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Nicky Hayen
Burnley
West Ham United
Burnley
4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2
West Ham United
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
791280 EUR · live
Away
70.0 · implied 1.4%
65.6%
+64.2 vs price
Draw
1.05 · implied 95.2%
26.8%
-68.4 vs price
Home
42.0 · implied 2.4%
7.6%
+5.2 vs price
Half time
2168 EUR · live
Away
1.3 · implied 76.9%
57.4%
-19.5 vs price
Draw
5.1 · implied 19.6%
32.8%
+13.1 vs price
Home
30.0 · implied 3.3%
9.8%
+6.5 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
247898 EUR · live
Under
1.67 · implied 59.9%
58.7%
-1.2 vs price
Over
2.5 · implied 40.0%
41.3%
+1.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
2685 EUR · live
Under
1.14 · implied 87.7%
75.8%
-11.9 vs price
Over
8.0 · implied 12.5%
24.1%
+11.6 vs price
18 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 2 clips
Player of the match
Match events
10'
⚽
M. Kilman · assist J. Bowen0–1
33'
M. Kanté · Foul
Half-time · 0–1
46'
🔁
J. Ward-Prowse ◂ P. Felipe
57'
🔁
Z. Amdouni ◂ H. Mejbri
57'
🔁
J. Laurent ◂ U. Raghouber
67'
T. Castellanos · Foul
72'
⚽
M. Solomon0–2
76'
🔁
L. Pires ◂ B. Humphreys
76'
🔁
A. Broja ◂ A. Ramsey
82'
🔁
M. Trésor ◂ J. Bruun Larsen
83'
⚽
Z. Flemming (pen)1–2
84'
Z. Flemming · Argument
84'
M. Hermansen · Argument
87'
🔁
E. H. M. Diouf ◂ O. Scarles
89'
🔁
J. Veltman ◂ M. Solomon
Full-time · 2–2
90'+2
⚽
Z. Flemming · assist M. Alleyne2–2
90'+5
E. H. M. Diouf · Foul
Coaches
Nicky HayenNuno Espírito Santo 
Recent form
BurnleyDHNotts County1-1
LHTorino0-1
DHEspanyol2-2
LAAFC Ajax1-2
LAReal Salt Lake1-4
West Ham UnitedWHPortsmouth3-1
DA1. FC Magdeburg1-1
DARangers0-0
WAStevenage5-0
DASouthend United1-1
Where to watch
Disney+ESPN 3
Sky Sport Premier LeagueSky Sport Top EventWOW
Viaplay
Sky Sports FootballSky Sports Main Event
Viaplay
Arena Sport 2 HR
Sky Sports FootballSky Sports Main Event
Sport TV6
Match facts
Stadium
Turf Moor
City
Burnley
Kickoff
16 Aug, 15:00 UTC
Competition
Championship
Highlights & clips
Burnley
4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2
West Ham United
1
M. Weiss
6.1
22
O. Sonne
6.2
2
K. Walker
6.9
3
M. Alleyne
6.6
23
L. Pires
6.3
↑ 76'
29
J. Laurent
6.6
↑ 57'
11
Z. Amdouni
6.4
↑ 57'
10
M. Edwards
7.3
27
A. Broja
7.0
↑ 76'
31
M. Trésor
6.7
↑ 82'
19
Z. Flemming
8.4
1
M. Hermansen
7.0
2
K. Walker-Peters
6.3
15
K. Mavropanos
6.8
3
M. Kilman
7.4
12
E. H. M. Diouf
6.1
↑ 87'
20
J. Bowen
7.3
61
L. Orford
6.9
17
M. Kanté
6.3
34
J. Veltman
6.2
↑ 89'
8
J. Ward-Prowse
6.9
↑ 46'
11
T. Castellanos
6.7
Substitutes
13GB. Amos
6DB. Humphreys↓ 76'6.9
4DJ. Worrall
20DS. Sambo
21MA. Ramsey↓ 76'6.9
28MH. Mejbri↓ 57'6.6
8MU. Raghouber↓ 57'6.2
7FJ. Bruun Larsen↓ 82'7.1
17FA. Hountondji
Coach: Nicky Hayen
Substitutes
23GA. Aréola
30DO. Scarles↓ 87'6.9
58DA. Golambeckis
63DE. Mayers
40MG. Earthy
10FM. Solomon↓ 89'7.7
19FP. Felipe↓ 46'6.5
66FJ. Ajala
48FJ. Landers
Coach: Nuno Espírito Santo
Top stats
46%Possession54%
2.33Expected goals (xG)1.33
18Total shots11
6Shots on target2
5Big chances4
5Corners6
Shots
11Shots off target3
1Blocked shots6
11Shots inside box10
7Shots outside box1
1Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored2
4Big chances missed2
-0.87Goals prevented0.26
Attack
33Touches in box23
46Final third entries56
0Offsides1
8Free kicks12
1Fouled in final third1
Passing
397Passes462
328Accurate passes402
12/35 (34%)Long balls20/51 (39%)
5/21 (24%)Crosses7/22 (32%)
15Throw-ins15
Duels
46Duels54
27/58 (47%)Ground duels31/58 (53%)
8/18 (44%)Aerial duels10/18 (56%)
9/15 (60%)Dribbles9/10 (90%)
4Dispossessed9
Defending
10Tackles10
60Tackles won90
2Interceptions10
26Clearances16
47Recoveries40
Discipline
12Fouls9
1Yellow cards4
Goalkeeping
1Saves3
7Goal kicks15
2Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 71 bookmakers
Who winsWest Ham to win (DNB) 59% · 1.72 @ merkurxtip
1X2West Ham to win 43% · 2.65 @ fonbet
CornersOver 9.5 corners 51% · 1.90 @ Novibet
BTTSBoth teams to score 57% · 1.70 @ soccerbet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 62% · 1.55 @ Interwetten
1X2Draw 27% · 2.65 @ efbet.net
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 52% · 7.30 @ merkurxtip
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 76% · 1.29 @ efbet.net
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 70% · 1.06 @ Novibet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 60% · 1.61 @ 888Sport
1X2Burnley to win 30% · 3.47 @ efbet.net
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.93
Burnley
3.44
Draw
2.28
West Ham United
Double Chanceconsensus
1.60
Burnley or Draw ▼
1.29
Burnley or West Ham United
1.38
Draw or West Ham United
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.60
Yes
2.22
No ▲
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
10.97
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.23
Over 1.50 ▲
3.98
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.76
Over 2.50
2.03
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.89
Over 3.50
1.38
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.28
Over 4.50
1.14
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.18
Burnley
1.66
West Ham United
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.01
Over 4.50
12.00
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.06
Over 5.50
9.40
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.12
Over 6.50
5.45
Under 6.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.27
Over 7.50
3.45
Under 7.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.49
Over 8.50
2.44
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.84
Over 9.50
1.87
Under 9.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.33
Over 10.50 ▲
1.54
Under 10.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
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