SC Freiburg 1-3 FC Bayern München: Stats & xG

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Bundesliga ·Sun 25 Oct

SC Freiburg

1–3

HT 0–2

Full time

FC Bayern München

Europa-Park-Stadion, Freiburg · Ref: Felix Zwayer

Commentary

90'

Full-time. SC Freiburg 1-3 FC Bayern München.

90+5'

M. Olise

Goal! SC Freiburg 1-3 FC Bayern München. M. Olise (FC Bayern München) scores.

90+2'

I. Matanović

Attempt blocked. I. Matanović (SC Freiburg), header from a corner. xG 0.15.

90+1'

SC Freiburg

Corner, SC Freiburg.

90+1'

SC Freiburg

Corner, SC Freiburg.

90+1'

M. Ginter

Attempt saved. M. Ginter (SC Freiburg), header from a corner. xG 0.04.

90'

5 minutes of added time.

90'

SC Freiburg

Corner, SC Freiburg.

88'

FC Bayern München

Offside, FC Bayern München.

87'

I. Matanović

Attempt saved. I. Matanović (SC Freiburg), header. xG 0.04.

86'

L. Karl

Substitution, FC Bayern München: H. Itō comes on for L. Karl.

85'

M. Eggestein

Yellow card for M. Eggestein (SC Freiburg) for foul.

85'

I. Matanović

Attempt blocked. I. Matanović (SC Freiburg), right-footed shot. xG 0.09.

85'

C. Irié

Attempt saved. C. Irié (SC Freiburg), left-footed shot. xG 0.15.

84'

V. Grifo

Attempt blocked. V. Grifo (SC Freiburg), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.03.

83'

C. Irié

Attempt blocked. C. Irié (SC Freiburg), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

82'

T. Bischof

Goal! SC Freiburg 1-2 FC Bayern München. Own goal by T. Bischof.

81'

H. Kane

Attempt saved. H. Kane (FC Bayern München), right-footed shot. xG 0.13.

81'

I. Saibari

Attempt saved. I. Saibari (FC Bayern München), right-footed shot. xG 0.18.

79'

M. Eggestein

Attempt missed. M. Eggestein (SC Freiburg), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

77'

D. Scherhant

Substitution, SC Freiburg: V. Grifo comes on for D. Scherhant.

77'

P. Lienhart

Substitution, SC Freiburg: M. Rosenfelder comes on for P. Lienhart.

76'

D. Upamecano

Attempt missed. D. Upamecano (FC Bayern München), shot from a corner. xG 0.11.

75'

FC Bayern München

Corner, FC Bayern München.

75'

I. Saibari

Attempt saved. I. Saibari (FC Bayern München), right-footed shot. xG 0.14.

73'

M. Olise

Attempt blocked. M. Olise (FC Bayern München), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

73'

I. Saibari

Attempt missed. I. Saibari (FC Bayern München), left-footed shot. xG 0.07.

73'

N. Brown

Substitution, FC Bayern München: A. Davies comes on for N. Brown.

69'

N. Brown

Attempt saved. N. Brown (FC Bayern München), right-footed shot. xG 0.18.

65'

J. Tah

Yellow card for J. Tah (FC Bayern München) for foul.

64'

J. Beste

Substitution, SC Freiburg: C. Irié comes on for J. Beste.

63'

FC Bayern München

Corner, FC Bayern München.

62'

I. Saibari

Attempt missed. I. Saibari (FC Bayern München), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

62'

FC Bayern München

Corner, FC Bayern München.

61'

J. Stanišić

Substitution, FC Bayern München: S. Boey comes on for J. Stanišić.

61'

S. Gnabry

Substitution, FC Bayern München: I. Saibari comes on for S. Gnabry.

59'

I. Matanović

Attempt saved. I. Matanović (SC Freiburg), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

58'

P. Osterhage

Substitution, SC Freiburg: R. Yamamoto comes on for P. Osterhage.

57'

H. Kane

Attempt missed. H. Kane (FC Bayern München), header from a set piece. xG 0.31.

57'

L. Höler

Substitution, SC Freiburg: I. Matanović comes on for L. Höler.

55'

J. Beste

Yellow card for J. Beste (SC Freiburg) for foul.

53'

J. Beste

Attempt missed. J. Beste (SC Freiburg), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.03.

53'

SC Freiburg

Corner, SC Freiburg.

51'

FC Bayern München

Corner, FC Bayern München.

47'

D. Scherhant

Attempt saved. D. Scherhant (SC Freiburg), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.03.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. SC Freiburg 0-2 FC Bayern München.

45+3'

L. Höler

Attempt missed. L. Höler (SC Freiburg), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.03.

45'

4 minutes of added time.

42'

S. Gnabry

Goal! SC Freiburg 0-2 FC Bayern München. S. Gnabry (FC Bayern München) scores, assisted by N. Brown.

41'

S. Gnabry

Attempt missed. S. Gnabry (FC Bayern München), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

39'

FC Bayern München

Corner, FC Bayern München.

34'

N. Brown

Attempt saved. N. Brown (FC Bayern München), right-footed shot. xG 0.14.

34'

FC Bayern München

Corner, FC Bayern München.

30'

Y. Suzuki

Attempt missed. Y. Suzuki (SC Freiburg), right-footed shot. xG 0.01.

28'

S. Gnabry

Attempt missed. S. Gnabry (FC Bayern München), right-footed shot. xG 0.06.

27'

SC Freiburg

Offside, SC Freiburg.

25'

L. Karl

Attempt missed. L. Karl (FC Bayern München), left-footed shot. xG 0.08.

25'

L. Höler

Yellow card for L. Höler (SC Freiburg) for foul.

24'

M. Olise

Attempt saved. M. Olise (FC Bayern München), left-footed shot. xG 0.14.

22'

L. Höler

Attempt blocked. L. Höler (SC Freiburg), right-footed shot. xG 0.11.

22'

L. Höler

Attempt blocked. L. Höler (SC Freiburg), right-footed shot. xG 0.09.

16'

D. Upamecano

Goal! SC Freiburg 0-1 FC Bayern München. D. Upamecano (FC Bayern München) scores, assisted by M. Olise.

16'

J. Beste

Attempt blocked. J. Beste (SC Freiburg), left-footed shot. xG 0.07.

14'

P. Osterhage

Attempt missed. P. Osterhage (SC Freiburg), left-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.03.

13'

SC Freiburg

Corner, SC Freiburg.

Kick-off: SC Freiburg vs FC Bayern München.

Where the money is

4317040 EUR matched · captured 5 days, 4 hours ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 3266919 EUR · live

Away 1.01 · implied 99.0%

96.1%

-2.9 vs price

Home 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

2.0%

+1.9 vs price

Draw 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

1.9%

+1.8 vs price

Half time 2415 EUR

Away 1.91 · implied 52.4%

77.4%

+25.1 vs price

Home 5.9 · implied 16.9%

13.4%

-3.6 vs price

Draw 3.25 · implied 30.8%

9.2%

-21.5 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 272328 EUR · live

Over 2.02 · implied 49.5%

54.1%

+4.6 vs price

Under 1.98 · implied 50.5%

45.9%

-4.6 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 1284 EUR

Under 1.35 · implied 74.1%

82.2%

+8.1 vs price

Over 3.95 · implied 25.3%

17.9%

-7.5 vs price

18 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Highlights 2 clips

Player of the match

Match events

16' ⚽ D. Upamecano · assist M. Olise0–1

25' L. Höler · Foul

42' ⚽ S. Gnabry · assist N. Brown0–2

Half-time · 0–2

55' J. Beste · Foul

57' 🔁 I. Matanović ◂ L. Höler

58' 🔁 R. Yamamoto ◂ P. Osterhage

61' 🔁 I. Saibari ◂ S. Gnabry

61' 🔁 S. Boey ◂ J. Stanišić

64' 🔁 C. Irié ◂ J. Beste

65' J. Tah · Foul

73' 🔁 A. Davies ◂ N. Brown

77' 🔁 M. Rosenfelder ◂ P. Lienhart

77' 🔁 V. Grifo ◂ D. Scherhant

82' ⚽ T. Bischof1–2

85' M. Eggestein · Foul

86' 🔁 H. Itō ◂ L. Karl

Full-time · 1–3

90'⁺⁵ ⚽ M. Olise1–3

Coaches

Julian Schuster

Vincent Kompany

Recent form

SC Freiburg

LAAS Monaco0-3

LABayer 04 Leverkusen1-2

WHFK Jablonec3-2

WHFC Schalke 042-1

WHFC Luzern4-2

FC Bayern München

DHArsenal2-2

WHRB Leipzig6-1

DAViking FK3-3

DAFC Augsburg2-2

WH1. FC Union Berlin7-0

About this match

**Freiburg's dream run meets Bayern's wobble** — the Breisgau upstarts are flying high, but they're about to collide with Europe's elite. 🔴

Freiburg come in **3W in their last 5**, looking genuinely sharp. Bayern, though? **3D in their last 5** is rough for a team of their caliber — they've been sketchy defensively and can't seem to finish opponents off. This is a reality check waiting to happen.

Key storylines:

- **Freiburg's midfield energy** needs to press Bayern's ball-carrying habits; **Matanović, Suzuki, and Eggestein** will be crucial to suffocate the transition
- **Kane and Musiala** remain Bayern's creative lifeline, but missing **Kimmich** and **Díaz** strips them of vital rhythm in buildup play
- Home advantage in the Freiburg press could expose Bayern's recent defensive fragility if they get caught high

Expected lineups:

- **SC Freiburg**: Backhaus, Ginter, Makengo, Lienhart, Treu, Eggestein, Suzuki, Matanović, Beste, Scherhant, Höler
- **FC Bayern München**: Neuer, Upamecano, Davies, Stanišić, Tah, Pavlović, Bischof, Kane, Musiala, Olise, Binder

Prediction:

**Bayern 2–1 Freiburg**. Bayern's pedigree and star power edge out, but this won't feel comfortable — Freiburg will make them sweat for it. 💪

Where to watch

beIN SPORTS 2

Match facts

Stadium

Europa-Park-Stadion

City

Freiburg

Referee

Felix Zwayer

4.53 yellows/match · 64 matches

Kickoff

25 Oct, 16:30 UTC

Competition

Bundesliga

Top stats

44%Possession56%

1.01Expected goals (xG)2.91

16Total shots17

4Shots on target9

1Big chances6

5Corners6

Shots

5Shots off target7

7Blocked shots1

8Shots inside box12

8Shots outside box5

0Big chances scored3

1Big chances missed3

0.22Goals prevented0.05

Attack

25Touches in box22

39Final third entries49

1Offsides1

11Free kicks9

3Fouled in final third2

Passing

407Passes523

333Accurate passes442

14/44 (32%)Long balls25/58 (43%)

5/13 (38%)Crosses2/8 (25%)

9Throw-ins17

Duels

52Duels48

37/75 (49%)Ground duels38/75 (51%)

13/22 (59%)Aerial duels9/22 (41%)

8/21 (38%)Dribbles10/19 (53%)

6Dispossessed10

Defending

19Tackles19

63Tackles won58

8Interceptions4

16Clearances23

50Recoveries51

Discipline

9Fouls11

3Yellow cards1

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

6Saves4

2Big saves1

8Goal kicks7

1Punches0

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers

Freiburg 15%

17%

Bayern 67%

1X2Bayern to win 67% · 1.83 @ William Hill

Who winsBayern to win (DNB) 73% · 1.23 @ Betano

GoalsOver 3.5 goals 55% · 1.86 @ 1xBet

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 76% · 2.75 @ William Hill

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 89% · 1.57 @ William Hill

BTTSBoth teams to score 66% · 2.40 @ William Hill

CornersOver 9.5 corners 51% · 1.82 @ Pinnacle

CornersOver 8.5 corners 63% · 1.49 @ Pinnacle

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 60% · 1.63 @ Pinnacle

1X2Draw 17% · 3.36 @ 1xBet

1X2Freiburg to win 15% · 4.80 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

5.50

SC Freiburg

5.00

Draw

1.50

FC Bayern München

Double Chanceconsensus

2.60

SC Freiburg or Draw

1.14

SC Freiburg or FC Bayern München

1.15

Draw or FC Bayern München

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.43

Yes

2.70

Home Win to Nilconsensus

15.00

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

3.20

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

11.60

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.06

Over 1.50

8.00

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.30

Over 2.50

3.55

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

1.80

Over 3.50

2.06

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

2.68

Over 4.50

1.44

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

4.00

SC Freiburg

1.20

FC Bayern München

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.20

Over 7.50

3.32

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.44

Over 8.50

2.55

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.75

Over 9.50

2.00

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.17

Over 10.50

1.62

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

2.67

Over 11.50

1.36

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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