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SV Werder Bremen
SV Werder Bremen
SV Werder Bremen
SC Paderborn 07
SV Werder Bremen
SC Paderborn 07
SV Werder Bremen
SV Werder Bremen
SC Paderborn 07
Daniel Thioune
SV Werder Bremen
SC Paderborn 07
SV Werder Bremen
4-2-3-1 · 3-1-4-2
SC Paderborn 07
Commentary
90'
Full-time. SV Werder Bremen 2-2 SC Paderborn 07.
90'
4 minutes of added time.
82'
SV Werder Bremen
Corner, SV Werder Bremen.
82'
SV Werder Bremen
Corner, SV Werder Bremen.
79'
Attempt missed. S. Castaneda (SC Paderborn 07), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.10.
65'
Goal! SV Werder Bremen 2-2 SC Paderborn 07. N. Füllkrug (SV Werder Bremen) converts the penalty.
59'
Goal! SV Werder Bremen 1-2 SC Paderborn 07. N. Füllkrug (SV Werder Bremen) scores, assisted by E. Dinkçi.
52'
SV Werder Bremen
Corner, SV Werder Bremen.
49'
Attempt missed. S. Marino (SC Paderborn 07), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.10.
49'
SC Paderborn 07
Corner, SC Paderborn 07.
48'
Attempt blocked. G. Vidović (SC Paderborn 07), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.04.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. SV Werder Bremen 0-2 SC Paderborn 07.
45'
1 minute of added time.
41'
SV Werder Bremen
Corner, SV Werder Bremen.
33'
SC Paderborn 07
Corner, SC Paderborn 07.
28'
SV Werder Bremen
Offside, SV Werder Bremen.
21'
SV Werder Bremen
Corner, SV Werder Bremen.
18'
Goal! SV Werder Bremen 0-1 SC Paderborn 07. S. Marino (SC Paderborn 07) scores, assisted by S. Tigges.
6'
SC Paderborn 07
Corner, SC Paderborn 07.
6'
Attempt saved. S. Tigges (SC Paderborn 07), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.10.
1'
Kick-off: SV Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
1782514 EUR · live
Away
32.0 · implied 3.1%
79.2%
+76.0 vs price
Home
19.5 · implied 5.1%
11.1%
+5.9 vs price
Draw
1.06 · implied 94.3%
9.8%
-84.5 vs price
Half time
569 EUR
Home
2.26 · implied 44.2%
76.0%
+31.7 vs price
Away
5.1 · implied 19.6%
21.6%
+2.0 vs price
Draw
2.76 · implied 36.2%
2.1%
-34.1 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
31994 EUR · live
Over
1.26 · implied 79.4%
81.7%
+2.4 vs price
Under
4.9 · implied 20.4%
18.3%
-2.1 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
691 EUR
Under
1.22 · implied 82.0%
80.0%
-1.9 vs price
Over
5.4 · implied 18.5%
19.8%
+1.3 vs price
14 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
4'
S. Marino · Foul
18'
⚽
S. Marino · assist S. Tigges0–1
30'
⚽
S. Tigges0–2
Half-time · 0–2
46'
🔁
M. Weiser ◂ Chuki
59'
⚽
N. Füllkrug · assist E. Dinkçi1–2
63'
🔁
C. Itten ◂ E. Dinkçi
65'
⚽
N. Füllkrug (pen)2–2
66'
🔁
T. Baack ◂ L. Ulrich
66'
🔁
R. Philippe ◂ S. Marino
75'
🔁
M. Pieringer ◂ S. Tigges
75'
🔁
R. Müller ◂ G. Vidović
79'
🔁
D. Stalmach ◂ L. Reis
86'
Y. Regeer · Foul
88'
🔁
J. Sticker ◂ M. Hansen
88'
🔁
P. Erevbenagie ◂ Y. Regeer
Full-time · 2–2
Coaches
Daniel ThiouneRalf Kettemann 
Recent form
SV Werder BremenDABorussia Dortmund2-2
LAFC Twente0-7
WHFC Augsburg3-2
DA1. FC Köln1-1
WHRB Leipzig3-1
SC Paderborn 07LHVfB Stuttgart0-2
WADC United1-0
WHTSG Hoffenheim3-1
LABorussia Dortmund0-3
LHSC Freiburg0-1
About this match
**Bremen hosts Paderborn looking to bounce back from that absolute shocker in Twente** — the Greens have been streaky as hell, but home turf at the Weserstadion should help them reset. 🟢
Bremen's form is all over the map: they drew with Dortmund, got demolished 7-0, then crushed Augsburg 3-2. Paderborn are struggling to find consistency too, sitting on 2W-3L with a gutsy win over Hoffenheim sandwiched between losses.
Key storylines:
- **Bremen's injury crisis** is real: missing Agu, Stage, Njinmah, Topp, and Ndiaye leaves the lineup thin, especially up top around Füllkrug
- **Paderborn's leaky defense** has conceded in four of their last five matches; Bremen's attack should fancy their chances despite the roster gaps
- **Home advantage matters here** — Bremen are 3-3-1 head-to-head vs Paderborn, but the Green's record on their own pitch tips the scales
Expected lineups:
- **SV Werder Bremen**: K. Hein, M. Friedl, O. Wojcik, L. Reis, Arthur, N. Füllkrug, E. Dinkçi
- **SC Paderborn 07**: N. Noll, J. Sticker, M. Hansen, L. Curda, S. Castaneda, R. Obermair
Prediction:
**Bremen 2–1 Paderborn** — the Greens' home form and Paderborn's defensive wobbles give them a slight edge. 🎯
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Match facts
Stadium
Weserstadion
City
Bremen
Kickoff
17 Oct, 13:30 UTC
Competition
Bundesliga
Highlights & clips
SV Werder Bremen
4-2-3-1 · 3-1-4-2
SC Paderborn 07
1
K. Hein
6.4
13
Arthur
6.8
5
A. Pieper
7.7
32
M. Friedl
7.1
2
O. Deman
6.9
23
D. Stalmach
7.0
↑ 79'
38
P. Erevbenagie
↑ 88'
26
C. Itten
6.4
↑ 63'
8
M. Weiser
7.1
↑ 46'
17
M. Grüll
7.3
10
N. Füllkrug
7.8
15
N. Noll
10.0
21
J. Ter-Horst
6.8
25
T. L. Scheller
7.2
3
J. Sticker
↑ 88'
5
S. Castaneda
7.7
17
L. Curda
6.4
6
T. Baack
6.9
↑ 66'
2
R. Müller
6.5
↑ 75'
23
R. Obermair
7.8
9
R. Philippe
6.2
↑ 66'
18
M. Pieringer
6.5
↑ 75'
Substitutes
30GA. Schlager
33DM. Schmetgens
4DN. Stark
3DO. Wojcik
44MY. Regeer↓ 88'7.6
15ML. Reis↓ 79'6.4
20MChuki↓ 46'6.3
34MD. Soylu
18FE. Dinkçi↓ 63'7.2
Coach: Daniel Thioune
Substitutes
1GM. Schubert
22DM. Hansen↓ 88'6.6
40MG. Vidović↓ 75'6.9
28ML. Ulrich↓ 66'6.4
38MD. Zeitler
29MC. Lippmann
27FS. Tigges↓ 75'8.0
30FS. Marino↓ 66'7.8
11FS. Michel
Coach: Ralf Kettemann
Top stats
61%Possession39%
3.21Expected goals (xG)1.15
18Total shots11
11Shots on target4
5Big chances3
5Corners3
Shots
4Shots off target5
3Blocked shots2
13Shots inside box9
5Shots outside box2
0Hit woodwork1
2Big chances scored0
3Big chances missed3
-0.71Goals prevented1.56
Attack
36Touches in box22
61Final third entries49
1Offsides0
13Free kicks11
2Fouled in final third1
Passing
628Passes399
536Accurate passes317
36/65 (55%)Long balls25/57 (44%)
3/23 (13%)Crosses3/14 (21%)
17Throw-ins19
Duels
50Duels50
41/84 (49%)Ground duels43/84 (51%)
21/41 (51%)Aerial duels20/41 (49%)
10/22 (45%)Dribbles6/15 (40%)
14Dispossessed10
Defending
19Tackles26
68Tackles won54
6Interceptions12
26Clearances38
61Recoveries58
Discipline
11Fouls14
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
2Saves9
0Big saves2
4Goal kicks7
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 62% · 3.34 @ 1xBet
BTTSBoth teams to score 62% · 2.80 @ William Hill
CornersOver 9.5 corners 54% · 1.91 @ Bet365
CornersOver 8.5 corners 66% · 1.53 @ Pinnacle
1X2Bremen to win 53% · 2.10 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 82% · 1.79 @ 1xBet
1X2Draw 23% · 2.84 @ 1xBet
1X2Paderborn to win 23% · 3.96 @ 1xBet
Who winsBremen to win (DNB) 50% · 1.35 @ 10bet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 57% · 1.56 @ Pinnacle
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 60% · 1.66 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.80
SV Werder Bremen
4.00
Draw
4.05
SC Paderborn 07
Double Chanceconsensus
1.22
SV Werder Bremen or Draw
1.23
SV Werder Bremen or SC Paderborn 07
2.00
Draw or SC Paderborn 07
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.51
Yes
2.45
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.80
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
8.50
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
17.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.14
Over 1.50
5.25
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.51
Over 2.50
2.50
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.38
Over 3.50
1.61
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.05
Over 4.50
1.22
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.33
SV Werder Bremen
3.10
SC Paderborn 07
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.25
Over 7.50
2.98
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.50
Over 8.50
2.35
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.89
Over 9.50
1.87
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.31
Over 10.50
1.52
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.87
Over 11.50
1.27
Under 11.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Over 1.5 goals
✓
82% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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