Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
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Urs Fischer
1. FSV Mainz 05
Eintracht Frankfurt**Mainz are absolutely humming, and Frankfurt need to snap out of their funk fast.** A **4W-1D start** against a team that's dropped points and lost games? This feels like a home banker waiting to happen. 🔥
Mainz have gone full offensive mode — those 5-0 and 9-0 wins show a side clicking in attack. Frankfurt, meanwhile, are leaking goals (1-4 at home to Augsburg, 3-3 away) and look scattered. The head-to-head is dead even, but form is screaming Mainz right now.
Key storylines:
- **Mainz's attacking depth** with P. Tietz and W. Bøving up top is testing a Frankfurt backline that looks vulnerable
- **Frankfurt missing firepower** — A. Knauff and J. Ngankam out hurts, leaving J. Burkardt and Y. Ebnoutalib to carry the load
- **Home edge matters here** — Mainz unbeaten at the MEWA Arena this season, Frankfurt already lost once away from home
Expected lineups:
- **1. FSV Mainz 05**: A. Schwolow, S. Posch, D. Costa, K. Potulski, P. Mwene, R. Nakuzola, N. Amiri, K. Sano, P. Tietz, W. Bøving
- **Eintracht Frankfurt**: M. Zetterer, N. Nkounkou, K. Kosugi, N. Collins, R. Koch, C. Uzun, R. Onyedika, H. Larsson, M. Götze, J. Burkardt
Prediction:
**Mainz 2-0 Frankfurt.** Mainz's form is too hot to ignore, and Frankfurt's leaky defense at this stage is a gift.
1. FSV Mainz 05
3-1-4-2 · 3-4-2-1
Eintracht Frankfurt
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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