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Alessio Dionisi
Watford
West Ham United
Watford
4-2-3-1 · 4-4-1-1
West Ham United
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
339514 EUR · live
Away
12.0 · implied 8.3%
55.8%
+47.4 vs price
Home
130.0 · implied 0.8%
26.5%
+25.8 vs price
Draw
1.09 · implied 91.7%
17.7%
-74.0 vs price
Half time
1230 EUR · live
Home
1.44 · implied 69.4%
54.6%
-14.8 vs price
Away
15.0 · implied 6.7%
26.2%
+19.5 vs price
Draw
3.95 · implied 25.3%
19.1%
-6.2 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
84957 EUR · live
Under
1.09 · implied 91.7%
57.2%
-34.5 vs price
Over
12.0 · implied 8.3%
42.8%
+34.5 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
1262 EUR · live
Under
1.81 · implied 55.2%
84.0%
+28.7 vs price
Over
2.22 · implied 45.0%
15.9%
-29.1 vs price
14 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 2 clips
Player of the match
Match events
7'
E. Bove · Foul
19'
⚽
A. Nabizada1–0
24'
O. Maamma · Foul
27'
⚽
M. Pollock1–1
31'
J. Veltman · Time wasting
Half-time · 1–1
49'
K. K. Biakolo · Foul
60'
🔁
M. Payero ◂ A. Nabizada
60'
🔁
M. Doumbia ◂ L. Kjerrumgaard
65'
🔁
L. Orford ◂ M. Kanté
65'
🔁
J. Piroe ◂ D. Mukasa
73'
🔁
R. Vata ◂ O. Maamma
85'
🔁
E. Kayembe ◂ I. Bravo
86'
🔁
O. Scarles ◂ K. Walker-Peters
Full-time · 1–1
Coaches
Alessio DionisiNuno Espírito Santo 
Recent form
WatfordLHPeterborough United1-5
DAWrexham1-1
WHSouthampton2-1
WHCrawley Town1-0
LHFiorentina0-1
West Ham UnitedWASouthampton4-1
LHCharlton Athletic1-2
DABurnley2-2
WHPortsmouth3-1
DA1. FC Magdeburg1-1
Where to watch
Viaplay
Viaplay
V Sport 1Viaplay
V Sport 1Viaplay
Match facts
Stadium
Vicarage Road
City
Watford
Kickoff
29 Aug, 14:00 UTC
Competition
Championship
Highlights & clips
Watford
4-2-3-1 · 4-4-1-1
West Ham United
1
F. Ravaglia
6.7
23
O. Traore
7.1
6
M. Pollock
7.0
4
K. K. Biakolo
6.1
33
J. Zemura
7.1
8
E. Bove
6.6
5
H. Kyprianou
6.7
11
R. Vata
6.7
↑ 73'
39
E. Kayembe
6.5
↑ 85'
22
M. Payero
6.7
↑ 60'
20
M. Doumbia
6.7
↑ 60'
1
M. Hermansen
6.9
34
J. Veltman
7.6
58
A. Golambeckis
7.4
3
M. Kilman
6.6
30
O. Scarles
6.6
↑ 86'
20
J. Bowen
6.6
7
A. Engels
6.8
61
L. Orford
6.7
↑ 65'
10
M. Solomon
7.6
9
J. Piroe
6.4
↑ 65'
11
T. Castellanos
6.5
Substitutes
24GS. Walker
26GD. Bachmann
56DA. Eames
7MO. Maamma↓ 73'6.1
48MM. Adu-Poku
21FA. Nabizada↓ 60'7.0
17FI. Bravo↓ 85'6.7
9FL. Kjerrumgaard↓ 60'6.4
19FN. Chikovani
Coach: Alessio Dionisi
Substitutes
49GF. Herrick
2DK. Walker-Peters↓ 86'6.9
42DK. Casey
63DE. Mayers
17MM. Kanté↓ 65'6.7
14MD. Mukasa↓ 65'6.3
21MK. Lamadrid
19FP. Felipe
66FJ. Ajala
Coach: Nuno Espírito Santo
Top stats
38%Possession62%
1.6Expected goals (xG)0.89
16Total shots13
5Shots on target1
3Corners11
Shots
5Shots off target5
6Blocked shots7
14Shots inside box6
2Shots outside box7
0Hit woodwork0
-0.95Goals prevented0.28
Attack
20Touches in box23
41Final third entries59
1Offsides3
7Free kicks10
1Fouled in final third4
Passing
305Passes496
236Accurate passes420
14/44 (32%)Long balls27/47 (57%)
2/13 (15%)Crosses5/27 (19%)
16Throw-ins28
Duels
44Duels56
26/65 (40%)Ground duels39/65 (60%)
12/22 (55%)Aerial duels10/22 (45%)
7/15 (47%)Dribbles13/19 (68%)
8Dispossessed7
Defending
13Tackles16
69Tackles won69
15Interceptions6
30Clearances21
49Recoveries51
Discipline
10Fouls7
3Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
1Saves4
0Big saves1
7Goal kicks5
1Punches2
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
1X2West Ham to win 51% · 2.30 @ William Hill
CornersOver 9.5 corners 56% · 1.58 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 67% · 1.32 @ Unibet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 58% · 3.60 @ William Hill
BTTSBoth teams to score 58% · 2.80 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 78% · 1.83 @ 1xBet
1X2Draw 25% · 2.80 @ Unibet
Who winsWatford to win (DNB) 54% · 3.75 @ Bet365
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 66% · 1.52 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 55% · 1.91 @ betfair
1X2Watford to win 24% · 3.90 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
3.90
Watford
3.73
Draw
1.85
West Ham United
Double Chanceconsensus
1.91
Watford or Draw
1.22
Watford or West Ham United
1.25
Draw or West Ham United
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.53
Yes
2.35
No
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
5.00
YES
1.13
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
3.00
YES
1.33
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
7.25
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
3.72
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
12.40
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.20
Over 1.50
4.42
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.62
Over 2.50
2.25
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.52
Over 3.50
1.48
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.55
Over 4.50
1.19
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
3.30
Watford
1.29
West Ham United
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.11
Over 7.50
4.64
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.28
Over 8.50
3.08
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.54
Over 9.50
2.31
Under 9.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
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