FC Augsburg 2-2 FC Bayern München: Stats & xG

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Bundesliga ·Sat 10 Oct

FC Augsburg

2–2

HT 1–0

Full time

FC Bayern München

WWK ARENA, Augsburg · Ref: Sven Jablonski

Commentary

90'

Full-time. FC Augsburg 2-2 FC Bayern München.

90+6'

FC Bayern München

Offside, FC Bayern München.

90+5'

FC Bayern München

Corner, FC Bayern München.

90+5'

A. Kade

Attempt saved. A. Kade (FC Augsburg), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.04.

90+5'

FC Bayern München

Corner, FC Bayern München.

90+2'

M. Olise

Attempt saved. M. Olise (FC Bayern München), left-footed shot. xG 0.06.

90+1'

T. Bischof

Attempt saved. T. Bischof (FC Bayern München), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

90'

6 minutes of added time.

89'

M. Olise

Attempt saved. M. Olise (FC Bayern München), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

89'

L. Karl

Attempt missed. L. Karl (FC Bayern München), right-footed shot. xG 0.06.

87'

A. Pavlović

Substitution, FC Bayern München: T. Bischof comes on for A. Pavlović.

87'

L. Díaz

Substitution, FC Bayern München: L. Karl comes on for L. Díaz.

86'

S. Gnabry

Attempt blocked. S. Gnabry (FC Bayern München), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

85'

D. Upamecano

Attempt blocked. D. Upamecano (FC Bayern München), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.09.

84'

FC Bayern München

Corner, FC Bayern München.

84'

M. Olise

Attempt blocked. M. Olise (FC Bayern München), left-footed shot. xG 0.05.

83'

S. Gnabry

Off the woodwork! S. Gnabry (FC Bayern München), right-footed shot. xG 0.59.

83'

S. Gnabry

Attempt saved. S. Gnabry (FC Bayern München), right-footed shot. xG 0.83.

82'

A. Ibrahimović

Substitution, FC Augsburg: M. Gregoritsch comes on for A. Ibrahimović.

82'

A. J. Bah

Substitution, FC Augsburg: J. Gouweleeuw comes on for A. J. Bah.

80'

N. Brown

Goal! FC Augsburg 2-2 FC Bayern München. N. Brown (FC Bayern München) scores, assisted by H. Kane.

80'

A. Ibrahimović

Attempt saved. A. Ibrahimović (FC Augsburg), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.18.

79'

H. Kane

Attempt saved. H. Kane (FC Bayern München), header. xG 0.17.

78'

N. Brown

Attempt blocked. N. Brown (FC Bayern München), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

76'

FC Bayern München

Offside, FC Bayern München.

75'

R. Ribeiro

Substitution, FC Augsburg: M. Kömür comes on for R. Ribeiro.

74'

FC Augsburg

Corner, FC Augsburg.

70'

M. Olise

Attempt missed. M. Olise (FC Bayern München), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

67'

FC Augsburg

Offside, FC Augsburg.

67'

J. Stanišić

Substitution, FC Bayern München: N. Brown comes on for J. Stanišić.

67'

I. Saibari

Substitution, FC Bayern München: S. Gnabry comes on for I. Saibari.

64'

R. Ribeiro

Goal! FC Augsburg 2-1 FC Bayern München. R. Ribeiro (FC Augsburg) scores.

64'

I. Saibari

Attempt missed. I. Saibari (FC Bayern München), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

64'

C. Brackelmann

Attempt saved. C. Brackelmann (FC Augsburg), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

63'

J. Kimmich

Attempt missed. J. Kimmich (FC Bayern München), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

62'

H. Behrens

Yellow card for H. Behrens (FC Augsburg) for foul.

62'

Y. W. Seol

Substitution, FC Augsburg: A. Kade comes on for Y. W. Seol.

61'

Y. W. Seol

Attempt blocked. Y. W. Seol (FC Augsburg), left-footed shot. xG 0.12.

59'

H. Kane

Attempt blocked. H. Kane (FC Bayern München), right-footed shot. xG 0.11.

58'

H. Kane

Attempt blocked. H. Kane (FC Bayern München), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

57'

FC Bayern München

Corner, FC Bayern München.

57'

I. Saibari

Attempt blocked. I. Saibari (FC Bayern München), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.30.

55'

I. Saibari

Goal! FC Augsburg 1-1 FC Bayern München. I. Saibari (FC Bayern München) scores, assisted by H. Kane.

53'

FC Bayern München

Offside, FC Bayern München.

51'

L. Díaz

VAR check complete: the goal for FC Bayern München stands.

49'

FC Bayern München

Corner, FC Bayern München.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. FC Augsburg 1-0 FC Bayern München.

45+5'

H. Kane

Off the woodwork! H. Kane (FC Bayern München), right-footed shot. xG 0.58.

45+2'

I. Saibari

Attempt saved. I. Saibari (FC Bayern München), left-footed shot. xG 0.08.

45'

4 minutes of added time.

45'

FC Bayern München

Corner, FC Bayern München.

43'

FC Augsburg

Corner, FC Augsburg.

43'

R. Ribeiro

Yellow card for R. Ribeiro (FC Augsburg) for argument.

42'

C. Matsima

Yellow card for C. Matsima (FC Augsburg) for foul.

38'

R. Ribeiro

Attempt missed. R. Ribeiro (FC Augsburg), header. xG 0.07.

38'

FC Augsburg

Corner, FC Augsburg.

37'

I. Saibari

Attempt missed. I. Saibari (FC Bayern München), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.11.

35'

C. Matsima

Attempt missed. C. Matsima (FC Augsburg), header from a corner. xG 0.12.

35'

A. J. Bah

Attempt missed. A. J. Bah (FC Augsburg), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.32.

34'

FC Augsburg

Corner, FC Augsburg.

34'

H. Kane

Attempt blocked. H. Kane (FC Bayern München), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.12.

34'

FC Augsburg

Corner, FC Augsburg.

31'

D. Upamecano

Attempt saved. D. Upamecano (FC Bayern München), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.24.

31'

FC Bayern München

Corner, FC Bayern München.

19'

FC Bayern München

Corner, FC Bayern München.

17'

R. Fellhauer

Attempt missed. R. Fellhauer (FC Augsburg), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.04.

17'

FC Augsburg

Corner, FC Augsburg.

16'

A. Davies

Attempt missed. A. Davies (FC Bayern München), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.05.

15'

I. Saibari

Attempt blocked. I. Saibari (FC Bayern München), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

15'

FC Bayern München

Corner, FC Bayern München.

14'

H. Kane

Attempt missed. H. Kane (FC Bayern München), header from a corner. xG 0.36.

13'

FC Bayern München

Corner, FC Bayern München.

13'

M. Olise

Attempt saved. M. Olise (FC Bayern München), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

12'

H. Kane

Attempt missed. H. Kane (FC Bayern München), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

H. Kane

Attempt missed. H. Kane (FC Bayern München), right-footed shot. xG 0.07.

R. Fellhauer

Attempt blocked. R. Fellhauer (FC Augsburg), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.02.

C. Brackelmann

Attempt blocked. C. Brackelmann (FC Augsburg), left-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.03.

R. Fellhauer

Goal! FC Augsburg 1-0 FC Bayern München. R. Fellhauer (FC Augsburg) scores.

Kick-off: FC Augsburg vs FC Bayern München.

Where the money is

3788284 EUR matched · captured 3 weeks, 3 days ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 2664582 EUR · live

Away 22.0 · implied 4.5%

64.4%

+59.8 vs price

Home 85.0 · implied 1.2%

19.0%

+17.8 vs price

Draw 1.06 · implied 94.3%

16.7%

-77.6 vs price

Half time 2300 EUR

Away 1.47 · implied 68.0%

96.8%

+28.8 vs price

Home 11.0 · implied 9.1%

2.0%

-7.1 vs price

Draw 4.4 · implied 22.7%

1.1%

-21.6 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 112568 EUR · live

Over 1.2 · implied 83.3%

72.4%

-10.9 vs price

Under 5.9 · implied 16.9%

27.6%

+10.6 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 2814 EUR

Under 1.57 · implied 63.7%

60.9%

-2.8 vs price

Over 2.74 · implied 36.5%

39.1%

+2.6 vs price

15 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

1' ⚽ R. Fellhauer1–0

42' C. Matsima · Foul

43' R. Ribeiro · Argument

Half-time · 1–0

51' VAR Goal not given after review · L. Díaz

55' ⚽ I. Saibari · assist H. Kane1–1

62' 🔁 A. Kade ◂ Y. W. Seol

62' H. Behrens · Foul

64' ⚽ R. Ribeiro2–1

67' 🔁 S. Gnabry ◂ I. Saibari

67' 🔁 N. Brown ◂ J. Stanišić

75' 🔁 M. Kömür ◂ R. Ribeiro

80' ⚽ N. Brown · assist H. Kane2–2

82' 🔁 J. Gouweleeuw ◂ A. J. Bah

82' 🔁 M. Gregoritsch ◂ A. Ibrahimović

87' 🔁 L. Karl ◂ L. Díaz

87' 🔁 T. Bischof ◂ A. Pavlović

Full-time · 2–2

Coaches

Manuel Baum

Vincent Kompany

Recent form

FC Augsburg

DHHertha BSC2-2

LASV Werder Bremen2-3

DHBayer 04 Leverkusen2-2

WAEintracht Frankfurt4-1

WHFC Schalke 043-0

FC Bayern München

WH1. FC Union Berlin7-0

WASV 07 Elversberg2-1

WHBodø/Glimt5-0

DAFC Schalke 040-0

WAVfL Osnabrück4-1

About this match

**Bayern's looking to steamroll another opponent, but Augsburg's been sneaky solid this season.** 🔥 The reigning champs just obliterated Union Berlin 7-0 and keep stacking Ws; Augsburg, meanwhile, are mixing draws with gutsy results and won't roll over — but their injury list (Sakar, Banks, Mounié) is getting chunky.

Bayern's form is **absolutely ridiculous** — four wins in five including that 5-0 demolition of Bodø/Glimt. Augsburg have drawn twice in their last three (both at home), which shows resilience but also hints they're about their level. The H2H is basically Bayern's property: 27 wins to Augsburg's 5 across 34 meetings.

Key storylines:

- **J. Kimmich and A. Pavlović** anchoring Bayern's midfield-defense transition while J. Tah marks the back line — keeping Augsburg's counter dangerous but contained
- **H. Kane and L. Díaz** leading Bayern's attacking press; Bayern's last three have been goal festivals, and Augsburg's backline (minus Sakar) will be tested
- **A. Ibrahimović and M. Gregoritsch** need to stay busy for Augsburg to nick anything — they've shown they can grab draws at home

Expected lineups:

- **FC Augsburg**: F. Dahmen, H. Behrens, C. Matsima, C. Brackelmann, M. Wolf, F. Rieder, R. Fellhauer, H. Massengo, A. Ibrahimović, M. Gregoritsch, A. Kade
- **FC Bayern München**: M. Neuer, A. Davies, J. Tah, D. Upamecano, S. Boey, A. Pavlović, J. Kimmich, L. Díaz, M. Olise, T. Binder, H. Kane

Prediction:

**Bayern 3-1 Augsburg.** Bayern's on another planet right now, but Augsburg's home record buys them at least one.

Where to watch

beIN Sports MAX 5

Match facts

Stadium

WWK ARENA

City

Augsburg

Referee

Sven Jablonski

3.08 yellows/match · 61 matches

Kickoff

10 Oct, 13:30 UTC

Competition

Bundesliga

Top stats

30%Possession70%

2.37Expected goals (xG)4.96

12Total shots30

5Shots on target10

3Big chances7

5Corners9

Shots

4Shots off target11

3Blocked shots9

10Shots inside box17

2Shots outside box13

0Hit woodwork2

2Big chances scored2

1Big chances missed5

2.29Goals prevented0.0

Attack

23Touches in box62

35Final third entries97

1Offsides4

6Free kicks10

0Fouled in final third5

Passing

286Passes649

217Accurate passes582

24/58 (41%)Long balls23/33 (70%)

1/7 (14%)Crosses6/24 (25%)

14Throw-ins22

Duels

52Duels48

38/72 (53%)Ground duels34/72 (47%)

6/13 (46%)Aerial duels7/13 (54%)

8/17 (47%)Dribbles11/24 (46%)

4Dispossessed11

Defending

24Tackles13

58Tackles won77

13Interceptions4

36Clearances14

53Recoveries66

Discipline

10Fouls6

3Yellow cards0

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

8Saves3

1Big saves0

13Goal kicks4

1Punches0

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers

Augsburg 8%

11%

Bayern 81%

1X2Bayern to win 81% · 1.40 @ William Hill

Who winsBayern to win (DNB) 84% · 1.07 @ Bwin

GoalsOver 3.5 goals 63% · 1.40 @ Bet365

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 83% · 2.05 @ William Hill

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 93% · 1.33 @ William Hill

BTTSBoth teams to score 64% · 2.45 @ William Hill

CornersOver 9.5 corners 55% · 1.56 @ Pinnacle

CornersOver 8.5 corners 67% · 1.30 @ 1xBet

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 56% · 1.90 @ Pinnacle

1X2Draw 11% · 4.70 @ 1xBet

1X2Augsburg to win 8% · 8.50 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

12.00

FC Augsburg

8.62

Draw

1.17

FC Bayern München

Double Chanceconsensus

4.65

FC Augsburg or Draw

1.08

FC Augsburg or FC Bayern München

1.04

Draw or FC Bayern München

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.48

Yes

2.60

Home Win to Nilconsensus

34.00

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

2.90

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.00

Over 0.50

41.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.03

Over 1.50

15.00

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.13

Over 2.50

5.75

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

1.36

Over 3.50

3.00

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

1.89

Over 4.50

1.92

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

8.50

FC Augsburg

1.06

FC Bayern München

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.15

Over 7.50

3.72

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.30

Over 8.50

2.75

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.55

Over 9.50

2.25

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

1.94

Over 10.50

1.84

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

2.35

Over 11.50

1.50

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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