Hamburger SV 1-0 VfB Stuttgart: Stats & xG – Oct 17, 2026

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Bundesliga ·Sat 17 Oct

Hamburger SV

1–0

HT 0–0

Full time

VfB Stuttgart

Volksparkstadion, Hamburg · Ref: Robert Hartmann

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Hamburger SV 1-0 VfB Stuttgart.

90+3'

C. Führich

Attempt saved. C. Führich (VfB Stuttgart), right-footed shot. xG 0.09.

90+2'

VfB Stuttgart

Corner, VfB Stuttgart.

90+2'

F. Jeltsch

Attempt missed. F. Jeltsch (VfB Stuttgart), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.07.

90+2'

J. Vagnoman

Attempt missed. J. Vagnoman (VfB Stuttgart), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.04.

90'

3 minutes of added time.

89'

R. Hendriks

Substitution, VfB Stuttgart: L. Assignon comes on for R. Hendriks.

88'

M. Muheim

Goal! Hamburger SV 1-0 VfB Stuttgart. M. Muheim (Hamburger SV) scores, assisted by Z. E. Ouahdi.

85'

D. Pejčinović

Attempt blocked. D. Pejčinović (VfB Stuttgart), left-footed shot. xG 0.07.

85'

D. Pejčinović

Attempt missed. D. Pejčinović (VfB Stuttgart), right-footed shot. xG 0.13.

85'

O. Stange

Yellow card for O. Stange (Hamburger SV) for foul.

84'

B. Nadir

Substitution, Hamburger SV: K. J. Amoako comes on for B. Nadir.

82'

N. Capaldo

Yellow card for N. Capaldo (Hamburger SV) for foul.

80'

D. Pejčinović

Attempt missed. D. Pejčinović (VfB Stuttgart), header from a set piece. xG 0.12.

78'

L. Lemke

Substitution, Hamburger SV: Z. E. Ouahdi comes on for L. Lemke.

78'

F. Vieira

Substitution, Hamburger SV: T. Moffi comes on for F. Vieira.

78'

M. Adeline

Substitution, Hamburger SV: A. Grønbæk comes on for M. Adeline.

77'

D. Undav

Attempt blocked. D. Undav (VfB Stuttgart), right-footed shot. xG 0.06.

77'

J. Leweling

Substitution, VfB Stuttgart: L. Sauer comes on for J. Leweling.

77'

E. Demirović

Substitution, VfB Stuttgart: D. Pejčinović comes on for E. Demirović.

76'

A. Stiller

Attempt blocked. A. Stiller (VfB Stuttgart), left-footed shot. xG 0.08.

75'

D. Undav

Attempt blocked. D. Undav (VfB Stuttgart), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

73'

VfB Stuttgart

Corner, VfB Stuttgart.

71'

Hamburger SV

Corner, Hamburger SV.

67'

B. E. Khannouss

Substitution, VfB Stuttgart: C. Führich comes on for B. E. Khannouss.

67'

A. Karazor

Substitution, VfB Stuttgart: G. Prömel comes on for A. Karazor.

66'

D. Undav

Attempt blocked. D. Undav (VfB Stuttgart), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

65'

VfB Stuttgart

Corner, VfB Stuttgart.

64'

B. Nadir

Attempt missed. B. Nadir (Hamburger SV), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.03.

62'

N. Capaldo

Attempt missed. N. Capaldo (Hamburger SV), right-footed shot. xG 0.06.

62'

Hamburger SV

Corner, Hamburger SV.

61'

N. Capaldo

Attempt saved. N. Capaldo (Hamburger SV), header. xG 0.16.

61'

Y. Poulsen

Substitution, Hamburger SV: O. Stange comes on for Y. Poulsen.

58'

VfB Stuttgart

Corner, VfB Stuttgart.

58'

D. Undav

Attempt saved. D. Undav (VfB Stuttgart), left-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.14.

55'

J. Vagnoman

Attempt missed. J. Vagnoman (VfB Stuttgart), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.02.

54'

L. Lemke

Attempt blocked. L. Lemke (Hamburger SV), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.05.

54'

W. Omari

Yellow card for W. Omari (Hamburger SV) for foul.

53'

Hamburger SV

Corner, Hamburger SV.

53'

E. Demirović

Attempt missed. E. Demirović (VfB Stuttgart), header. xG 0.53.

53'

Y. Poulsen

Off the woodwork! Y. Poulsen (Hamburger SV), right-footed shot. xG 0.15.

52'

VfB Stuttgart

Corner, VfB Stuttgart.

49'

Hamburger SV

Corner, Hamburger SV.

48'

F. Vieira

Attempt missed. F. Vieira (Hamburger SV), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.01.

48'

Y. Poulsen

Attempt missed. Y. Poulsen (Hamburger SV), header. xG 0.11.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Hamburger SV 0-0 VfB Stuttgart.

45'

1 minute of added time.

42'

VfB Stuttgart

Corner, VfB Stuttgart.

41'

VfB Stuttgart

Corner, VfB Stuttgart.

41'

E. Demirović

Attempt saved. E. Demirović (VfB Stuttgart), header from a set piece. xG 0.06.

39'

F. Jeltsch

Attempt missed. F. Jeltsch (VfB Stuttgart), header from a corner. xG 0.07.

39'

VfB Stuttgart

Corner, VfB Stuttgart.

38'

B. Nadir

Attempt missed. B. Nadir (Hamburger SV), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

38'

D. Undav

Attempt blocked. D. Undav (VfB Stuttgart), right-footed shot. xG 0.14.

36'

Hamburger SV

Corner, Hamburger SV.

27'

F. Vieira

Attempt saved. F. Vieira (Hamburger SV), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.61.

27'

S. Bornauw

Attempt missed. S. Bornauw (Hamburger SV), header from a corner. xG 0.04.

27'

Y. Poulsen

Attempt missed. Y. Poulsen (Hamburger SV), header from a corner. xG 0.05.

27'

E. Demirović

Attempt missed. E. Demirović (VfB Stuttgart), right-footed shot. xG 0.06.

26'

S. Bornauw

Attempt blocked. S. Bornauw (Hamburger SV), header from a corner. xG 0.05.

26'

Hamburger SV

Corner, Hamburger SV.

15'

E. Demirović

Attempt missed. E. Demirović (VfB Stuttgart), header. xG 0.18.

11'

F. Jeltsch

Attempt saved. F. Jeltsch (VfB Stuttgart), header from a set piece. xG 0.05.

D. Undav

Attempt missed. D. Undav (VfB Stuttgart), shot. xG 0.09.

B. E. Khannouss

Attempt missed. B. E. Khannouss (VfB Stuttgart), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.03.

VfB Stuttgart

Corner, VfB Stuttgart.

J. Vagnoman

Attempt saved. J. Vagnoman (VfB Stuttgart), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

D. Undav

Attempt blocked. D. Undav (VfB Stuttgart), left-footed shot. xG 0.18.

F. Vieira

Attempt missed. F. Vieira (Hamburger SV), left-footed shot. xG 0.10.

A. Stiller

Attempt missed. A. Stiller (VfB Stuttgart), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.02.

Kick-off: Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart.

Where the money is

1365395 EUR matched · captured 2 weeks, 3 days ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 1067497 EUR · live

Away 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

68.4%

+68.3 vs price

Home 1.08 · implied 92.6%

19.6%

-73.0 vs price

Draw 11.5 · implied 8.7%

12.0%

+3.3 vs price

Half time 478 EUR

Away 2.3 · implied 43.5%

68.8%

+25.3 vs price

Home 4.6 · implied 21.7%

19.0%

-2.7 vs price

Draw 2.88 · implied 34.7%

11.9%

-22.8 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 71984 EUR · live

Under 1.01 · implied 99.0%

70.9%

-28.1 vs price

Over 75.0 · implied 1.3%

30.7%

+29.3 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 900 EUR

Under 1.25 · implied 80.0%

89.6%

+9.5 vs price

Over 4.9 · implied 20.4%

10.3%

-10.1 vs price

16 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

Half-time · 0–0

54' W. Omari · Foul

61' 🔁 O. Stange ◂ Y. Poulsen

67' 🔁 G. Prömel ◂ A. Karazor

67' 🔁 C. Führich ◂ B. E. Khannouss

77' 🔁 D. Pejčinović ◂ E. Demirović

77' 🔁 L. Sauer ◂ J. Leweling

78' 🔁 A. Grønbæk ◂ M. Adeline

78' 🔁 T. Moffi ◂ F. Vieira

78' 🔁 Z. E. Ouahdi ◂ L. Lemke

82' N. Capaldo · Foul

84' 🔁 K. J. Amoako ◂ B. Nadir

85' O. Stange · Foul

88' ⚽ M. Muheim · assist Z. E. Ouahdi1–0

89' 🔁 L. Assignon ◂ R. Hendriks

Full-time · 1–0

Coaches

Merlin Polzin

Sebastian Hoeneß

Recent form

Hamburger SV

WATSG Hoffenheim3-2

WHFC København2-0

WH1. FC Köln2-1

LARB Leipzig0-5

LH1. FSV Mainz 050-5

VfB Stuttgart

WAŠK Slovan Bratislava3-0

WASC Paderborn 072-0

WHSpVgg Greuther Fürth5-0

WH1. FC Heidenheim3-0

LHBorussia Dortmund0-1

About this match

**Hamburg's hot streak meets Stuttgart's wall of consistency** — this is a proper heavyweight clash between two sides playing the best ball of their season. 🔥

Hamburger SV have won three straight at home and look genuinely dangerous, while Stuttgart sit on four wins in five and the cleanest defensive record you'll see. Dead-even H2H history (40-40) tells you everything: when these two meet, it's a coin flip.

Key storylines:

- **Hamburger SV's attacking tempo** under new momentum faces **Stuttgart's miserly defense** — only one loss in five is no accident
- Hamburg's midfield engine **A. Sambi Lokonga** will need to control tempo against Stuttgart's disciplined **A. Karazor** and **A. Stiller**
- Stuttgart's front three (**C. Führich**, **D. Undav**, **J. Leweling**) have been lethal on the counter, but Hamburg's wing-backs should keep them honest

Expected lineups:

- **Hamburger SV**: D. Fernandes, D. M. Wolfe, S. Bornauw, J. Torunarigha, W. Omari, F. Vieira, N. Capaldo, A. Sambi Lokonga, L. Lemke, Y. Poulsen, M. Adeline
- **VfB Stuttgart**: F. Bredlow, J. Chabot, F. Jeltsch, R. Hendriks, J. Vagnoman, A. Karazor, A. Stiller, G. Prömel, C. Führich, D. Undav, J. Leweling

Prediction:

**1-1 draw** — Hamburg's firepower won't crack Stuttgart's resolve, and you'll leave feeling both sides deserved something. ⚪

Where to watch

beIN Sports MAX 8beIN Sports MAX 9

Match facts

Stadium

Volksparkstadion

City

Hamburg

Referee

Robert Hartmann

2.71 yellows/match · 31 matches

Kickoff

17 Oct, 13:30 UTC

Competition

Bundesliga

Top stats

34%Possession66%

1.5Expected goals (xG)2.28

14Total shots24

3Shots on target5

4Big chances5

5Corners9

Shots

9Shots off target12

2Blocked shots7

8Shots inside box15

6Shots outside box9

1Hit woodwork1

4Big chances missed5

0.82Goals prevented0.53

Attack

21Touches in box39

40Final third entries75

9Free kicks12

2Fouled in final third2

Passing

313Passes627

241Accurate passes574

22/49 (45%)Long balls24/35 (69%)

6/21 (29%)Crosses13/31 (42%)

13Throw-ins16

Duels

51Duels49

32/63 (51%)Ground duels31/63 (49%)

21/41 (51%)Aerial duels20/41 (49%)

7/11 (64%)Dribbles9/18 (50%)

6Dispossessed10

Defending

19Tackles10

32Tackles won70

8Interceptions7

37Clearances31

38Recoveries33

Discipline

12Fouls9

3Yellow cards0

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

5Saves2

1Big saves0

12Goal kicks8

0Punches1

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers

HSV 24%

23%

Stuttgart 53%

1X2Stuttgart to win 53% · 2.10 @ William Hill

Who winsStuttgart to win (DNB) 58% · 1.40 @ Unibet

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 68% · 2.90 @ William Hill

BTTSBoth teams to score 66% · 2.40 @ William Hill

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 86% · 1.62 @ William Hill

CornersOver 9.5 corners 52% · 1.73 @ Bet365

CornersOver 8.5 corners 64% · 1.32 @ 1xBet

1X2Draw 23% · 3.02 @ 1xBet

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 60% · 1.80 @ Pinnacle

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 53% · 1.91 @ Bet365

1X2HSV to win 24% · 3.94 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

3.88

Hamburger SV

4.10

Draw

1.80

VfB Stuttgart

Double Chanceconsensus

2.00

Hamburger SV or Draw

1.21

Hamburger SV or VfB Stuttgart

1.25

Draw or VfB Stuttgart

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.40

Yes

2.80

Home Win to Nilconsensus

9.50

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

4.40

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.01

Over 0.50

22.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.09

Over 1.50

6.75

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.38

Over 2.50

2.99

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

1.96

Over 3.50

1.87

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

3.10

Over 4.50

1.35

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

2.89

Hamburger SV

1.37

VfB Stuttgart

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.16

Over 7.50

3.69

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.32

Over 8.50

2.83

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.62

Over 9.50

2.19

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

1.99

Over 10.50

1.79

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

2.45

Over 11.50

1.47

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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