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Steven Schumacher
Bolton Wanderers
Lincoln City
Bolton Wanderers
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-3
Lincoln City
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
106083 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
53.9%
-45.1 vs price
Home
120.0 · implied 0.8%
34.8%
+34.0 vs price
Draw
34.0 · implied 2.9%
12.2%
+9.2 vs price
Half time
274 EUR
Home
3.4 · implied 29.4%
53.4%
+23.9 vs price
Draw
2.32 · implied 43.1%
46.1%
+2.9 vs price
Away
3.6 · implied 27.8%
0.0%
-27.8 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
34234 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
79.7%
-19.3 vs price
Over
36.0 · implied 2.8%
20.7%
+18.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
59 EUR
Under
1.12 · implied 89.3%
99.3%
+10.0 vs price
Over
0.0%
9 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
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Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
30'
B. House · Simulation
Half-time · 0–0
61'
🔁
K. Dong ◂ S. I. Junior
61'
🔁
G. Larrazabal ◂ A. Famewo
65'
🔁
R. Street ◂ F. Draper
66'
⚽
B. House · assist C. Elder0–1
71'
🔁
J. Nelson ◂ T. Gale
72'
🔁
R. Hardie ◂ J. McAtee
79'
V. Ivan · Time wasting
80'
🔁
T. Olaofe ◂ R. Hackett-Fairchild
80'
🔁
D. Watson ◂ E. Erhahon
85'
🔁
T. Bayliss ◂ V. Ivan
85'
🔁
J. Honohan ◂ B. House
Full-time · 0–1
90'+3
C. McGrandles · Foul
Coaches
Steven SchumacherChris Cohen 
Recent form
Bolton WanderersDAQueens Park Rangers0-0
WHPreston North End2-1
LASheffield Wednesday0-1
WHNAC Breda1-0
DAFleetwood Town1-1
Lincoln CityWABlackpool4-1
LHPortsmouth1-3
LAMiddlesbrough1-2
WADerby County2-1
LABarnsley0-3
Where to watch
Viaplay
Viaplay
Viaplay
Viaplay
Match facts
Stadium
Toughsheet Community Stadium
City
Horwich
Kickoff
29 Aug, 14:00 UTC
Competition
Championship
Highlights & clips
Bolton Wanderers
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-3
Lincoln City
1
J. Bonham
7.0
5
L. Brunt
6.9
3
C. Forino
7.5
22
G. Larrazabal
6.3
↑ 61'
25
M. Conway
7.4
8
J. Sheehan
8.1
12
D. Watson
6.4
↑ 80'
7
K. Dong
6.5
↑ 61'
39
R. Hardie
6.4
↑ 72'
26
J. Nelson
6.6
↑ 71'
10
S. Dalby
6.5
1
G. Wickens
8.9
25
D. Elerewe
7.0
6
R. Towler
7.8
20
C. Elder
7.2
16
D. Jefferies
7.3
8
T. Bayliss
6.5
↑ 85'
14
C. McGrandles
6.9
3
A. Reach
7.2
19
T. Olaofe
6.4
↑ 80'
17
R. Street
6.3
↑ 65'
23
J. Honohan
6.3
↑ 85'
Substitutes
31GG. Bazunu
14DA. Famewo↓ 61'7.0
18DE. Toal
6DB. Davies
21ME. Erhahon↓ 80'7.3
11MT. Gale↓ 71'6.8
45MJ. McAtee↓ 72'6.5
16MS. I. Junior↓ 61'6.4
54MT. Ritchie
Coach: Steven Schumacher
Substitutes
46GJ. Gauci
4DA. Coubiș
18MB. House↓ 85'8.1
24MV. Ivan↓ 85'7.3
7MR. Hackett-Fairchild↓ 80'6.6
26MY. Konak
34FF. Draper↓ 65'6.1
29FE. Wheatley
10FM. Melia
Coach: Chris Cohen
Top stats
68%Possession32%
1.89Expected goals (xG)1.32
21Total shots8
6Shots on target2
2Big chances1
14Corners2
Shots
8Shots off target3
7Blocked shots3
13Shots inside box5
8Shots outside box3
1Hit woodwork1
0Big chances scored1
2Big chances missed0
-0.01Goals prevented1.02
Attack
37Touches in box18
67Final third entries47
0Offsides4
15Free kicks6
1Fouled in final third1
Passing
528Passes253
454Accurate passes180
28/53 (53%)Long balls17/57 (30%)
10/51 (20%)Crosses5/14 (36%)
22Throw-ins23
Duels
51Duels49
35/70 (50%)Ground duels35/70 (50%)
24/45 (53%)Aerial duels21/45 (47%)
13/26 (50%)Dribbles3/6 (50%)
13Dispossessed5
Defending
8Tackles26
75Tackles won62
6Interceptions8
26Clearances49
45Recoveries43
Discipline
6Fouls15
0Yellow cards3
Goalkeeping
1Saves7
0Big saves1
4Goal kicks15
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 53% · 1.16 @ Unibet
1X2Draw 29% · 2.45 @ Unibet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 60% · 1.58 @ Pinnacle
1X2Lincoln to win 33% · 3.24 @ 1xBet
BTTSBoth teams to score 53% · 3.40 @ Bet365
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 73% · 1.30 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 63% · 1.54 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 51% · 1.87 @ Pinnacle
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 71% · 2.20 @ William Hill
1X2Bolton to win 38% · 2.80 @ Unibet
Who winsBolton to win (DNB) 50% · 1.75 @ Betano
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.45
Bolton Wanderers
3.27
Draw
2.88
Lincoln City
Double Chanceconsensus
1.39
Bolton Wanderers or Draw
1.30
Bolton Wanderers or Lincoln City
1.52
Draw or Lincoln City
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.68
Yes
2.08
No
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
3.00
YES
1.33
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
3.35
YES
1.28
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
4.20
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
4.88
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
9.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.33
Over 1.50
3.23
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.00
Over 2.50
1.78
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.50
Over 3.50
1.29
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
7.12
Over 4.50
1.07
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.73
Bolton Wanderers
2.00
Lincoln City
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.27
Over 7.50
3.18
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.56
Over 8.50
2.32
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.95
Over 9.50
1.80
Under 9.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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