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SV 07 Elversberg
FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg
SV 07 Elversberg
SV 07 Elversberg
FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg
SV 07 Elversberg
SV 07 Elversberg
FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg
SV 07 Elversberg
SV 07 Elversberg
FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg
Vincent Wagner
SV 07 Elversberg
FC Augsburg
SV 07 Elversberg
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1
FC Augsburg
Commentary
90'
Full-time. SV 07 Elversberg 4-3 FC Augsburg.
90+4'
Attempt blocked. N. Futkeu (SV 07 Elversberg), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.13.
90+4'
SV 07 Elversberg
Corner, SV 07 Elversberg.
90'
7 minutes of added time.
90'
Goal! SV 07 Elversberg 4-3 FC Augsburg. M. Kömür (FC Augsburg) scores, assisted by H. Behrens.
89'
Goal! SV 07 Elversberg 4-2 FC Augsburg. F. Schmahl (SV 07 Elversberg) scores, assisted by L. Petkov.
84'
FC Augsburg
Corner, FC Augsburg.
83'
FC Augsburg
Corner, FC Augsburg.
81'
SV 07 Elversberg
Offside, SV 07 Elversberg.
76'
Goal! SV 07 Elversberg 3-2 FC Augsburg. M. Gregoritsch (FC Augsburg) converts the penalty.
73'
Attempt blocked. L. Günther (SV 07 Elversberg), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.06.
72'
SV 07 Elversberg
Corner, SV 07 Elversberg.
72'
Attempt saved. M. Krattenmacher (SV 07 Elversberg), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.
70'
FC Augsburg
Corner, FC Augsburg.
69'
FC Augsburg
Offside, FC Augsburg.
61'
Attempt saved. A. Ibrahimović (FC Augsburg), left-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.11.
59'
SV 07 Elversberg
Offside, SV 07 Elversberg.
58'
SV 07 Elversberg
Corner, SV 07 Elversberg.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. SV 07 Elversberg 3-1 FC Augsburg.
45+9'
Goal! SV 07 Elversberg 3-1 FC Augsburg. F. Rieder (FC Augsburg) converts the penalty.
45+6'
FC Augsburg
Corner, FC Augsburg.
45'
5 minutes of added time.
45'
FC Augsburg
Corner, FC Augsburg.
43'
FC Augsburg
Corner, FC Augsburg.
42'
FC Augsburg
Corner, FC Augsburg.
28'
Goal! SV 07 Elversberg 3-0 FC Augsburg. M. Rohr (SV 07 Elversberg) scores, assisted by F. Keidel.
27'
Attempt blocked. N. Darvich (SV 07 Elversberg), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.09.
27'
SV 07 Elversberg
Corner, SV 07 Elversberg.
26'
SV 07 Elversberg
Offside, SV 07 Elversberg.
21'
FC Augsburg
Corner, FC Augsburg.
20'
Attempt blocked. M. Krattenmacher (SV 07 Elversberg), right-footed shot. xG 0.09.
19'
Attempt blocked. M. Krattenmacher (SV 07 Elversberg), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.
16'
FC Augsburg
Corner, FC Augsburg.
16'
FC Augsburg
Corner, FC Augsburg.
15'
FC Augsburg
Corner, FC Augsburg.
7'
Goal! SV 07 Elversberg 2-0 FC Augsburg. L. Günther (SV 07 Elversberg) scores, assisted by M. Krattenmacher.
6'
FC Augsburg
Corner, FC Augsburg.
1'
Kick-off: SV 07 Elversberg vs FC Augsburg.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
334512 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
83.2%
-15.8 vs price
Draw
100.0 · implied 1.0%
9.0%
+8.0 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
8.1%
+8.0 vs price
Half time
2105 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
85.1%
-13.9 vs price
Draw
360.0 · implied 0.3%
11.0%
+10.7 vs price
Away
46.0 · implied 2.2%
3.8%
+1.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
34334 EUR · live
Over
1.07 · implied 93.5%
79.7%
-13.8 vs price
Under
16.5 · implied 6.1%
20.3%
+14.3 vs price
14 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
2'
VAR
Penalty check · L. Günther
4'
⚽
L. Petkov1–0
4'
🚫
Penalty missed · L. Petkov
7'
⚽
L. Günther · assist M. Krattenmacher2–0
28'
⚽
M. Rohr · assist F. Keidel3–0
30'
R. Ribeiro · Foul
30'
H. Massengo · Foul
40'
🔁
F. Schmahl ◂ N. Darvich
40'
🔁
L. Sirch ◂ J. Gyamerah
Half-time · 3–1
45'+8
VAR
Penalty check · M. Wolf
45'+9
⚽
F. Rieder (pen)3–1
46'
🔁
J. Gouweleeuw ◂ A. J. Bah
46'
🔁
M. Gregoritsch ◂ R. Ribeiro
46'
🔁
A. Kade ◂ M. Wolf
52'
C. Matsima · Foul
54'
F. Keidel · Time wasting
74'
🔁
Y. W. Seol ◂ R. Fellhauer
74'
🔁
M. Kömür ◂ A. Ibrahimović
75'
L. Pinckert · Foul
76'
⚽
M. Gregoritsch (pen)3–2
77'
🔁
N. Futkeu ◂ D. Mokwa
78'
🔁
R. Adam ◂ M. Krattenmacher
79'
VAR
Goal not given after review · R. Adam
84'
N. Kristof · Argument
87'
VAR
Penalty not given after review · M. Gregoritsch
89'
⚽
F. Schmahl · assist L. Petkov4–2
Full-time · 4–3
90'
⚽
M. Kömür · assist H. Behrens4–3
90'+3
🔁
A. Condé ◂ F. Keidel
90'+6
F. Schmahl · Foul
90'+8
🚫
Penalty missed · N. Futkeu
Coaches
Vincent WagnerManuel Baum 
Recent form
SV 07 ElversbergLA1. FC Union Berlin0-1
DAFC Schalke 040-0
LHFC Bayern München1-2
WABorussia M'gladbach4-3
WHBayer 04 Leverkusen3-2
FC AugsburgDHFC Bayern München2-2
DHHertha BSC2-2
LASV Werder Bremen2-3
DHBayer 04 Leverkusen2-2
WAEintracht Frankfurt4-1
About this match
**Elversberg host a draw-happy Augsburg side** in a classic David vs. Goliath Bundesliga clash. The hosts have some momentum, but Augsburg's stubborn defensive setup makes scoring a real grind. 🔥
Elversberg are finding their feet at home (2W, 1L recently), while Augsburg keep clogging up midfield with draws—they've played to 2-2 twice in their last five. Neither team is prolific, but Elversberg's last outing vs. Bayern showed grit.
Key storylines:
- **Elversberg's home fortress vs. Augsburg's defensive wall**: The hosts have built something solid at Ursapharm-Arena, but Augsburg's 3-4-2-1 shape frustrates attackers relentlessly.
- **Augsburg's injury crisis**: **F. Sakar**, **N. Banks**, and **S. Mounié** out means the Swabians lean hard on **M. Gregoritsch** and **M. Wolf** to generate anything in attack.
- **Midfield battle**: **Ł. Poręba** and **F. Keidel** need to control tempo for Elversberg, or Augsburg's **Y. W. Seol** and **F. Rieder** will suffocate the game.
Expected lineups:
- **SV 07 Elversberg**: N. Kristof, L. Günther, M. Rohr, L. Pinckert, J. Gyamerah, F. Keidel, Ł. Poręba, T. Zimmerschied, N. Darvich, L. Petkov, D. Mokwa
- **FC Augsburg**: F. Dahmen, H. Behrens, C. Matsima, C. Brackelmann, Y. W. Seol, F. Rieder, R. Fellhauer, H. Massengo, A. Kade, M. Gregoritsch, M. Wolf
Prediction:
**1-0 Elversberg**. Home turf edge + Augsburg's defensive setup creates a low-scoring affair—slight lean to the hosts. ⚽
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Match facts
Stadium
Ursapharm-Arena an der Kaiserlinde
City
Spiesen-Elversberg
Kickoff
17 Oct, 13:30 UTC
Competition
Bundesliga
Highlights & clips
SV 07 Elversberg
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1
FC Augsburg
20
N. Kristof
6.7
26
L. Sirch
7.0
↑ 40'
19
L. Pinckert
6.5
31
M. Rohr
7.8
21
L. Günther
7.7
6
A. Condé
↑ 90'
8
Ł. Poręba
7.4
25
L. Petkov
8.5
17
F. Schmahl
7.1
↑ 40'
15
R. Adam
6.7
↑ 78'
9
N. Futkeu
6.5
↑ 77'
1
F. Dahmen
7.5
6
J. Gouweleeuw
6.8
↑ 46'
5
C. Matsima
5.7
2
C. Brackelmann
6.4
30
A. Kade
6.0
↑ 46'
4
H. Massengo
6.8
32
F. Rieder
7.4
16
H. Behrens
8.1
7
Y. W. Seol
6.4
↑ 74'
10
M. Kömür
7.7
↑ 74'
11
M. Gregoritsch
6.9
↑ 46'
Top stats
40%Possession60%
3.78Expected goals (xG)3.92
19Total shots29
8Shots on target8
5Big chances4
4Corners12
Shots
4Shots off target9
7Blocked shots12
17Shots inside box26
2Shots outside box3
2Hit woodwork0
3Big chances scored2
2Big chances missed2
-0.07Goals prevented0.33
Attack
33Touches in box48
33Final third entries58
3Offsides2
12Free kicks14
2Fouled in final third4
Passing
325Passes468
250Accurate passes381
22/50 (44%)Long balls21/44 (48%)
2/11 (18%)Crosses11/38 (29%)
15Throw-ins17
Duels
59Duels41
43/76 (57%)Ground duels33/76 (43%)
22/34 (65%)Aerial duels12/34 (35%)
10/16 (63%)Dribbles4/12 (33%)
9Dispossessed14
Defending
22Tackles15
73Tackles won67
16Interceptions13
49Clearances13
63Recoveries64
Discipline
16Fouls14
4Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
5Saves4
0Big saves1
8Goal kicks5
1Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers
Who winsElversberg to win (DNB) 79% · 1.80 @ 10bet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 66% · 3.00 @ 1xBet
BTTSBoth teams to score 66% · 2.40 @ William Hill
CornersOver 9.5 corners 56% · 1.73 @ Bet365
CornersOver 8.5 corners 68% · 1.38 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 84% · 1.67 @ 1xBet
1X2Augsburg to win 36% · 2.80 @ William Hill
1X2Draw 25% · 2.85 @ 1xBet
1X2Elversberg to win 39% · 2.70 @ William Hill
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 55% · 1.68 @ Pinnacle
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 56% · 1.81 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.40
SV 07 Elversberg
3.83
Draw
2.60
FC Augsburg
Double Chanceconsensus
1.44
SV 07 Elversberg or Draw
1.24
SV 07 Elversberg or FC Augsburg
1.53
Draw or FC Augsburg
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.40
Yes
2.80
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
5.00
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
6.00
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
21.50
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.10
Over 1.50
6.10
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.43
Over 2.50
2.75
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.10
Over 3.50
1.73
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
3.45
Over 4.50
1.29
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.80
SV 07 Elversberg
1.95
FC Augsburg
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.19
Over 7.50
3.37
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.38
Over 8.50
2.58
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.72
Over 9.50
2.03
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.11
Over 10.50
1.65
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.62
Over 11.50
1.37
Under 11.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Over 1.5 goals
✓
84% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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