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Kim Hellberg
Middlesbrough
Lincoln City
Middlesbrough
4-2-2-2 · 5-3-2
Lincoln City
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
1111310 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
57.9%
-41.1 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
31.5%
+31.4 vs price
Draw
100.0 · implied 1.0%
10.5%
+9.5 vs price
Half time
2188 EUR · live
Away
1.54 · implied 64.9%
49.9%
-15.0 vs price
Home
13.0 · implied 7.7%
27.5%
+19.8 vs price
Draw
3.5 · implied 28.6%
22.5%
-6.1 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
339395 EUR · live
Under
1.22 · implied 82.0%
81.8%
-0.2 vs price
Over
5.5 · implied 18.2%
18.2%
0.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
3996 EUR · live
Under
1.14 · implied 87.7%
90.1%
+2.4 vs price
Over
8.8 · implied 11.4%
9.9%
-1.5 vs price
14 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 2 clips
Player of the match
Match events
12'
⚽
A. Reach · assist T. Darikwa0–1
36'
F. Draper · Argument
Half-time · 0–1
59'
🔁
R. Street ◂ D. Jefferies
59'
🔁
I. Olaofe ◂ F. Draper
62'
⚽
W. Lankshear1–1
63'
🔁
M. Peart-Harris ◂ L. Castledine
63'
🔁
R. McGree ◂ A. Kanté
63'
🔁
M. Arfsten ◂ N. Borges
71'
🔁
R. Hackett-Fairchild ◂ B. House
71'
🔁
J. Sarmiento ◂ K. Joseph
89'
I. Olaofe · Foul
Full-time · 2–1
90'+1
⚽
W. Lankshear · assist R. McGree2–1
90'+2
🔁
A. Jones ◂ M. Whittaker
90'+2
🔁
A. Coubiș ◂ T. Darikwa
90'+2
🔁
T. Bayliss ◂ A. Reach
Coaches
Kim HellbergChris Cohen 
Recent form
MiddlesbroughWHWrexham1-0
DHEspanyol3-3
LHHuddersfield Town1-3
DACeltic1-1
LAHull City0-1
Lincoln CityWADerby County2-1
LABarnsley0-3
WADoncaster Rovers1-0
LAGrimsby Town1-5
LALeyton Orient0-2
Where to watch
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Match facts
Stadium
Riverside
City
Middlesbrough
Kickoff
15 Aug, 14:00 UTC
Competition
Championship
Highlights & clips
Middlesbrough
4-2-2-2 · 5-3-2
Lincoln City
1
R. Vítek
6.2
2
C. Brittain
6.3
12
L. Ayling
7.4
29
A. Malanda
7.9
17
M. Arfsten
7.2
↑ 63'
14
M. Peart-Harris
7.0
↑ 63'
6
S. Berhalter
7.5
5
A. Jones
↑ 90'
8
R. McGree
7.7
↑ 63'
7
W. Lankshear
8.4
16
J. Sarmiento
6.7
↑ 71'
1
G. Wickens
6.8
4
A. Coubiș
↑ 90'
22
T. Hamer
6.4
25
D. Elerewe
6.7
6
R. Towler
6.6
8
T. Bayliss
↑ 90'
19
I. Olaofe
6.5
↑ 59'
24
V. Ivan
7.1
14
C. McGrandles
7.1
17
R. Street
6.9
↑ 59'
7
R. Hackett-Fairchild
6.1
↑ 71'
Substitutes
31GS. Brynn
30DN. Borges↓ 63'6.5
25DG. Edmundson
42MA. Kanté↓ 63'7.5
19ML. Castledine↓ 63'6.5
11MM. Whittaker↓ 90'6.5
46MF. Cartwright
22FK. Joseph↓ 71'6.7
44FC. Ibeh
Coach: Kim Hellberg
Substitutes
46GJ. Gauci
3DA. Reach↓ 90'7.0
2DT. Darikwa↓ 90'6.0
18MB. House↓ 71'7.2
16MD. Jefferies↓ 59'6.8
23MJ. Honohan
20MC. Elder
34FF. Draper↓ 59'6.3
10FM. Melia
Coach: Chris Cohen
Top stats
76%Possession24%
2.23Expected goals (xG)0.57
23Total shots10
7Shots on target2
5Big chances1
5Corners5
Shots
8Shots off target4
8Blocked shots4
14Shots inside box7
9Shots outside box3
1Hit woodwork0
2Big chances scored0
3Big chances missed1
-0.72Goals prevented-0.47
Attack
40Touches in box20
58Final third entries53
0Offsides4
12Free kicks12
3Fouled in final third2
Passing
629Passes185
555Accurate passes106
15/35 (43%)Long balls22/62 (35%)
8/31 (26%)Crosses5/19 (26%)
12Throw-ins19
Duels
46Duels54
34/69 (49%)Ground duels35/69 (51%)
15/38 (39%)Aerial duels23/38 (61%)
9/17 (53%)Dribbles5/15 (33%)
10Dispossessed5
Defending
15Tackles18
47Tackles won61
4Interceptions19
35Clearances40
51Recoveries43
Discipline
12Fouls12
0Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
0Saves5
0Big saves1
6Goal kicks11
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 72 bookmakers
Who winsMiddlesbrough to win (DNB) 86% · 1.25 @ Premierbet.mw
1X2Middlesbrough to win 70% · 1.85 @ midnite
CornersOver 9.5 corners 58% · 1.70 @ Interwetten
CornersOver 8.5 corners 68% · 1.43 @ Interwetten
BTTSBTTS: No 53% · 1.94 @ betfair
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 53% · 2.19 @ mansion
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 72% · 1.27 @ betfair
1X2Draw 20% · 3.01 @ efbet.net
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 66% · 1.06 @ betsensation
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 53% · 1.81 @ Novibet
1X2Lincoln to win 11% · 6.50 @ betcity
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.49
Middlesbrough
4.29
Draw
6.25
Lincoln City
Double Chanceconsensus
1.11
Middlesbrough or Draw
1.20
Middlesbrough or Lincoln City
2.48
Draw or Lincoln City
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.87
Yes
1.83
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
11.33
Under 0.50 ▲
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.23
Over 1.50
3.86
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.76
Over 2.50
2.01
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.85
Over 3.50
1.38
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.15
Over 4.50 ▲
1.16
Under 4.50 ▼
Draw No Betconsensus
1.16
Middlesbrough
4.53
Lincoln City
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
14.50
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.03
Over 5.50
12.17
Under 5.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.08
Over 6.50
7.00
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.18
Over 7.50
3.97
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.34
Over 8.50
2.94
Under 8.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.61
Over 9.50
2.19
Under 9.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
1.99
Over 10.50
1.73
Under 10.50 ▼
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Middlesbrough to win or draw
✓
89% confidence
Middlesbrough to avoid defeat
✓
86% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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