Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Freiburg are absolutely rolling.** Five wins on the bounce, zero defeats, and they're hosting a Gladbach side that's been wildly inconsistent — spanked 4-0 at Leipzig then turned around and demolished Mainz 5-0. This is a clash between form and chaos. ⚽
Freiburg's defensive solidity (just that one goal conceded in five) meets Gladbach's leaky backline that's already shipped seven in two Bundesliga games. The hosts also have the historical edge in this fixture, winning 18 of the last 48 head-to-head matchups. Gladbach's missing bodies — four injury absentees including Leopold — won't help their cause either.
Key storylines:
- **SC Freiburg's defensive machine** has barely been breached; with M. Ginter and P. Lienhart anchoring, they'll suffocate Gladbach's unpredictable attack
- **T. Kleindienst and F. Honorat** are Gladbach's only genuine spark, but without match fitness across the board, they'll struggle to break down a wall
- **I. Matanović** and **Y. Suzuki** leading Freiburg's press could turn this into a one-sided affair if Gladbach's midfield caves early
Expected lineups:
- **SC Freiburg**: M. Backhaus, J. Makengo, M. Ginter, P. Lienhart, L. Kübler, M. Eggestein, Y. Engelhardt, Y. Suzuki, J. Beste, I. Matanović
- **Borussia M'gladbach**: M. Nicolas, L. Ullrich, K. Diks, K. Itakura, J. Scally, H. Bolin, P. Sander, R. Hack, F. Honorat, T. Kleindienst
Prediction:
**Freiburg 2–0 Gladbach** — the hosts' form and home advantage are just too much. 🔴
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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