617611 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
91.7%
-7.3 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
5.3%
+5.2 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
2.9%
+2.8 vs price
Half time
34340 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
85.5%
-13.6 vs price
Draw
36.0 · implied 2.8%
8.8%
+6.0 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
5.8%
+5.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
398569 EUR · live
Under
2.48 · implied 40.3%
75.9%
+35.6 vs price
Over
1.69 · implied 59.2%
24.1%
-35.1 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
23382 EUR · live
Under
1.03 · implied 97.1%
91.7%
-5.4 vs price
Over
36.0 · implied 2.8%
8.3%
+5.5 vs price
17 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 2 clips
Player of the match
Match events
39'
⚽
B. E. Khannouss · assist J. Vagnoman1–0
41'
J. Simpson-Pusey · Foul
Half-time · 1–0
46'
🔁
M. Moore ◂ J. Thielmann
46'
🔁
E. Skhiri ◂ P. Okon-Engstler
51'
M. Mittelstädt · Foul
60'
⚽
G. Prömel · assist M. Mittelstädt2–0
70'
🔁
E. Demirović ◂ D. Undav
70'
🔁
J. Leweling ◂ C. Führich
75'
⚽
E. Demirović · assist F. Jeltsch3–0
75'
🔁
R. Heskey ◂ L. Maina
75'
🔁
M. Bülter ◂ R. Ache
78'
🔁
R. Hendriks ◂ M. Mittelstädt
78'
🔁
L. Sauer ◂ B. E. Khannouss
81'
⚽
M. Bülter3–1
85'
T. Krauß · Foul
86'
A. Castro-Montes · Foul
Full-time · 4–1
90'
⚽
J. Vagnoman4–1
90'
🔁
I. Rondić ◂ T. Krauß
90'+2
🔁
Y. Spalt ◂ A. Stiller
Coaches
René Wagner 
Recent form
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WAFC Würzburger Kickers2-1
WHReal Sociedad2-1
DHHertha BSC2-2
WASV Bergisch Gladbach 098-0
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Match facts
Stadium
MHP Arena
City
Stuttgart
Kickoff
04 Sep, 18:30 UTC
Competition
Bundesliga
Highlights & clips
1
F. Bredlow
7.6
29
F. Jeltsch
7.1
24
J. Chabot
7.8
3
R. Hendriks
6.6
↑ 78'
4
J. Vagnoman
8.1
21
G. Prömel
7.9
47
Y. Spalt
↑ 90'
18
J. Leweling
6.4
↑ 70'
9
E. Demirović
8.2
↑ 70'
44
L. Sauer
6.7
↑ 78'
17
D. Pejčinović
6.6
1
M. Schwäbe
6.4
17
A. Castro-Montes
6.6
22
J. Simpson-Pusey
6.0
24
L. Lochoshvili
5.7
14
G. Mensah
5.9
8
Í. B. Jóhannesson
6.7
15
I. Rondić
↑ 90'
6
E. Skhiri
7.0
↑ 46'
47
M. Moore
7.2
↑ 46'
11
R. Heskey
6.5
↑ 75'
30
M. Bülter
6.7
↑ 75'
Substitutes
33GM. Funk
7DM. Mittelstädt↓ 78'8.6
2DA. Al-Dakhil
20DL. Stergiou
11MB. E. Khannouss↓ 78'8.6
10MC. Führich↓ 70'7.5
6MA. Stiller↓ 90'6.8
16MA. Karazor
26FD. Undav↓ 70'6.7
Coach: Sebastian Hoeneß
Top stats
58%Possession42%
3.47Expected goals (xG)2.86
22Total shots18
8Shots on target5
7Big chances4
10Corners8
Shots
8Shots off target9
6Blocked shots4
15Shots inside box14
7Shots outside box4
2Hit woodwork0
2Big chances scored1
5Big chances missed3
1.02Goals prevented-1.35
Attack
38Touches in box23
57Final third entries37
1Offsides0
6Free kicks5
1Fouled in final third0
Passing
526Passes378
450Accurate passes316
26/44 (59%)Long balls23/57 (40%)
9/25 (36%)Crosses2/16 (13%)
25Throw-ins12
Duels
53Duels47
21/42 (50%)Ground duels21/42 (50%)
21/37 (57%)Aerial duels16/37 (43%)
3/8 (38%)Dribbles9/17 (53%)
3Dispossessed4
Defending
12Tackles8
75Tackles won88
7Interceptions10
23Clearances29
40Recoveries52
Discipline
5Fouls6
1Yellow cards3
Goalkeeping
3Saves4
0Big saves3
11Goal kicks8
1Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
1X2Stuttgart to win 63% · 1.80 @ Bet365
Who winsStuttgart to win (DNB) 80% · 1.20 @ Betano
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 69% · 2.81 @ 1xBet
BTTSBoth teams to score 63% · 2.62 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 86% · 1.60 @ 1xBet
CornersOver 9.5 corners 55% · 1.62 @ Unibet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 67% · 1.37 @ Unibet
1X2Draw 19% · 3.30 @ Unibet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 56% · 1.82 @ 1xBet
1X2Köln to win 17% · 4.75 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 51% · 2.00 @ Bet365
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.49
VfB Stuttgart
4.93
Draw
5.50
1. FC Köln
Double Chanceconsensus
1.15
VfB Stuttgart or Draw
1.17
VfB Stuttgart or 1. FC Köln
2.58
Draw or 1. FC Köln
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.44
Yes
2.60
No
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
3.00
YES
1.33
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
8.50
YES
1.04
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.25
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
12.00
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.01
Over 0.50
27.50
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.08
Over 1.50
7.00
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.36
Over 2.50
3.10
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
1.93
Over 3.50
1.90
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
3.00
Over 4.50
1.36
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.18
VfB Stuttgart
4.35
1. FC Köln
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.17
Over 7.50
3.83
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.33
Over 8.50
2.80
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.60
Over 9.50
2.21
Under 9.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Over 1.5 goals
✓
86% confidence
VfB Stuttgart to win or draw
✓
83% confidence
VfB Stuttgart to avoid defeat
✓
80% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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