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Tony Mowbray
Blackburn Rovers
Queens Park Rangers
Blackburn Rovers
4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2
Queens Park Rangers
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
19524 EUR
Away
2.66 · implied 37.6%
50.7%
+13.1 vs price
Home
2.96 · implied 33.8%
31.8%
-2.0 vs price
Draw
3.5 · implied 28.6%
17.5%
-11.0 vs price
Half time
316 EUR
Draw
2.3 · implied 43.5%
52.6%
+9.1 vs price
Away
3.5 · implied 28.6%
47.2%
+18.6 vs price
Home
3.3 · implied 30.3%
0.0%
-30.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
47329 EUR · live
Under
1.95 · implied 51.3%
56.3%
+5.0 vs price
Over
2.04 · implied 49.0%
43.7%
-5.3 vs price
12 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 2 clips
Player of the match
Match events
30'
J. Clarke-Salter · Off the ball foul
40'
R. Edwards · Foul
Half-time · 0–0
46'
🔁
T. Lamptey ◂ D. Cirkin
46'
🔁
G. Kamara ◂ N. Madsen
49'
⚽
R. Morishita · assist A. Guðjohnsen1–0
51'
⚽
P. Smyth · assist R. Burrell1–1
57'
🔁
S. Morsy ◂ A. Forshaw
57'
🔁
A. Lloyd ◂ R. Kone
64'
🔁
K. Poku ◂ P. Smyth
65'
A. Guðjohnsen · Foul
74'
⚽
J. Dunne · assist T. Lamptey1–2
76'
S. McLoughlin · Foul
80'
🔁
K. Adamson ◂ A. S. Mbengue
80'
S. Morsy · Foul
81'
🔁
J. Fevrier ◂ O. Afolayan
81'
🔁
J. Garrett ◂ K. Montgomery
81'
🔁
H. Pates ◂ Y. Ribeiro
88'
🔁
F. Vare ◂ T. Cantwell
Full-time · 1–2
Coaches
Tony MowbrayJulien Stéphan 
Recent form
Blackburn RoversLHSheffield United1-2
WHMiddlesbrough2-1
DAWolverhampton2-2
WABurton Albion2-1
DAHuddersfield Town1-1
Queens Park RangersDHBolton Wanderers0-0
WAPortsmouth3-1
DHMillwall1-1
WAAFC Wimbledon3-2
WABromley7-0
Where to watch
Viaplay
Viaplay
Viaplay
Viaplay
Match facts
Stadium
Ewood Park
City
Blackburn
Kickoff
29 Aug, 14:00 UTC
Competition
Championship
Highlights & clips
Blackburn Rovers
4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2
Queens Park Rangers
22
B. Tóth
6.9
2
R. Alebiousu
7.0
6
T. Atcheson
6.9
15
S. McLoughlin
6.9
39
H. Pates
6.4
↑ 81'
8
S. Morsy
6.4
↑ 57'
30
J. Garrett
6.7
↑ 81'
25
R. Morishita
7.9
53
F. Vare
↑ 88'
11
J. Fevrier
6.5
↑ 81'
9
A. Guðjohnsen
6.4
1
P. Charles
7.6
2
K. Adamson
6.7
↑ 80'
3
J. Dunne
7.8
6
J. Clarke-Salter
6.8
48
T. Lamptey
7.0
↑ 46'
17
K. Poku
6.8
↑ 64'
5
R. Edwards
7.1
18
G. Kamara
7.3
↑ 46'
10
I. Chair
6.5
15
A. Lloyd
6.3
↑ 57'
16
R. Burrell
6.8
Substitutes
1GA. Pears
4DY. Ribeiro↓ 81'6.4
47DL. Houghton
31MK. Montgomery↓ 81'6.7
10MT. Cantwell↓ 88'6.7
28MA. Forshaw↓ 57'6.6
42MH. Lister
36MJ. Edmondson
21FO. Afolayan↓ 81'6.3
Coach: Tony Mowbray
Substitutes
13GC. Ward
19DD. Cirkin↓ 46'7.0
27DA. S. Mbengue↓ 80'6.5
11MP. Smyth↓ 64'8.1
24MN. Madsen↓ 46'6.9
20MH. Vale
14MK. Saito
40MJ. Varane
22FR. Kone↓ 57'6.4
Coach: Julien Stéphan
Top stats
55%Possession45%
0.92Expected goals (xG)1.34
12Total shots19
2Shots on target6
1Big chances2
3Corners3
Shots
6Shots off target7
4Blocked shots6
7Shots inside box11
5Shots outside box8
0Hit woodwork0
0Big chances scored1
1Big chances missed1
-0.23Goals prevented0.05
Attack
18Touches in box27
71Final third entries57
1Offsides0
6Free kicks12
1Fouled in final third1
Passing
519Passes438
448Accurate passes373
34/62 (55%)Long balls20/50 (40%)
5/21 (24%)Crosses5/13 (38%)
18Throw-ins10
Duels
39Duels61
25/63 (40%)Ground duels38/63 (60%)
8/21 (38%)Aerial duels13/21 (62%)
10/25 (40%)Dribbles8/10 (80%)
3Dispossessed8
Defending
10Tackles18
60Tackles won50
5Interceptions12
20Clearances22
44Recoveries48
Discipline
12Fouls6
3Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
4Saves1
0Big saves1
14Goal kicks11
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 55% · 1.77 @ 10bet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 66% · 1.42 @ Unibet
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 53% · 1.15 @ 10bet
1X2Draw 28% · 2.43 @ Unibet
Who winsBlackburn to win (DNB) 62% · 1.80 @ Bet365
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 74% · 1.30 @ Pinnacle
1X2QPR to win 33% · 3.20 @ 10bet
BTTSBoth teams to score 53% · 3.50 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 71% · 2.21 @ 1xBet
1X2Blackburn to win 38% · 2.87 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 56% · 1.79 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.45
Blackburn Rovers
3.29
Draw
2.83
Queens Park Rangers
Double Chanceconsensus
1.38
Blackburn Rovers or Draw
1.30
Blackburn Rovers or Queens Park Rangers
1.53
Draw or Queens Park Rangers
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.71
Yes
2.02
No
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
2.90
YES
1.36
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
3.50
YES
1.25
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.95
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
5.00
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
8.60
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.33
Over 1.50
3.20
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.01
Over 2.50
1.77
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.58
Over 3.50
1.27
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
7.53
Over 4.50
1.07
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.75
Blackburn Rovers
1.98
Queens Park Rangers
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.20
Over 7.50
4.00
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.40
Over 8.50
2.75
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.68
Over 9.50
2.00
Under 9.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
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