Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
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**Stuttgart's rolling hot, Paderborn's fragile.** This is a clash between a Stuttgart side that's absolutely **ripping it up** and a Paderborn team clinging to form with big injury headaches. 🔥
Stuttgart won their last two comfortably (5-0, 3-0), while Paderborn's mixed 2W-1D-2L record hides some nasty defensive vulnerabilities. The **head-to-head leans Stuttgart hard** — they've won 2 of the last 3, and Paderborn haven't beaten them in that stretch.
Key storylines:
- **Stuttgart's attacking momentum** has them scoring in bunches; Paderborn's rearguard is thin with **Hoffmeier, Awortwie-Grant, and Klaas all sidelined**
- **D. Undav and J. Leweling** are Stuttgart's cutting edge right now, and they should exploit a stressed Paderborn back line
- Paderborn need **S. Marino and G. Vidović** to create chaos, but Stuttgart's defensive discipline has tightened
Expected lineups:
- **SC Paderborn 07**: N. Noll, J. Sticker, T. L. Scheller, M. Hansen, L. Curda, S. Castaneda, L. Ulrich, G. Vidović, S. Marino, R. Obermair
- **VfB Stuttgart**: F. Bredlow, M. Mittelstädt, J. Chabot, F. Jeltsch, J. Vagnoman, B. E. Khannouss, G. Prömel, A. Stiller, C. Führich, D. Undav, J. Leweling
Prediction:
**Stuttgart 2–0 Paderborn.** Stuttgart slight favorite — the gap in form and injury toll just favors the visitors too much.
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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