Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
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**Stuttgart's got weapons, but Dortmund's looking like the real deal.** Five straight wins, clinical finishing, and zero slips — that's the kind of form that prints money.
Stuttgart's been solid at home (4-1 thrashing of Köln), but they've lost two of their last five and just took a shock L to Hoffenheim away. Dortmund, meanwhile, is in overdrive: three wins averaging 3+ goals a pop. This screams **mismatch in momentum**. 🔥
Key storylines:
- **J. Bellingham** running the midfield for Dortmund — the kid's in a rhythm and Stuttgart's got injuries piling up in defense
- Stuttgart's depleted backline (Zagadou, Seimen, Diehl all out) against a Dortmund attack that's scored 9 in three games
- **C. Führich** and **B. E. Khannouss** need to spark something creative for Stuttgart's front three to have any chance
Expected lineups:
- **VfB Stuttgart**: Bredlow, Mittelstädt, Chabot, Jeltsch, Vagnoman, Prömel, Hendriks, Führich, Khannouss, Leweling, Pejčinović
- **Borussia Dortmund**: Kobel, Prates, Gadou, Anton, Ryerson, Veerman, Bellingham, Nmecha, Albert, Guirassy, Karetsas
Prediction:
**Dortmund 2-0.** Stuttgart's defense is too thin, Dortmund's too hot. Lean **Dortmund win**.
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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