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Chris Cohen
Lincoln City
Blackburn Rovers
Lincoln City
3-4-3 · 4-2-3-1
Blackburn Rovers
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
223068 EUR · live
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
41.4%
+41.3 vs price
Draw
1.04 · implied 96.2%
33.7%
-62.4 vs price
Home
25.0 · implied 4.0%
24.9%
+20.9 vs price
Half time
1234 EUR · live
Away
10.5 · implied 9.5%
54.1%
+44.5 vs price
Draw
1.2 · implied 83.3%
32.7%
-50.7 vs price
Home
10.5 · implied 9.5%
13.1%
+3.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
46320 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
81.8%
-17.3 vs price
Over
120.0 · implied 0.8%
18.3%
+17.4 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
1512 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
86.4%
-12.6 vs price
Over
100.0 · implied 1.0%
13.6%
+12.6 vs price
12 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
13'
T. Atcheson · Foul
Half-time · 0–0
60'
🔁
T. Olaofe ◂ F. Draper
61'
🔁
V. Ivan ◂ T. Bayliss
67'
🔁
A. Forshaw ◂ K. Montgomery
68'
🔁
J. Fevrier ◂ O. Afolayan
69'
T. Atcheson · Foul
77'
🔁
M. Ladefoged ◂ R. Street
79'
🔁
J. Garrett ◂ T. Cantwell
85'
J. Garrett · Argument
87'
🔁
A. Coubiș ◂ D. Jefferies
87'
🔁
M. Melia ◂ R. Hackett-Fairchild
Full-time · 0–0
90'+1
🔁
L. Houghton ◂ R. Alebiousu
90'+4
C. McGrandles · Foul
90'+5
A. Forshaw · Argument
Coaches
Chris CohenTony Mowbray 
Recent form
Lincoln CityWABolton Wanderers1-0
WABlackpool4-1
LHPortsmouth1-3
LAMiddlesbrough1-2
WADerby County2-1
Blackburn RoversLHQueens Park Rangers1-2
LHSheffield United1-2
WHMiddlesbrough2-1
DAWolverhampton2-2
WABurton Albion2-1
Where to watch
Viaplay
Sky Sports+
Viaplay
Sky Sports+
Viaplay
Viaplay
Match facts
Stadium
Sincil Bank
City
Lincoln
Kickoff
01 Sep, 18:45 UTC
Competition
Championship
Highlights & clips
Lincoln City
3-4-3 · 4-2-3-1
Blackburn Rovers
1
G. Wickens
7.6
25
D. Elerewe
7.3
6
R. Towler
6.9
20
C. Elder
7.9
4
A. Coubiș
6.8
↑ 87'
24
V. Ivan
7.0
↑ 61'
14
C. McGrandles
6.7
3
A. Reach
7.1
11
M. Ladefoged
7.1
↑ 77'
19
T. Olaofe
6.7
↑ 60'
10
M. Melia
6.6
↑ 87'
1
A. Pears
6.9
47
L. Houghton
↑ 90'
6
T. Atcheson
6.7
15
S. McLoughlin
7.3
4
Y. Ribeiro
6.7
8
S. Morsy
7.6
28
A. Forshaw
6.9
↑ 67'
25
R. Morishita
5.8
30
J. Garrett
6.6
↑ 79'
11
J. Fevrier
6.6
↑ 68'
9
A. Guðjohnsen
6.9
Substitutes
46GJ. Gauci
16MD. Jefferies↓ 87'7.3
8MT. Bayliss↓ 61'7.0
7MR. Hackett-Fairchild↓ 87'6.9
23MJ. Honohan
26MY. Konak
17FR. Street↓ 77'7.2
34FF. Draper↓ 60'6.1
29FE. Wheatley
Coach: Chris Cohen
Substitutes
37GF. Goddard
39DH. Pates
46DM. Decandia
2MR. Alebiousu↓ 90'7.4
31MK. Montgomery↓ 67'6.9
10MT. Cantwell↓ 79'6.8
53MF. Vare
36MJ. Edmondson
21FO. Afolayan↓ 68'6.7
Coach: Tony Mowbray
Top stats
40%Possession60%
1.44Expected goals (xG)0.26
18Total shots8
1Shots on target2
5Corners7
Shots
9Shots off target3
8Blocked shots3
10Shots inside box5
8Shots outside box3
0.28Goals prevented0.08
Attack
35Touches in box13
55Final third entries77
0Offsides2
11Free kicks12
4Fouled in final third1
Passing
340Passes524
255Accurate passes449
24/59 (41%)Long balls38/75 (51%)
10/24 (42%)Crosses3/19 (16%)
19Throw-ins26
Duels
53Duels46
40/76 (53%)Ground duels35/75 (47%)
26/48 (54%)Aerial duels22/48 (46%)
1/6 (17%)Dribbles14/25 (56%)
6Dispossessed17
Defending
28Tackles11
64Tackles won91
9Interceptions3
20Clearances46
48Recoveries31
Discipline
12Fouls11
1Yellow cards4
0Red cards1
Goalkeeping
2Saves1
1Big saves0
2Goal kicks13
1Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
Who winsLincoln to win (DNB) 78% · 1.70 @ Betsson
CornersOver 9.5 corners 53% · 1.60 @ 1xBet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 65% · 1.36 @ Unibet
1X2Draw 28% · 2.55 @ Unibet
BTTSBoth teams to score 54% · 3.40 @ Bet365
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 50% · 1.18 @ 10bet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 72% · 1.35 @ Pinnacle
1X2Blackburn to win 31% · 3.32 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 73% · 2.10 @ 1xBet
1X2Lincoln to win 42% · 2.70 @ William Hill
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 58% · 1.88 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.30
Lincoln City
3.38
Draw
2.97
Blackburn Rovers
Double Chanceconsensus
1.36
Lincoln City or Draw
1.29
Lincoln City or Blackburn Rovers
1.58
Draw or Blackburn Rovers
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.70
Yes
2.05
No
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
3.00
YES
1.33
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
3.70
YES
1.22
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
4.00
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
5.12
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
10.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.29
Over 1.50
3.50
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.90
Over 2.50
1.87
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.25
Over 3.50
1.33
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
6.42
Over 4.50
1.10
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.66
Lincoln City
2.12
Blackburn Rovers
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.13
Over 7.50
4.34
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.32
Over 8.50
2.93
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.59
Over 9.50
2.27
Under 9.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
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