Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
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**Leverkusen rolls in unbeaten and angry.** Hoffenheim's caught three losses in five, and Xabi Alonso's flyers are here to remind the Rhine Valley who's running Europe right now. 🔴⚫
Hoffenheim scraped wins vs Lyon and Gladbach but got humbled at home by Beşiktaş. Meanwhile, Leverkusen just demolished Lech 4-0 away and haven't dropped a single point — they're the anti-slip machine so far. Hoffenheim need a statement; Leverkusen just want to keep the perfect run rolling.
Key storylines:
- **A. Hložek** and **B. Conté** carry Hoffenheim's attacking load with key defenders (Kabak, Coufal) trying to hold a leaky backline steady
- Leverkusen's **P. Schick** and **I. Maza** lead a ruthless offensive unit that's been clinical all season — only **E. Tapsoba** and **M. Gutiérrez** stand between them and chaos
- **Hoffenheim's injury list** (Hajdari, D. Cat, Wimmer) forces rotation; **Leverkusen's absences** (Ben Seghir, Terrier, Kofane) won't slow the machine
Expected lineups:
- **TSG Hoffenheim**: O. Baumann, V. Coufal, O. Kabak, M. Rots, K. Machida, L. Avdullahu, W. Burger, A. Hložek
- **Bayer 04 Leverkusen**: M. Flekken, E. Tapsoba, M. Gutiérrez, F. Medina, A. García, E. Fernández, P. Schick, I. Maza
Prediction:
**Leverkusen 2–0** — unbeaten streaks don't break themselves, and Hoffenheim's defensive shape looks vulnerable. Slight edge to the Werkself. ⚪
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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