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Nathan Jones
Charlton Athletic
Preston North End
Charlton Athletic
4-2-3-1 · 5-3-2
Preston North End
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
97526 EUR · live
Home
1.02 · implied 98.0%
75.3%
-22.7 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
14.7%
+14.6 vs price
Draw
26.0 · implied 3.8%
10.0%
+6.2 vs price
Half time
1285 EUR · live
Away
5.8 · implied 17.2%
84.5%
+67.3 vs price
Draw
1.7 · implied 58.8%
12.9%
-45.9 vs price
Home
4.0 · implied 25.0%
2.4%
-22.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
18263 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
77.6%
-21.4 vs price
Over
100.0 · implied 1.0%
22.4%
+21.4 vs price
10 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 2 clips
Player of the match
Match events
Half-time · 0–0
46'
🔁
M. Alli ◂ S. Carey
54'
L. Leroy · Foul
56'
⚽
K. Grant · assist M. Alli1–0
63'
🔁
A. Nwamba ◂ N. Chalobah
70'
🔁
S. Mills ◂ C. Lang
70'
🔁
J. Erabi ◂ O. Offiah
77'
🔁
T. Small ◂ J. Thompson
88'
🔁
C. Wiley ◂ A. Vukčević
88'
🔁
M. Mbick ◂ M. Leaburn
Full-time · 1–0
90'+3
🔁
J. Rankin-Costello ◂ T. Campbell
90'+3
🔁
N. Asiimwe ◂ K. Grant
90'+6
J. Rankin-Costello · Foul
Coaches
Paul Heckingbottom 
Recent form
LATottenham Hotspur1-5
WAWest Ham United2-1
WHDerby County2-1
WACheltenham Town3-1
LAReading0-3
LHEverton0-4
LHWolverhampton1-3
LABolton Wanderers1-2
DHHuddersfield Town1-1
LAStockport County0-1
Where to watch
Viaplay
Viaplay
Viaplay
Viaplay
Match facts
Stadium
The Valley
City
London
Kickoff
29 Aug, 14:00 UTC
Competition
Championship
Highlights & clips
13
A. Okonkwo
7.2
20
D. McNamara
6.8
5
L. Jones
8.0
17
A. Bell
7.5
18
I. Mesík
7.2
6
C. Coventry
6.7
32
A. Nwamba
6.9
↑ 63'
31
N. Asiimwe
↑ 90'
19
M. Alli
7.1
↑ 46'
26
J. Rankin-Costello
↑ 90'
33
M. Mbick
6.5
↑ 88'
1
D. Iversen
6.2
4
H. Clarke
6.8
17
S. Mills
6.5
↑ 70'
6
L. Lindsay
6.6
19
L. Gibson
6.5
12
C. Wiley
6.6
↑ 88'
11
T. Small
6.6
↑ 77'
27
L. Leroy
6.8
7
A. Devine
8.0
9
J. Erabi
6.8
↑ 70'
37
D. Burgzorg
6.1
Substitutes
21GT. Brooks
9MK. Grant↓ 90'7.2
15MN. Chalobah↓ 63'6.8
14MS. Carey↓ 46'6.5
16MT. Ouma
30MR. Apter
8MH. Knibbs
7FT. Campbell↓ 90'7.4
11FM. Leaburn↓ 88'6.6
Coach: Nathan Jones
Substitutes
21GL. Nicholls
3DA. Vukčević↓ 88'6.7
24DO. Offiah↓ 70'6.4
2DP. Valentín
14DJ. Storey
15MJ. Thompson↓ 77'6.3
23MA. Moran
10FC. Lang↓ 70'5.6
30FG. Gryba
Coach: Paul Heckingbottom
Top stats
57%Possession43%
0.87Expected goals (xG)0.91
15Total shots12
2Shots on target1
0Big chances1
7Corners4
Shots
3Shots off target5
10Blocked shots6
4Shots inside box5
11Shots outside box7
0Hit woodwork0
0Big chances missed1
0.14Goals prevented-0.47
Attack
18Touches in box15
51Final third entries42
6Offsides0
21Free kicks10
2Fouled in final third1
Passing
428Passes313
354Accurate passes226
16/49 (33%)Long balls16/55 (29%)
5/13 (38%)Crosses4/16 (25%)
20Throw-ins20
Duels
54Duels46
33/64 (52%)Ground duels31/64 (48%)
20/35 (57%)Aerial duels15/35 (43%)
3/5 (60%)Dribbles5/10 (50%)
14Dispossessed8
Defending
13Tackles16
62Tackles won63
8Interceptions17
21Clearances14
47Recoveries39
Discipline
10Fouls21
1Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
1Saves1
6Goal kicks5
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 54% · 1.77 @ 10bet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 65% · 1.46 @ Unibet
Who winsCharlton to win (DNB) 67% · 1.50 @ Betano
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 55% · 1.14 @ 10bet
1X2Draw 29% · 2.43 @ Unibet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 75% · 1.26 @ Pinnacle
1X2Charlton to win 45% · 2.50 @ 10bet
BTTSBoth teams to score 50% · 3.75 @ Bet365
1X2Preston to win 27% · 3.84 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 69% · 2.30 @ Unibet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 57% · 1.72 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.10
Charlton Athletic
3.30
Draw
3.60
Preston North End
Double Chanceconsensus
1.28
Charlton Athletic or Draw
1.30
Charlton Athletic or Preston North End
1.67
Draw or Preston North End
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.85
Yes
1.86
No
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
2.55
YES
1.45
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
3.60
YES
1.25
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.42
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
5.65
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.05
Over 0.50
8.50
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.37
Over 1.50
3.00
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.12
Over 2.50
1.70
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.88
Over 3.50
1.23
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
8.00
Over 4.50
1.05
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.48
Charlton Athletic
2.50
Preston North End
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.20
Over 7.50
4.00
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.40
Over 8.50
2.75
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.73
Over 9.50
2.00
Under 9.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
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