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RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
SV 07 Elversberg
RB Leipzig
SV 07 Elversberg
SV 07 Elversberg
SV 07 Elversberg
RB Leipzig
SV 07 Elversberg
SV 07 Elversberg
SV 07 Elversberg
Martín Demichelis
RB Leipzig
SV 07 Elversberg
RB Leipzig
4-5-1 · 4-2-3-1
SV 07 Elversberg
Commentary
90'
Full-time. RB Leipzig 4-0 SV 07 Elversberg.
90+4'
Goal! RB Leipzig 4-0 SV 07 Elversberg. Rômulo (RB Leipzig) scores, assisted by A. Koné.
90'
5 minutes of added time.
84'
Goal! RB Leipzig 3-0 SV 07 Elversberg. C. Baumgartner (RB Leipzig) scores, assisted by B. Gruda.
84'
RB Leipzig
Corner, RB Leipzig.
57'
RB Leipzig
Corner, RB Leipzig.
56'
SV 07 Elversberg
Corner, SV 07 Elversberg.
48'
Goal! RB Leipzig 1-0 SV 07 Elversberg. T. Gomis (RB Leipzig) scores, assisted by A. Nusa.
47'
RB Leipzig
Corner, RB Leipzig.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. RB Leipzig 0-0 SV 07 Elversberg.
45'
1 minute of added time.
44'
Attempt missed. Ł. Poręba (SV 07 Elversberg), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.
44'
SV 07 Elversberg
Corner, SV 07 Elversberg.
39'
SV 07 Elversberg
Corner, SV 07 Elversberg.
37'
Attempt saved. D. Mokwa (SV 07 Elversberg), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.01.
37'
SV 07 Elversberg
Corner, SV 07 Elversberg.
26'
RB Leipzig
Corner, RB Leipzig.
22'
SV 07 Elversberg
Corner, SV 07 Elversberg.
21'
Attempt missed. M. Krattenmacher (SV 07 Elversberg), left-footed shot. xG 0.15.
16'
SV 07 Elversberg
Offside, SV 07 Elversberg.
8'
SV 07 Elversberg
Corner, SV 07 Elversberg.
1'
Kick-off: RB Leipzig vs SV 07 Elversberg.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
1258214 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
91.1%
-7.9 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
5.0%
+4.9 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
3.9%
+3.8 vs price
Half time
2446 EUR
Home
2.02 · implied 49.5%
90.8%
+41.3 vs price
Away
5.5 · implied 18.2%
5.8%
-12.4 vs price
Draw
3.1 · implied 32.3%
3.4%
-28.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
139440 EUR · live
Under
1.7 · implied 58.8%
59.9%
+1.1 vs price
Over
2.36 · implied 42.4%
40.1%
-2.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
1985 EUR
Under
1.34 · implied 74.6%
85.1%
+10.4 vs price
Over
3.95 · implied 25.3%
14.9%
-10.4 vs price
18 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 2 clips
Player of the match
Match events
Half-time · 0–0
46'
🔁
Rômulo ◂ A. Maksimović
48'
⚽
T. Gomis · assist A. Nusa1–0
59'
R. Reitz · Foul
59'
🔁
L. Sirch ◂ J. Gyamerah
59'
🔁
R. Adam ◂ M. Krattenmacher
62'
🔁
B. Gruda ◂ R. Reitz
66'
⚽
Rômulo · assist A. Nusa2–0
71'
🔁
F. Onyeka ◂ F. Schmahl
71'
🔁
N. Futkeu ◂ D. Mokwa
72'
🔁
C. Baumgartner ◂ E. Banzuzi
72'
🔁
N. Seiwald ◂ A. Nusa
74'
L. Günther · Foul
82'
🔁
C. Campbell ◂ L. Günther
84'
⚽
C. Baumgartner · assist B. Gruda3–0
87'
🔁
A. Koné ◂ T. Gomis
Full-time · 4–0
90'+4
⚽
Rômulo · assist A. Koné4–0
Coaches
Martín DemichelisVincent Wagner 
Recent form
RB LeipzigLAReal Madrid1-4
LAFC Bayern München1-6
WHPSV Eindhoven1-0
WHEintracht Frankfurt6-0
LABayer 04 Leverkusen0-2
SV 07 ElversbergWHFC Augsburg4-3
LA1. FC Union Berlin0-1
DAFC Schalke 040-0
LHFC Bayern München1-2
WABorussia M'gladbach4-3
About this match
**RB Leipzig host Elversberg looking to arrest a brutal run** — back-to-back hammerings from Madrid and Bayern have left the Red Bulls desperate for a confidence boost at home. 🔴
Leipzig's misfiring despite talented personnel, while Elversberg arrive off a wild 4-3 win but have shown they can be exposed on the road. This should be a sizing-up moment for the hosts.
Key storylines:
- **C. Nkunku** and **B. Gruda** need to finally click in attack after Leipzig's recent scoreline disasters
- Elversberg's **D. Mokwa** spearheads a counter threat, but **W. Orbán** and **C. Lukeba** have a chance to reassert control at the back
- Home pressure is real — Leipzig can't afford another clunker in front of their own fans
Expected lineups:
- **RB Leipzig**: Vandevoordt, Raum, Orbán, Lukeba, Baku, Banzuzi, El Aynaoui, Nusa, Gomis, Gruda, Nkunku
- **SV 07 Elversberg**: Kristof, Günther, Rohr, Pinckert, Gyamerah, Keidel, Poręba, Zimmerschied, Krattenmacher, Petkov, Mokwa
Prediction:
**Leipzig 3-0 Elversberg** — the gap in class is too wide despite the hosts' wobbles. Expect a ruthless statement win. ⚪
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Match facts
Stadium
Red Bull Arena
City
Leipzig
Kickoff
24 Oct, 13:30 UTC
Competition
Bundesliga
Highlights & clips
RB Leipzig
4-5-1 · 4-2-3-1
SV 07 Elversberg
1
Ø. Nyland
6.9
39
B. Henrichs
7.5
4
W. Orbán
8.1
3
M. Estève
7.4
35
M. Finkgräfe
7.1
40
Rômulo
9.9
↑ 46'
10
B. Gruda
7.8
↑ 62'
21
N. El Aynaoui
6.6
13
N. Seiwald
6.6
↑ 72'
14
C. Baumgartner
7.4
↑ 72'
2
A. Koné
7.7
↑ 87'
20
N. Kristof
5.8
26
L. Sirch
6.1
↑ 59'
19
L. Pinckert
5.7
31
M. Rohr
5.9
39
C. Campbell
6.3
↑ 82'
43
F. Keidel
6.6
8
Ł. Poręba
6.2
25
L. Petkov
6.4
40
F. Onyeka
6.2
↑ 71'
15
R. Adam
6.7
↑ 59'
9
N. Futkeu
6.4
↑ 71'
Substitutes
26GM. Vandevoordt
22DD. Raum
17DR. Baku
23DC. Lukeba
6ME. Banzuzi↓ 72'7.0
30MA. Maksimović↓ 46'6.7
20MR. Reitz↓ 62'6.4
7FA. Nusa↓ 72'7.5
27FT. Gomis↓ 87'7.2
Coach: Martín Demichelis
Substitutes
28GT. Boss
21DL. Günther↓ 82'6.9
30DJ. Gyamerah↓ 59'6.3
2DN. Mickelson
3DF. Le Joncour
7MM. Krattenmacher↓ 59'6.2
17MF. Schmahl↓ 71'6.0
6MA. Condé
42FD. Mokwa↓ 71'6.6
Coach: Vincent Wagner
Top stats
55%Possession45%
2.87Expected goals (xG)0.8
13Total shots5
6Shots on target1
4Big chances1
4Corners6
Shots
6Shots off target4
1Blocked shots0
10Shots inside box3
3Shots outside box2
3Big chances scored0
1Big chances missed1
0.03Goals prevented-1.43
Attack
22Touches in box13
49Final third entries56
0Offsides1
18Free kicks10
2Fouled in final third0
Passing
488Passes394
403Accurate passes319
21/47 (45%)Long balls17/42 (40%)
1/8 (13%)Crosses1/14 (7%)
16Throw-ins30
Duels
56Duels44
55/95 (58%)Ground duels40/95 (42%)
11/22 (50%)Aerial duels11/22 (50%)
12/21 (57%)Dribbles12/24 (50%)
9Dispossessed16
Defending
28Tackles18
68Tackles won44
9Interceptions18
16Clearances18
54Recoveries48
Discipline
10Fouls18
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
1Saves2
1Big saves1
9Goal kicks5
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers
1X2Leipzig to win 66% · 1.73 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 3.5 goals 53% · 1.78 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 74% · 2.50 @ William Hill
BTTSBoth teams to score 66% · 2.45 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 88% · 1.50 @ William Hill
CornersOver 9.5 corners 56% · 1.55 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 67% · 1.26 @ 1xBet
Who winsLeipzig to win (DNB) 61% · 1.20 @ Betano
1X2Draw 18% · 3.46 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 55% · 1.89 @ 1xBet
1X2Elversberg to win 16% · 5.05 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.44
RB Leipzig
5.25
Draw
6.20
SV 07 Elversberg
Double Chanceconsensus
1.11
RB Leipzig or Draw
1.15
RB Leipzig or SV 07 Elversberg
2.75
Draw or SV 07 Elversberg
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.39
Yes
2.89
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.30
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
17.00
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.01
Over 0.50
17.30
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.06
Over 1.50
8.25
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.28
Over 2.50
3.67
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
1.72
Over 3.50
2.13
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
2.62
Over 4.50
1.49
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.17
RB Leipzig
4.75
SV 07 Elversberg
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.13
Over 7.50
3.97
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.26
Over 8.50
2.92
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.52
Over 9.50
2.33
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
1.91
Over 10.50
1.88
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.33
Over 11.50
1.52
Under 11.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Over 1.5 goals
✓
88% confidence
RB Leipzig to win or draw
✓
84% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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