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Phil Parkinson
Wrexham
Birmingham City
Wrexham
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1
Birmingham City
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
388497 EUR · live
Away
1.04 · implied 96.2%
69.4%
-26.8 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
18.1%
+18.0 vs price
Draw
26.0 · implied 3.8%
12.5%
+8.7 vs price
Half time
1857 EUR · live
Away
1.36 · implied 73.5%
45.0%
-28.5 vs price
Draw
4.7 · implied 21.3%
33.7%
+12.4 vs price
Home
24.0 · implied 4.2%
21.3%
+17.1 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
82541 EUR · live
Under
2.28 · implied 43.9%
58.5%
+14.6 vs price
Over
1.76 · implied 56.8%
41.6%
-15.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
4717 EUR · live
Under
1.11 · implied 90.1%
89.3%
-0.8 vs price
Over
9.4 · implied 10.6%
10.7%
0.0 vs price
18 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 2 clips
Player of the match
Match events
7'
A. Cochrane · Simulation
13'
⚽
P. Neumann · assist A. Cochrane0–1
Half-time · 0–1
46'
🔁
P. Roberts ◂ D. Gray
50'
B. Osayi-Samuel · Foul
54'
⚽
C. Doyle · assist L. O'Brien1–1
63'
⚽
P. Neumann · assist A. Priske1–2
70'
🔁
S. Smith ◂ N. Broadhead
71'
🔁
I. Kaboré ◂ D. Imray
71'
🔁
R. Longman ◂ J. Ekomie
71'
🔁
J. Windass ◂ O. Rathbone
74'
🔁
S. Paik ◂ J. Stansfield
79'
🔁
B. Cadamarteri ◂ K. Moore
82'
🔁
L. Vázquez ◂ A. Priske
Full-time · 1–2
90'
🔁
E. Laird ◂ B. Osayi-Samuel
90'
🔁
D. Fry ◂ C. Vicente
90'+3
B. Cadamarteri · Foul
Coaches
Phil ParkinsonChris Davies 
Recent form
WrexhamDHWatford1-1
DACardiff City1-1
LAMiddlesbrough0-1
LASunderland0-1
LALiverpool FC0-1
Birmingham CityLHBrentford1-6
DHBristol City2-2
DASheffield United0-0
WASwansea City1-0
DHFC Barcelona2-2
Where to watch
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Match facts
Stadium
Racecourse Ground
City
Wrexham
Kickoff
28 Aug, 19:00 UTC
Competition
Championship
Highlights & clips
Wrexham
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1
Birmingham City
22
A. Patterson
6.7
26
Z. Vyner
6.3
5
D. Hyam
7.0
2
C. Doyle
8.1
12
I. Kaboré
7.7
↑ 71'
8
B. Whiteman
6.6
27
L. O'Brien
7.0
47
R. Longman
6.6
↑ 71'
10
J. Windass
6.6
↑ 71'
28
S. Smith
6.4
↑ 70'
11
B. Cadamarteri
6.4
↑ 79'
1
J. Beadle
7.3
2
E. Laird
↑ 90'
5
P. Neumann
8.8
4
C. Klarer
7.1
20
A. Cochrane
7.0
24
T. Iwata
6.8
14
J. Solís
6.6
23
D. Fry
↑ 90'
16
P. Roberts
6.8
↑ 46'
8
S. Paik
6.6
↑ 74'
32
L. Vázquez
6.4
↑ 82'
Substitutes
21GD. Ward
3DJ. Ekomie↓ 71'6.4
30DD. Imray↓ 71'6.2
24DD. Scarr
4DM. Cleworth
37MM. James
20FO. Rathbone↓ 71'7.5
33FN. Broadhead↓ 70'6.8
19FK. Moore↓ 79'6.3
Coach: Phil Parkinson
Substitutes
21GR. Allsop
26DB. Osayi-Samuel↓ 90'6.6
25DK. Lund
7MC. Vicente↓ 90'7.1
10MD. Gray↓ 46'6.8
28MJ. Stansfield↓ 74'6.1
11MS. Wright
9FA. Priske↓ 82'6.7
33FM. Ducksch
Coach: Chris Davies
Top stats
62%Possession38%
1.42Expected goals (xG)1.62
9Total shots9
4Shots on target4
1Big chances5
3Corners6
Shots
4Shots off target2
1Blocked shots3
8Shots inside box7
1Shots outside box2
0Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored2
0Big chances missed3
-0.32Goals prevented0.1
Attack
13Touches in box16
80Final third entries66
2Offsides2
14Free kicks9
4Fouled in final third0
Passing
494Passes311
388Accurate passes205
32/73 (44%)Long balls18/66 (27%)
3/22 (14%)Crosses5/15 (33%)
25Throw-ins27
Duels
49Duels51
24/50 (48%)Ground duels26/50 (52%)
25/49 (51%)Aerial duels24/49 (49%)
4/8 (50%)Dribbles5/8 (63%)
8Dispossessed3
Defending
6Tackles12
50Tackles won42
8Interceptions11
22Clearances29
61Recoveries56
Discipline
9Fouls14
1Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
1Saves3
1Big saves0
7Goal kicks9
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 54% · 1.80 @ Unibet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 66% · 1.49 @ Unibet
1X2Draw 29% · 2.43 @ Unibet
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 52% · 1.17 @ 10bet
1X2Birmingham to win 32% · 3.73 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 73% · 1.30 @ 10bet
BTTSBoth teams to score 53% · 3.75 @ Bet365
Who winsWrexham to win (DNB) 59% · 1.65 @ Betano
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 72% · 2.40 @ William Hill
1X2Wrexham to win 39% · 2.70 @ 10bet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 57% · 1.80 @ betfair
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.23
Wrexham
3.25
Draw
3.38
Birmingham City
Double Chanceconsensus
1.30
Wrexham or Draw
1.30
Wrexham or Birmingham City
1.60
Draw or Birmingham City
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.81
Yes
1.90
No
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
3.10
YES
1.33
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
3.35
YES
1.28
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.92
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
4.88
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.05
Over 0.50
8.50
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.36
Over 1.50
3.08
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.16
Over 2.50
1.67
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.83
Over 3.50
1.23
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
7.65
Over 4.50
1.06
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.61
Wrexham
2.15
Birmingham City
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.14
Over 7.50
4.26
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.33
Over 8.50
2.88
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.70
Over 9.50
2.15
Under 9.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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