Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
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Daniel Thioune
SV Werder Bremen
FC Augsburg**Bremen's on fire and Augsburg's matching their pace** — both unbeaten runs colliding at the Weserstadion with serious playoff vibes brewing early. 🔥
Bremen just hammered Leipzig 3-1 at home but got stung 4-1 away to Freiburg, so inconsistency is the worry. Augsburg torched Frankfurt 4-1 on the road and look equally sharp, though that 2-2 with Leverkusen hints at defensive wobbles.
Key storylines:
- **Bremen's attacking threat** — Füllkrug and Dinkçi leading the charge with Chuky in support, but absences like Stage and Njinmah sting the midfield depth
- **Augsburg's counter potential** — Claude-Maurice and Ibrahimović can carve spaces if Bremen overcommit, and Wolf's pace on the flank is dangerous
- **History favors the Fuggers** — Augsburg lead the h2h 14-11 in this fixture, adding extra narrative
Expected lineups:
- **SV Werder Bremen**: Hein, Deman, Pieper, Friedl, Schmetgens, Reis, Lynen, Grüll, Chuky, Dinkçi, Füllkrug
- **FC Augsburg**: Dahmen, Behrens, Matsima, Banks, Wolf, Rieder, Fellhauer, Massengo, Ibrahimović, Gregoritsch, Claude-Maurice
Prediction:
**2-2** — Both teams have enough firepower to hurt each other; expect end-to-end chaos and a share of the spoils.
SV Werder Bremen
3-4-3 · 3-4-2-1
FC Augsburg
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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