← All matches
Alessio Dionisi
Watford
Southampton
Watford
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Southampton
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
802377 EUR · live
Home
1.07 · implied 93.5%
75.4%
-18.1 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
18.7%
+18.6 vs price
Draw
14.5 · implied 6.9%
5.9%
-1.0 vs price
Half time
15563 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
93.2%
-5.8 vs price
Away
21.0 · implied 4.8%
4.0%
-0.8 vs price
Draw
32.0 · implied 3.1%
2.8%
-0.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
92238 EUR · live
Over
1.3 · implied 76.9%
64.2%
-12.8 vs price
Under
4.5 · implied 22.2%
35.9%
+13.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
1075 EUR
Under
1.17 · implied 85.5%
69.6%
-15.9 vs price
Over
6.8 · implied 14.7%
30.3%
+15.6 vs price
18 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 2 clips
Player of the match
Match events
8'
H. Kyprianou · Foul
12'
⚽
I. Bravo1–0
13'
M. Pollock · Foul
14'
C. Larin · Argument
18'
J. Bree · Foul
24'
🔁
J. Zemura ◂ M. Bola
29'
⚽
A. Nabizada2–0
43'
A. Nabizada · Foul
Half-time · 2–0
56'
⚽
C. Larin · assist C. Bragg2–1
57'
🔁
F. Azaz ◂ L. Dobbin
61'
🔁
M. Payero ◂ I. Bravo
61'
🔁
M. Adu-Poku ◂ A. Nabizada
61'
🔁
E. Kayembe ◂ E. Bove
70'
🔁
S. Edozie ◂ C. Bragg
70'
🔁
D. Mubama ◂ C. Larin
72'
M. Doumbia · Foul
74'
F. Downes · Argument
74'
O. Maamma · Argument
77'
🔁
R. Vata ◂ O. Maamma
84'
M. Payero · Foul
89'
🔁
B. Brereton Díaz ◂ K. Matsuki
Full-time · 2–1
Coaches
Alessio DionisiTonda Eckert 
Recent form
WatfordWHCrawley Town1-0
LHFiorentina0-1
WHFC Hansa Rostock3-0
DABarnet2-2
LABoreham Wood1-2
SouthamptonWAColchester United2-0
WAPreußen Münster2-1
LASC Paderborn 071-2
WAEintracht Braunschweig1-0
WAEastleigh3-1
Where to watch
BetanoDisney+ESPN 2
Sky Sports FootballSky Sports Main Event
Arena Sport 2 HR
Sky Sports FootballSky Sports Main Event
Match facts
Stadium
Vicarage Road
City
Watford
Kickoff
16 Aug, 12:30 UTC
Competition
Championship
Highlights & clips
Watford
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Southampton
1
F. Ravaglia
7.1
23
O. Traore
6.4
6
M. Pollock
6.7
4
K. K. Biakolo
6.9
33
J. Zemura
6.5
↑ 24'
48
M. Adu-Poku
6.6
↑ 61'
5
H. Kyprianou
7.2
39
E. Kayembe
6.7
↑ 61'
22
M. Payero
6.5
↑ 61'
11
R. Vata
6.6
↑ 77'
20
M. Doumbia
6.5
1
D. Peretz
5.7
14
J. Bree
6.4
6
T. Harwood-Bellis
7.4
5
J. Stephens
5.8
3
R. Manning
7.6
23
S. Edozie
6.6
↑ 70'
4
F. Downes
7.1
22
B. Brereton Díaz
↑ 89'
7
L. Scienza
6.5
10
F. Azaz
6.4
↑ 57'
28
D. Mubama
6.4
↑ 70'
Substitutes
26GD. Bachmann
16DM. Bola↓ 24'6.7
53DJ. Clarridge
56DA. Eames
7MO. Maamma↓ 77'6.9
8ME. Bove↓ 61'6.6
17FI. Bravo↓ 61'7.9
21FA. Nabizada↓ 61'7.5
9FL. Kjerrumgaard
Coach: Alessio Dionisi
Substitutes
25GG. Long
15DN. Wood
34DWelington
26MC. Bragg↓ 70'7.1
27MK. Matsuki↓ 89'6.6
18MT. Fellows
9FC. Larin↓ 70'7.6
11FL. Dobbin↓ 57'6.1
19FC. Archer
Coach: Tonda Eckert
Top stats
34%Possession66%
0.81Expected goals (xG)1.71
16Total shots17
3Shots on target3
1Big chances3
4Corners8
Shots
6Shots off target8
7Blocked shots6
11Shots inside box11
5Shots outside box6
0Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored1
1Big chances missed2
0.19Goals prevented-1.1
Attack
22Touches in box32
27Final third entries75
0Offsides3
9Free kicks12
2Fouled in final third7
Passing
266Passes514
207Accurate passes451
23/50 (46%)Long balls30/50 (60%)
3/14 (21%)Crosses5/31 (16%)
10Throw-ins27
Duels
52Duels48
31/69 (45%)Ground duels38/69 (55%)
17/24 (71%)Aerial duels7/24 (29%)
5/14 (36%)Dribbles7/18 (39%)
11Dispossessed6
Defending
17Tackles20
53Tackles won40
8Interceptions3
47Clearances11
38Recoveries33
Discipline
12Fouls9
6Yellow cards3
Goalkeeping
2Saves1
1Big saves0
9Goal kicks12
5Punches2
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 72 bookmakers
Who winsSouthampton to win (DNB) 64% · 1.58 @ merkurxtip
1X2Southampton to win 48% · 2.45 @ efbet.net
CornersOver 9.5 corners 58% · 1.69 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 70% · 1.37 @ Unibet
BTTSBoth teams to score 58% · 1.68 @ betfair
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 54% · 6.00 @ bovada
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 77% · 1.26 @ betfair
1X2Draw 26% · 2.74 @ efbet.net
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 68% · 1.06 @ 888Sport
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 52% · 1.95 @ Interwetten
1X2Watford to win 26% · 3.75 @ bet9ja
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
3.48
Watford
3.58
Draw
1.98
Southampton ▼
Double Chanceconsensus
1.76
Watford or Draw
1.27
Watford or Southampton
1.28
Draw or Southampton
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.62
Yes
2.20
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50 ▲
11.43
Under 0.50 ▲
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.22
Over 1.50
4.16
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.72
Over 2.50
2.09
Under 2.50 ▲
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.73
Over 3.50
1.43
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.98
Over 4.50
1.15
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.61
Watford ▲
1.45
Southampton ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.01
Over 4.50
23.00
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.02
Over 5.50
13.00
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.07
Over 6.50
8.00
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.15
Over 7.50
4.61
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.32
Over 8.50
3.11
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.57
Over 9.50
2.25
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
1.92
Over 10.50
1.79
Under 10.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
Report a data issue
Spotted something wrong on this match? Tell us what and we'll fix it.