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Merlin Polzin
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Hamburger SV
Borussia M'gladbach
Hamburger SV
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1
Borussia M'gladbach
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
103 EUR
Away
2.88 · implied 34.7%
67.5%
+32.8 vs price
Home
2.48 · implied 40.3%
17.7%
-22.6 vs price
Draw
3.9 · implied 25.6%
17.0%
-8.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
92 EUR
Over
1.7 · implied 58.8%
65.0%
+6.1 vs price
Under
2.44 · implied 41.0%
35.1%
-5.9 vs price
2 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Coaches
Merlin PolzinAlexander Blessin 
Injuries & suspensions
Hamburger SV
B. Nadir
Thigh Injury · back 2026-12-31
F. Vieira
Thigh Injury · back 2026-11-20
M. Vušković
doping_violation · back 2026-11-06
N. Remberg
Cruciate Ligament Injury · back 2027-06-30
N. Capaldo
Muscle Injury · back 2026-11-09
Y. Poulsen
Hip Injury · back 2026-11-21
Borussia M'gladbach
E. Leopold
Cruciate Ligament Injury · back 2027-05-31
H. Bolin
Muscle Injury · back 2026-11-10
J. Leszczyński
Meniscus Injury · back 2026-12-10
K. Diks
Lack of Fitness · back 2026-11-12
Recent form
Hamburger SVLAEintracht Frankfurt1-3
LHEintracht Frankfurt1-3
LASC Paderborn 070-1
WHVfB Stuttgart1-0
WATSG Hoffenheim3-2
Borussia M'gladbachDHSC Paderborn 070-0
WHKarlsruher SC2-0
WAVfB Stuttgart3-2
LHTSG Hoffenheim1-2
LA1. FC Köln1-2
Where to watch
Disney+ (AR)Disney+ Premium Argentina
Sky Go
ESPN 5 Sur
Sky Bundesliga HD 1
ESPN 5 Sur
Nova Sport 3
Sky BundesligaSky Bundesliga 1Sky Bundesliga HD 1Sky Bundesliga UHDSky GoSky ShowcaseSky Sport Bundesliga UHDSky Sport Top EventWOW
TV2 PlayTV3 MAXViaplay
ESPN 5 Sur
DAZN ES
V Sport FootballViaplayViaplay TV (FI)
BBC Sport WebBBC iPlayer
Viaplay
BBC Sport WebBBC iPlayer
Sky Go
TV2 PlayV Sport 2Viaplay
ESPN 5 Sur
Eleven Sports 3 HD
Disney+ Premium ArgentinaESPN 5 Sur
V Sport FootballViaplay
Nova Sport 3
PeacockPeacock ES
Match facts
Stadium
Volksparkstadion
City
Hamburg
Kickoff
06 Nov, 19:30 UTC
Competition
Bundesliga
🔮 AI-predicted lineup · 66% confidence — confirmed XI drops ~1h before kickoff
Hamburger SV
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1
Borussia M'gladbach
1
D. Fernandes
7.5
3
D. M. Wolfe
6.7
17
W. Omari
6.7
33
S. Bornauw
6.8
7
Z. E. Ouahdi
6.7
5
M. Adeline
6.0
11
A. Grønbæk
7.1
6
A. Sambi Lokonga
6.6
28
M. Muheim
7.3
9
T. Moffi
6.6
18
B. Jatta
4.4
33
D. Batz
7.5
26
L. Ullrich
6.6
2
F. Chiarodia
7.0
6
K. Itakura
6.1
29
J. Scally
7.1
47
Z. Uno
6.4
16
P. Sander
6.5
10
F. Neuhaus
6.9
25
R. Hack
6.7
18
S. Machino
6.7
9
F. Honorat
6.9
Substitutes
12GS. Tangvik5.6
41GF. Dickes
40GE. Lahti
37DL. Lemke6.5
43DS. Nandja6.2
23DJ. Torunarigha6.2
48DJ. D. B. Mouelle5.8
39DJ. Agyekum
22MK. J. Amoako6.6
10MI. Pherai
46MK. Ojo
27FP. Daka6.5
19FO. Stange6.5
38FA. Røssing-Lelesiit5.2
FT. Sedlatschek
Coach: Merlin Polzin
Substitutes
1GM. Nicolas6.2
23GJ. Olschowsky
21GT. Sippel
48DL. Schweers6.9
14DD. Hashioka6.6
22DY. Konoplya6.3
20DD. Herold6.2
7MK. Stöger6.7
27MF. Fleck6.7
17MJ. Castrop6.6
34MM. Nguefack 6.4
36MW. Mohya6.0
35MJ. K. Uwakhonye
19FN. Kühn6.9
3FI. Lidberg6.7
11FT. Kleindienst6.2
39FI. M. Danfa6.2
Coach: Alexander Blessin
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 13 bookmakers
BTTSBoth teams to score 62% · 2.75 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 59% · 3.80 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 80% · 1.87 @ 1xBet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 61% · 1.41 @ 1xBet
1X2M'gladbach to win 35% · 3.00 @ William Hill
Who winsHSV to win (DNB) 62%
1X2Draw 26% · 2.75 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 63% · 1.66 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 51% · 2.05 @ Pinnacle
1X2HSV to win 40% · 2.67 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 62% · 1.52 @ 1xBet
Odds consensusnext update 09:20 UTC
1X2consensus
2.37
Hamburger SV
3.70
Draw
2.70
Borussia M'gladbach
Double Chanceconsensus
1.40
Hamburger SV or Draw
1.25
Hamburger SV or Borussia M'gladbach
1.55
Draw or Borussia M'gladbach
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.51
Yes
2.42
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
5.00
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
5.50
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.01
Over 0.50
12.30
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.18
Over 1.50
4.67
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.61
Over 2.50
2.26
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.55
Over 3.50
1.51
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.63
Over 4.50
1.18
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.20
Over 7.50
3.68
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.41
Over 8.50
2.60
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.75
Over 9.50
2.01
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.19
Over 10.50
1.61
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.88
Over 11.50
1.32
Under 11.50
1X2 (1st Half)consensus
2.87
Hamburger SV
2.31
Draw
3.20
Borussia M'gladbach
Everything we are at least 80% sure of for this match. We publish nothing below that — across all fixtures, 87.1% of these turn out right.
Over 1.5 goals
80%
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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