← All matches
Vitor Matos
Swansea City
Watford
Swansea City
4-1-4-1 · 4-2-3-1
Watford
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
285375 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
89.2%
-9.8 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
5.5%
+5.4 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
5.3%
+5.2 vs price
Half time
874 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
72.2%
-26.8 vs price
Draw
110.0 · implied 0.9%
15.7%
+14.8 vs price
Away
42.0 · implied 2.4%
11.9%
+9.5 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
50305 EUR · live
Under
1.03 · implied 97.1%
58.0%
-39.0 vs price
Over
36.0 · implied 2.8%
42.0%
+39.2 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
3431 EUR · live
Under
1.24 · implied 80.6%
73.2%
-7.5 vs price
Over
5.0 · implied 20.0%
26.8%
+6.8 vs price
12 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 2 clips
Player of the match
Match events
8'
⚽
J. Eom · assist A. Idah1–0
25'
O. Traore · Foul
29'
⚽
A. Idah · assist J. Eom2–0
31'
🔁
B. Mlačić ◂ O. Traore
Half-time · 2–0
46'
🔁
E. Bove ◂ A. Nabizada
57'
🔁
M. K. Yeo ◂ J. Opoku
57'
🔁
M. Widell ◂ E. Just
65'
🔁
R. Vata ◂ O. Maamma
67'
🔁
Ž. Vipotnik ◂ A. Idah
68'
H. Kyprianou · Foul
68'
🔁
J. Fulton ◂ M. Stamenić
80'
K. K. Biakolo · Foul
83'
🔁
L. Kjerrumgaard ◂ I. Bravo
86'
🔁
J. Seelt ◂ S. Welsh
Full-time · 2–0
90'+1
J. Zemura · Foul
Coaches
Alessio Dionisi 
Recent form
WADerby County3-0
DHSheffield United0-0
WAStoke City2-1
LHBirmingham City0-1
WHLeganés1-0
DHWest Ham United1-1
LHPeterborough United1-5
DAWrexham1-1
WHSouthampton2-1
WHCrawley Town1-0
Where to watch
Viaplay
Sky Sports+
Viaplay
Sky Sports+
Viaplay
Viaplay
Match facts
Stadium
Swansea.com Stadium
City
Swansea
Kickoff
01 Sep, 18:45 UTC
Competition
Championship
Highlights & clips
22
L. Vigouroux
7.7
2
J. Key
7.1
26
F. Lissah
7.7
3
J. Seelt
6.7
↑ 86'
14
J. Tymon
7.3
4
J. Fulton
7.0
↑ 68'
49
M. K. Yeo
6.6
↑ 57'
7
M. Widell
6.9
↑ 57'
46
S. Eustaquio
6.5
10
J. Eom
8.7
9
Ž. Vipotnik
6.3
↑ 67'
1
F. Ravaglia
9.1
29
B. Mlačić
6.8
↑ 31'
6
M. Pollock
6.8
4
K. K. Biakolo
6.1
33
J. Zemura
6.8
39
E. Kayembe
6.6
5
H. Kyprianou
6.8
11
R. Vata
6.6
↑ 65'
9
L. Kjerrumgaard
6.4
↑ 83'
8
E. Bove
6.5
↑ 46'
20
M. Doumbia
6.4
Substitutes
1GA. Fisher
23DS. Welsh↓ 86'7.7
50DC. Heywood
8ME. Just↓ 57'7.1
6MM. Stamenić↓ 68'6.5
16MT. Iorpenda
44MT. Woodward
33FA. Idah↓ 67'8.4
30FJ. Opoku↓ 57'7.6
Coach: Vitor Matos
Substitutes
24GS. Walker
26GD. Bachmann
23DO. Traore↓ 31'5.7
56DA. Eames
7MO. Maamma↓ 65'6.6
48MM. Adu-Poku
22MM. Payero
17FI. Bravo↓ 83'7.0
21FA. Nabizada↓ 46'6.7
Coach: Alessio Dionisi
Top stats
60%Possession40%
2.76Expected goals (xG)0.82
18Total shots9
8Shots on target3
6Big chances2
5Corners3
Shots
4Shots off target4
6Blocked shots2
10Shots inside box8
8Shots outside box1
1Hit woodwork0
2Big chances scored0
4Big chances missed2
0.42Goals prevented2.07
Attack
30Touches in box18
56Final third entries50
1Offsides4
14Free kicks6
5Fouled in final third0
Passing
578Passes373
479Accurate passes306
33/70 (47%)Long balls22/41 (54%)
6/12 (50%)Crosses4/13 (31%)
27Throw-ins20
Duels
51Duels49
45/82 (55%)Ground duels37/82 (45%)
7/20 (35%)Aerial duels13/20 (65%)
9/18 (50%)Dribbles13/29 (45%)
9Dispossessed7
Defending
23Tackles18
52Tackles won44
6Interceptions19
14Clearances28
56Recoveries60
Discipline
6Fouls14
0Yellow cards4
Goalkeeping
3Saves6
1Big saves2
6Goal kicks5
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 55% · 1.65 @ betfair
CornersOver 8.5 corners 66% · 1.38 @ Unibet
Who winsSwansea to win (DNB) 68% · 1.38 @ Betano
1X2Swansea to win 50% · 2.25 @ Bet365
1X2Draw 26% · 2.65 @ Unibet
BTTSBoth teams to score 52% · 3.50 @ Bet365
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 71% · 1.36 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 50% · 4.60 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 74% · 2.10 @ William Hill
1X2Watford to win 24% · 4.19 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 56% · 1.84 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.85
Swansea City
3.60
Draw
4.12
Watford
Double Chanceconsensus
1.22
Swansea City or Draw
1.25
Swansea City or Watford
1.89
Draw or Watford
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.78
Yes
1.92
No
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
2.62
YES
1.42
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
4.33
YES
1.18
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.30
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
6.50
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
10.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.28
Over 1.50
3.55
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.89
Over 2.50
1.91
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.12
Over 3.50
1.33
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
6.10
Over 4.50
1.10
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.35
Swansea City
2.95
Watford
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.20
Over 7.50
4.00
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.36
Over 8.50
2.88
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.62
Over 9.50
2.17
Under 9.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
Report a data issue
Spotted something wrong on this match? Tell us what and we'll fix it.