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Tonda Eckert
Southampton
Millwall
Southampton
4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3
Millwall
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
244998 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
70.5%
-28.5 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
26.1%
+26.0 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
3.5%
+3.4 vs price
Half time
873 EUR · live
Away
1.46 · implied 68.5%
92.6%
+24.1 vs price
Home
17.0 · implied 5.9%
5.6%
-0.3 vs price
Draw
3.85 · implied 26.0%
1.6%
-24.4 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
12863 EUR · live
Over
1.14 · implied 87.7%
75.6%
-12.1 vs price
Under
7.8 · implied 12.8%
24.4%
+11.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
717 EUR · live
Over
2.1 · implied 47.6%
55.2%
+7.6 vs price
Under
1.9 · implied 52.6%
44.6%
-8.0 vs price
12 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 2 clips
Player of the match
Match events
4'
R. Manning · Foul
10'
M. Sykes · Foul
15'
⚽
M. Sykes0–1
25'
⚽
C. Larin · assist R. Manning1–1
38'
⚽
F. Azaz · assist L. Scienza2–1
Half-time · 2–1
46'
🔁
J. Ward-Prowse ◂ F. Downes
55'
⚽
L. Scienza (pen)3–1
61'
🔁
L. Cundle ◂ K. Lisbie
62'
⚽
C. Larin · assist F. Azaz4–1
70'
🔁
D. Mubama ◂ C. Larin
71'
🔁
E. Baggott ◂ Z. Sturge
71'
🔁
D. Kelly ◂ T. Arconte
71'
🔁
T. Fellows ◂ L. Scienza
79'
🔁
Z. Lovelace ◂ J. Metcalfe
80'
🔁
L. Dykes ◂ J. Coburn
81'
🔁
L. Dobbin ◂ K. Matsuki
86'
⚽
T. Fellows5–1
87'
🔁
J. Stephens ◂ K. Schlotterbeck
87'
T. Fellows
Full-time · 5–1
Coaches
Tonda EckertAlex Neil 
Recent form
SouthamptonLHWest Ham United1-4
WHStoke City3-1
LAWatford1-2
WAColchester United2-0
WAPreußen Münster2-1
MillwallWACambridge United1-0
WHNorwich City3-0
WABristol City2-0
DAQueens Park Rangers1-1
WHRoyal Antwerp FC1-0
Where to watch
Viaplay
Viaplay
Viaplay
Viaplay
Match facts
Stadium
St. Mary's Stadium
City
Southampton
Kickoff
29 Aug, 14:00 UTC
Competition
Championship
Highlights & clips
Southampton
4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3
Millwall
1
D. Peretz
7.1
14
J. Bree
7.1
15
N. Wood
6.6
5
J. Stephens
↑ 87'
3
R. Manning
6.6
26
C. Bragg
7.4
30
J. Ward-Prowse
6.8
↑ 46'
11
L. Dobbin
6.6
↑ 81'
10
F. Azaz
9.1
18
T. Fellows
7.8
↑ 71'
28
D. Mubama
6.4
↑ 70'
15
M. Crocombe
5.8
17
M. Sykes
6.7
6
C. Taylor
5.9
5
J. Cooper
5.9
12
E. Baggott
6.2
↑ 71'
10
C. Neghli
6.2
24
C. De Norre
6.5
29
Z. Lovelace
6.4
↑ 79'
16
D. Kelly
6.4
↑ 71'
13
L. Dykes
6.6
↑ 80'
25
L. Cundle
6.2
↑ 61'
Substitutes
25GG. Long
13DK. Schlotterbeck↓ 87'6.6
34DWelington
7ML. Scienza↓ 71'8.6
27MK. Matsuki↓ 81'6.8
4MF. Downes↓ 46'6.7
29MR. Akachukwu
23MS. Edozie
9FC. Larin↓ 70'8.8
Coach: Tonda Eckert
Top stats
53%Possession47%
3.62Expected goals (xG)1.35
21Total shots15
7Shots on target5
6Big chances2
8Corners11
Shots
7Shots off target5
7Blocked shots5
16Shots inside box12
5Shots outside box3
1Hit woodwork1
3Big chances scored0
3Big chances missed2
-0.22Goals prevented-1.41
Attack
34Touches in box25
61Final third entries56
1Offsides2
9Free kicks6
2Fouled in final third1
Passing
428Passes378
373Accurate passes306
13/33 (39%)Long balls14/46 (30%)
3/16 (19%)Crosses5/21 (24%)
19Throw-ins13
Duels
47Duels53
24/48 (50%)Ground duels24/48 (50%)
10/24 (42%)Aerial duels14/24 (58%)
5/13 (38%)Dribbles2/5 (40%)
9Dispossessed6
Defending
9Tackles17
100Tackles won59
5Interceptions10
27Clearances20
36Recoveries40
Discipline
6Fouls10
2Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
4Saves2
1Big saves0
4Goal kicks4
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 57% · 1.77 @ 10bet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 68% · 1.40 @ Unibet
BTTSBoth teams to score 56% · 3.25 @ Bet365
1X2Southampton to win 48% · 2.30 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 53% · 4.40 @ William Hill
1X2Draw 26% · 2.65 @ Unibet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 75% · 2.05 @ William Hill
Who winsSouthampton to win (DNB) 58% · 1.48 @ Betsson
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 70% · 1.41 @ Pinnacle
1X2Millwall to win 26% · 3.90 @ William Hill
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 54% · 1.79 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.98
Southampton
3.60
Draw
3.70
Millwall
Double Chanceconsensus
1.25
Southampton or Draw
1.25
Southampton or Millwall
1.81
Draw or Millwall
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.57
Yes
2.27
No
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
2.75
YES
1.40
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
4.50
YES
1.17
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.48
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
6.50
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.03
Over 0.50
10.50
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.24
Over 1.50
3.78
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.80
Over 2.50
2.00
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.00
Over 3.50
1.37
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.78
Over 4.50
1.12
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.44
Southampton
2.62
Millwall
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.17
Over 7.50
4.34
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.33
Over 8.50
2.92
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.66
Over 9.50
2.18
Under 9.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
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