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Phil Parkinson
Wrexham
Watford
Wrexham
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1
Watford
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
164780 EUR · live
Home
8.6 · implied 11.6%
61.3%
+49.6 vs price
Draw
1.11 · implied 90.1%
24.5%
-65.6 vs price
Away
160.0 · implied 0.6%
14.3%
+13.6 vs price
Half time
295 EUR
Away
4.9 · implied 20.4%
52.5%
+32.1 vs price
Draw
2.4 · implied 41.7%
47.1%
+5.4 vs price
Home
2.62 · implied 38.2%
0.0%
-38.2 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
48587 EUR · live
Over
15.5 · implied 6.5%
50.0%
+43.6 vs price
Under
1.05 · implied 95.2%
50.0%
-45.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
1931 EUR · live
Under
1.72 · implied 58.1%
80.5%
+22.4 vs price
Over
2.3 · implied 43.5%
19.5%
-24.0 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
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Highlights 2 clips
Player of the match
Match events
14'
⚽
L. Kjerrumgaard · assist O. Traore0–1
20'
N. Broadhead · Simulation
22'
⚽
D. Imray1–1
Half-time · 1–1
45'
🔁
A. Eames ◂ O. Traore
58'
🔁
M. Payero ◂ O. Maamma
63'
🔁
S. Smith ◂ K. Moore
67'
🔁
M. Doumbia ◂ A. Nabizada
67'
🔁
E. Kayembe ◂ E. Bove
67'
🔁
R. Vata ◂ L. Kjerrumgaard
70'
🔁
B. Cadamarteri ◂ O. Rathbone
72'
B. Whiteman · Foul
78'
🔁
M. James ◂ N. Broadhead
78'
🔁
R. Longman ◂ D. Imray
Full-time · 1–1
90'+4
🔁
M. Cleworth ◂ G. Thomason
Coaches
Phil ParkinsonAlessio Dionisi 
Recent form
WrexhamDACardiff City1-1
LAMiddlesbrough0-1
LASunderland0-1
LALiverpool FC0-1
WALeeds United3-2
WatfordWHSouthampton2-1
WHCrawley Town1-0
LHFiorentina0-1
WHFC Hansa Rostock3-0
DABarnet2-2
Where to watch
Viaplay
Viaplay
TV2 PlayViaplay
Viaplay
Paramount+
Match facts
Stadium
Racecourse Ground
City
Wrexham
Kickoff
22 Aug, 14:00 UTC
Competition
Championship
Highlights & clips
Wrexham
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1
Watford
22
A. Patterson
7.0
26
Z. Vyner
6.8
5
D. Hyam
6.6
2
C. Doyle
7.0
47
R. Longman
6.6
↑ 78'
8
B. Whiteman
6.7
27
L. O'Brien
7.0
4
M. Cleworth
↑ 90'
11
B. Cadamarteri
6.6
↑ 70'
37
M. James
7.4
↑ 78'
28
S. Smith
6.5
↑ 63'
1
F. Ravaglia
6.4
56
A. Eames
6.7
↑ 45'
6
M. Pollock
6.7
4
K. K. Biakolo
7.2
33
J. Zemura
6.7
39
E. Kayembe
6.7
↑ 67'
5
H. Kyprianou
7.2
20
M. Doumbia
6.5
↑ 67'
17
I. Bravo
7.1
22
M. Payero
6.6
↑ 58'
11
R. Vata
6.3
↑ 67'
Substitutes
21GD. Ward
30DD. Imray↓ 78'7.3
24DD. Scarr
14MG. Thomason↓ 90'6.9
15MG. Dobson
20FO. Rathbone↓ 70'7.6
33FN. Broadhead↓ 78'7.2
19FK. Moore↓ 63'6.8
7FD. Keillor-Dunn
Coach: Phil Parkinson
Substitutes
26GD. Bachmann
23DO. Traore↓ 45'6.7
53DJ. Clarridge
8ME. Bove↓ 67'7.0
7MO. Maamma↓ 58'6.2
48MM. Adu-Poku
52ML. Ramirez-Espain
9FL. Kjerrumgaard↓ 67'7.5
21FA. Nabizada↓ 67'6.4
Coach: Alessio Dionisi
Top stats
59%Possession41%
1.92Expected goals (xG)0.65
12Total shots10
2Shots on target6
2Big chances1
10Corners3
Shots
6Shots off target3
4Blocked shots1
10Shots inside box5
2Shots outside box5
2Hit woodwork0
0Big chances scored1
2Big chances missed0
0.32Goals prevented-0.47
Attack
29Touches in box19
72Final third entries54
1Offsides0
11Free kicks13
4Fouled in final third4
Passing
477Passes341
392Accurate passes247
26/56 (46%)Long balls14/55 (25%)
6/32 (19%)Crosses5/20 (25%)
23Throw-ins19
Duels
48Duels52
38/78 (49%)Ground duels40/78 (51%)
18/38 (47%)Aerial duels20/38 (53%)
10/22 (45%)Dribbles9/15 (60%)
8Dispossessed11
Defending
17Tackles20
71Tackles won70
11Interceptions9
21Clearances36
62Recoveries56
Discipline
13Fouls11
2Yellow cards0
Goalkeeping
5Saves1
7Goal kicks9
0Punches3
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 75 bookmakers
1X2Wrexham to win 53% · 2.40 @ Novibet
CornersOver 9.5 corners 51% · 1.83 @ Novibet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 63% · 1.50 @ Interwetten
Who winsWrexham to win (DNB) 64% · 1.53 @ forbet
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 51% · 1.20 @ 10bet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 73% · 1.36 @ Betano
1X2Draw 25% · 2.65 @ forbet
BTTSBoth teams to score 51% · 3.40 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 73% · 2.10 @ 888Sport
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 60% · 1.72 @ Pinnacle
1X2Watford to win 22% · 3.93 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.91
Wrexham ▼
3.54
Draw ▲
3.80
Watford ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.25
Wrexham or Draw ▼
1.28
Wrexham or Watford ▲
1.83
Draw or Watford ▲
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.72
Yes ▲
2.01
No ▼
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
2.65
YES
1.42
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
4.33
YES
1.18
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.35
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
6.50
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
10.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.26
Over 1.50 ▲
3.55
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.84
Over 2.50 ▼
1.90
Under 2.50 ▼
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.08
Over 3.50 ▼
1.33
Under 3.50 ▼
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.95
Over 4.50
1.11
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.44
Wrexham
2.58
Watford
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.01
Over 4.50
12.50
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.05
Over 5.50
8.30
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.12
Over 6.50
5.28
Under 6.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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