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John Mousinho
Portsmouth
Queens Park Rangers
Portsmouth
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Queens Park Rangers
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
224147 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
70.9%
-28.1 vs price
Home
180.0 · implied 0.6%
22.4%
+21.9 vs price
Draw
110.0 · implied 0.9%
6.7%
+5.8 vs price
Half time
1434 EUR · live
Draw
2.02 · implied 49.5%
59.6%
+10.1 vs price
Home
1.26 · implied 79.4%
31.5%
-47.9 vs price
Away
30.0 · implied 3.3%
8.9%
+5.5 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
1940 EUR
Over
2.26 · implied 44.2%
68.0%
+23.8 vs price
Under
1.8 · implied 55.6%
35.6%
-20.0 vs price
15 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 2 clips
Player of the match
Match events
15'
⚽
T. Devlin · assist E. Adams1–0
20'
🔁
K. Adamson ◂ B. Kemper
25'
R. Edwards · Foul
33'
⚽
I. Chair · assist H. Vale1–1
40'
⚽
K. Saito · assist I. Chair1–2
Half-time · 1–3
45'+2
⚽
I. Chair · assist A. S. Mbengue1–3
46'
🔁
R. K.-McQueen ◂ L. Brooke-Smith
58'
🔁
G. Kamara ◂ K. Poku
58'
🔁
P. Smyth ◂ K. Saito
65'
🔁
J. Murphy ◂ A. Kamara
72'
🔁
M. Milovanović ◂ R. Poole
72'
🔁
B. Arthur ◂ Z. Swanson
74'
🔁
A. Lloyd ◂ R. Burrell
74'
🔁
J. Varane ◂ A. S. Mbengue
83'
🔁
O. Bailey ◂ E. Adams
Full-time · 1–3
Coaches
John MousinhoJulien Stéphan 
Recent form
PortsmouthLAWest Ham United1-3
DADarmstadt 980-0
DAFarnborough1-1
LAWycombe Wanderers1-3
DABristol Rovers1-1
Queens Park RangersDHMillwall1-1
WAAFC Wimbledon3-2
WABromley7-0
WHFiorentina3-2
WHWycombe Wanderers1-0
Match facts
Stadium
Fratton Park
City
Portsmouth
Kickoff
15 Aug, 14:00 UTC
Competition
Championship
Highlights & clips
Portsmouth
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Queens Park Rangers
1
N. Schmid
7.4
24
T. Devlin
7.3
2
B. Arthur
7.1
↑ 72'
6
C. Shaughnessy
6.2
29
M. Milovanović
6.7
↑ 72'
19
R. Shein
6.6
27
O. Bailey
6.5
↑ 83'
23
J. Murphy
6.5
↑ 65'
10
A. Segecic
7.4
25
R. K.-McQueen
7.2
↑ 46'
9
C. Bishop
7.6
1
P. Charles
6.7
40
J. Varane
6.7
↑ 74'
3
J. Dunne
6.7
6
J. Clarke-Salter
6.2
2
K. Adamson
6.8
↑ 20'
20
H. Vale
7.6
5
R. Edwards
6.4
11
P. Smyth
7.1
↑ 58'
10
I. Chair
8.6
18
G. Kamara
7.3
↑ 58'
15
A. Lloyd
6.1
↑ 74'
Substitutes
31GD. Bielica
22DZ. Swanson↓ 72'6.2
5DR. Poole↓ 72'5.9
55DM. Dia
38ME. Adams↓ 83'7.3
11MA. Kamara↓ 65'6.5
16ML. Le Roux
8MJ. Swift
28FL. Brooke-Smith↓ 46'6.2
Coach: John Mousinho
Substitutes
13GC. Ward
27DA. S. Mbengue↓ 74'7.0
12DB. Kemper↓ 20'6.1
4DL. Morrison
14MK. Saito↓ 58'7.6
17MK. Poku↓ 58'6.6
23MI. Alemayehu Mulugeta
16FR. Burrell↓ 74'6.5
22FR. Kone
Coach: Julien Stéphan
Top stats
54%Possession46%
2.17Expected goals (xG)2.07
17Total shots13
6Shots on target6
5Big chances3
6Corners3
Shots
8Shots off target5
3Blocked shots2
10Shots inside box10
7Shots outside box3
0Hit woodwork0
0Big chances scored2
5Big chances missed1
-0.37Goals prevented-0.04
Attack
23Touches in box28
62Final third entries45
3Offsides0
13Free kicks9
2Fouled in final third2
Passing
413Passes357
340Accurate passes276
22/51 (43%)Long balls24/48 (50%)
5/32 (16%)Crosses6/18 (33%)
23Throw-ins17
Duels
56Duels44
34/61 (56%)Ground duels27/61 (44%)
20/35 (57%)Aerial duels15/35 (43%)
4/11 (36%)Dribbles7/15 (47%)
4Dispossessed10
Defending
18Tackles11
61Tackles won100
6Interceptions7
27Clearances29
41Recoveries45
Discipline
9Fouls13
0Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
3Saves5
7Goal kicks11
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 73 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 58% · 1.67 @ 888Sport
CornersOver 8.5 corners 68% · 1.36 @ 888Sport
1X2Draw 29% · 2.50 @ kto
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 52% · 1.77 @ BetMGM.uk
BTTSBoth teams to score 54% · 1.97 @ betinasia
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 73% · 1.03 @ 888Sport
1X2QPR to win 30% · 3.50 @ fonbet
Who winsPortsmouth to win (DNB) 57% · 1.74 @ merkurxtip
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 72% · 1.44 @ betfair
1X2Portsmouth to win 41% · 2.99 @ efbet.net
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 53% · 1.88 @ Novibet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.37
Portsmouth ▼
3.17
Draw ▼
3.04
Queens Park Rangers ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.36
Portsmouth or Draw ▼
1.33
Portsmouth or Queens Park Rangers
1.56
Draw or Queens Park Rangers ▲
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.85
Yes ▲
1.87
No ▼
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.06
Over 0.50
8.01
Under 0.50 ▼
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.36
Over 1.50 ▲
2.98
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.15
Over 2.50 ▲
1.67
Under 2.50 ▼
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.87
Over 3.50 ▲
1.23
Under 3.50 ▼
Total Goals 4.50consensus
7.60
Over 4.50 ▲
1.07
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.66
Portsmouth ▼
2.13
Queens Park Rangers ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
15.00
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.03
Over 5.50
11.67
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.07
Over 6.50
6.31
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.17
Over 7.50 ▲
4.42
Under 7.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.32
Over 8.50
3.05
Under 8.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.57
Over 9.50
2.26
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
1.92
Over 10.50 ▲
1.79
Under 10.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.8%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.8%.
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