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Chris Davies
Birmingham City
Southampton
Birmingham City
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Southampton
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
462914 EUR · live
Away
27.0 · implied 3.7%
40.8%
+37.1 vs price
Draw
1.07 · implied 93.5%
38.3%
-55.1 vs price
Home
38.0 · implied 2.6%
20.9%
+18.2 vs price
Half time
1296 EUR · live
Home
4.6 · implied 21.7%
52.5%
+30.8 vs price
Draw
1.75 · implied 57.1%
32.9%
-24.2 vs price
Away
4.2 · implied 23.8%
14.4%
-9.4 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
205138 EUR · live
Under
1.07 · implied 93.5%
57.8%
-35.6 vs price
Over
17.5 · implied 5.7%
42.2%
+36.5 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
3902 EUR · live
Under
1.02 · implied 98.0%
90.4%
-7.6 vs price
Over
50.0 · implied 2.0%
9.5%
+7.5 vs price
15 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 2 clips
Player of the match
Match events
Half-time · 0–1
45'+1
B. Osayi-Samuel · Foul
45'+3
⚽
K. Schlotterbeck · assist L. Scienza0–1
55'
⚽
A. Priske · assist P. Roberts1–1
61'
🔁
K. Matsuki ◂ T. Fellows
61'
🔁
J. Ward-Prowse ◂ C. Bragg
69'
🔁
D. Mubama ◂ C. Larin
70'
🔁
D. Gray ◂ P. Roberts
72'
D. Mubama · Foul
77'
J. Solís
81'
🔁
L. Dobbin ◂ L. Scienza
86'
🔁
E. Laird ◂ C. Vicente
86'
🔁
L. Vázquez ◂ A. Priske
87'
🔁
S. Paik ◂ J. Stansfield
Full-time · 1–1
90'+2
L. Vázquez · Argument
90'+2
N. Wood · Foul
Coaches
Chris DaviesTonda Eckert 
Recent form
Birmingham CityWAWrexham2-1
LHBrentford1-6
DHBristol City2-2
DASheffield United0-0
WASwansea City1-0
SouthamptonWHMillwall5-1
LHWest Ham United1-4
WHStoke City3-1
LAWatford1-2
WAColchester United2-0
Where to watch
Viaplay
Sky Sports+
Viaplay
Sky Sports+
Viaplay
V Sport ExtraViaplay
Match facts
Stadium
St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park
City
Birmingham
Kickoff
01 Sep, 19:00 UTC
Competition
Championship
Highlights & clips
Birmingham City
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Southampton
1
J. Beadle
6.9
26
B. Osayi-Samuel
6.3
5
P. Neumann
6.7
4
C. Klarer
6.6
20
A. Cochrane
7.2
24
T. Iwata
6.4
14
J. Solís
6.7
10
D. Gray
6.6
↑ 70'
8
S. Paik
↑ 87'
2
E. Laird
6.6
↑ 86'
32
L. Vázquez
6.6
↑ 86'
1
D. Peretz
6.4
14
J. Bree
6.4
15
N. Wood
6.6
13
K. Schlotterbeck
8.0
3
R. Manning
6.7
27
K. Matsuki
6.7
↑ 61'
4
F. Downes
7.4
30
J. Ward-Prowse
6.8
↑ 61'
10
F. Azaz
6.6
11
L. Dobbin
6.5
↑ 81'
28
D. Mubama
6.3
↑ 69'
Substitutes
21GR. Allsop
25DK. Lund
23DD. Fry
16MP. Roberts↓ 70'7.2
7MC. Vicente↓ 86'6.9
28MJ. Stansfield↓ 87'6.1
27MK. Fujimoto
9FA. Priske↓ 86'7.3
33FM. Ducksch
Coach: Chris Davies
Substitutes
25GG. Long
5DJ. Stephens
34DWelington
7ML. Scienza↓ 81'7.5
18MT. Fellows↓ 61'6.3
26MC. Bragg↓ 61'6.1
29MR. Akachukwu
9FC. Larin↓ 69'6.1
40FP. Ehibhatiomhan
Coach: Tonda Eckert
Top stats
37%Possession63%
1.21Expected goals (xG)0.95
16Total shots13
4Shots on target4
4Big chances1
3Corners5
Shots
8Shots off target5
4Blocked shots4
10Shots inside box11
6Shots outside box2
1Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored1
3Big chances missed0
0.24Goals prevented-0.33
Attack
27Touches in box19
62Final third entries48
2Offsides5
8Free kicks12
0Fouled in final third3
Passing
286Passes505
196Accurate passes408
21/60 (35%)Long balls20/65 (31%)
5/19 (26%)Crosses5/16 (31%)
12Throw-ins17
Duels
45Duels55
27/59 (46%)Ground duels32/59 (54%)
18/40 (45%)Aerial duels22/40 (55%)
5/13 (38%)Dribbles9/11 (82%)
3Dispossessed12
Defending
14Tackles11
50Tackles won27
13Interceptions10
17Clearances19
52Recoveries49
Discipline
12Fouls8
3Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
3Saves3
11Goal kicks15
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 57% · 1.60 @ betfair
CornersOver 8.5 corners 69% · 1.33 @ betfair
BTTSBoth teams to score 57% · 2.90 @ William Hill
1X2Southampton to win 34% · 2.90 @ 10bet
1X2Draw 28% · 2.65 @ Unibet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 52% · 4.00 @ Unibet
Who winsBirmingham to win (DNB) 60% · 2.00 @ Betsson
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 75% · 1.95 @ 10bet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 70% · 1.45 @ Pinnacle
1X2Birmingham to win 38% · 2.80 @ William Hill
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 53% · 1.90 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.61
Birmingham City
3.42
Draw
2.56
Southampton
Double Chanceconsensus
1.44
Birmingham City or Draw
1.29
Birmingham City or Southampton
1.50
Draw or Southampton
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.57
Yes
2.25
No
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
3.55
YES
1.25
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
3.70
YES
1.22
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
4.75
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
5.00
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
11.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.23
Over 1.50
3.90
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.73
Over 2.50
2.10
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.88
Over 3.50
1.40
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.50
Over 4.50
1.14
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.90
Birmingham City
1.83
Southampton
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.14
Over 7.50
4.78
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.32
Over 8.50
3.00
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.56
Over 9.50
2.30
Under 9.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.8%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.8%.
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