Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Gladbach's looking to bounce back at home, but Hoffenheim's free-fall is even steeper.** Both sides are struggling right now, though the hosts have at least scraped a win recently. 🔴
M'gladbach are hobbled by injury (Leopold, Honorat, Castrop, Kühn all out), but they've got home advantage and the head-to-head edge historically. Hoffenheim have lost four of their last five and shipped goals for fun — they're in proper trouble on the road.
Key storylines:
- **Borussia M'gladbach's attacking creativity will lean on R. Hack and W. Mohya** with so many forwards sidelined
- **Hoffenheim's leaky defense** — O. Kabak and K. Machida up against an offense that thrives at Borussia-Park
- **TSG's road form is dire**, losing 1-3 to Paderborn and 2-3 to Hamburg recently
Expected lineups:
- **Borussia M'gladbach**: M. Nicolas, L. Ullrich, K. Diks, J. Scally, J. Leszczyński, P. Sander, H. Bolin, R. Hack, W. Mohya, D. Hashioka, I. Lidberg
- **TSG Hoffenheim**: O. Baumann, M. Rots, O. Kabak, K. Machida, V. Coufal, L. Avdullahu, C. Lenz, A. Hložek, B. Conté, T. Lemperle, A. Daghim
Prediction:
**Borussia M'gladbach 2-1 TSG Hoffenheim**
Slight edge to the hosts; Hoffenheim's shape is crumbling and Gladbach should cash in despite injuries.
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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