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Mark Robins
Stoke City
Norwich City
Stoke City
3-4-3 · 4-2-3-1
Norwich City
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
815631 EUR · live
Home
1.06 · implied 94.3%
83.8%
-10.6 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
12.2%
+12.1 vs price
Draw
16.0 · implied 6.2%
4.0%
-2.2 vs price
Half time
1563 EUR · live
Home
1.38 · implied 72.5%
68.5%
-4.0 vs price
Away
23.0 · implied 4.3%
16.2%
+11.8 vs price
Draw
4.2 · implied 23.8%
15.2%
-8.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
85707 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
60.8%
-38.2 vs price
Over
240.0 · implied 0.4%
39.2%
+38.8 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
8700 EUR · live
Under
1.13 · implied 88.5%
88.5%
0.0 vs price
Over
9.0 · implied 11.1%
11.4%
+0.3 vs price
16 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 2 clips
Player of the match
Match events
13'
⚽
E. Galbraith1–0
Half-time · 1–0
46'
🔁
A. Musaba ◂ A. B. Slimane
46'
🔁
L. Bombino ◂ B. Wilmot
46'
🔁
S. Gallagher ◂ M. Manhoef
47'
B. Lawal · Argument
49'
E. Galbraith · Foul
56'
🔁
B. Chrisene ◂ D. Yongwa
59'
🔁
R. Boženík ◂ G. Hirst
61'
J. Córdoba · Foul
66'
K. McLean · Foul
71'
🔁
P. Diallo ◂ A. Brooks
71'
🔁
M. Kvistgaarden ◂ M. Touré
85'
🔁
J. Wright ◂ P. Mattsson
87'
🔁
B. Pearson ◂ D. Soumaré
Full-time · 1–0
Coaches
Philippe Clement 
Recent form
LAWolverhampton1-4
DHHull City1-1
LASouthampton1-3
LHSwansea City1-2
WHOldham Athletic2-0
WHBurnley4-1
WACardiff City2-1
LAMillwall0-3
LHWest Bromwich Albion1-2
WHMilton Keynes Dons4-1
Where to watch
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Arena Sport 2 HR
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Viaplay
Disney+ Premium ChileESPN 5 Sur
Sport TV3
ESPN 5 Sur
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Viaplay
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ESPN 5 Sur
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Match facts
Stadium
bet365 Stadium
City
Stoke
Kickoff
01 Sep, 19:00 UTC
Competition
Championship
Highlights & clips
1
V. Johansson
8.3
21
L. Bombino
6.9
↑ 46'
18
B. Lawal
7.3
5
L. Graham
7.6
2
B. Johnson
7.0
4
B. Pearson
6.6
↑ 87'
8
E. Galbraith
8.1
17
E. Bocat
7.0
20
S. Gallagher
6.8
↑ 46'
9
R. Boženík
6.3
↑ 59'
10
B. Jun-Ho
6.5
1
V. Kovačević
6.7
3
J. Stacey
6.2
15
R. McConville
7.1
33
J. Córdoba
7.2
14
B. Chrisene
7.1
↑ 56'
23
K. McLean
7.2
16
J. Wright
6.8
↑ 85'
19
P. Diallo
6.5
↑ 71'
49
A. Musaba
6.6
↑ 46'
29
O. Schwartau
6.2
30
M. Kvistgaarden
6.5
↑ 71'
Substitutes
24GJ. Griffiths
16DB. Wilmot↓ 46'6.6
52DL. Giani
43DF. Anderson
27MD. Soumaré↓ 87'7.0
42MM. Manhoef↓ 46'6.7
59MG. Kelly
19MT. Rigo
15FG. Hirst↓ 59'6.3
Coach: Mark Robins
Substitutes
32GD. Grimshaw
13DD. Yongwa↓ 56'6.5
35DK. Fisher
6DH. Darling
7MP. Mattsson↓ 85'6.6
20MA. B. Slimane↓ 46'6.5
11MA. Brooks↓ 71'6.1
26MS. Field
21FM. Touré↓ 71'6.3
Coach: Philippe Clement
Top stats
28%Possession72%
0.2Expected goals (xG)1.18
6Total shots15
3Shots on target6
1Big chances3
3Corners5
Shots
2Shots off target4
1Blocked shots5
4Shots inside box6
2Shots outside box9
1Big chances missed3
0.9Goals prevented-0.45
Attack
16Touches in box19
36Final third entries87
7Offsides4
10Free kicks16
1Fouled in final third1
Passing
204Passes537
129Accurate passes457
14/42 (33%)Long balls19/45 (42%)
3/14 (21%)Crosses4/28 (14%)
19Throw-ins27
Duels
49Duels51
40/82 (49%)Ground duels42/82 (51%)
10/20 (50%)Aerial duels10/20 (50%)
9/15 (60%)Dribbles7/23 (30%)
14Dispossessed6
Defending
22Tackles20
59Tackles won35
13Interceptions13
41Clearances28
52Recoveries44
Discipline
16Fouls10
2Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
5Saves2
1Big saves0
6Goal kicks5
0Punches2
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
Who winsNorwich to win (DNB) 54% · 1.52 @ Betano
1X2Norwich to win 43% · 2.50 @ William Hill
CornersOver 9.5 corners 51% · 1.88 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 63% · 1.52 @ Pinnacle
BTTSBoth teams to score 55% · 3.40 @ Bet365
1X2Draw 27% · 2.65 @ Unibet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 53% · 4.60 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 75% · 2.10 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 70% · 1.37 @ Unibet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 60% · 1.60 @ Pinnacle
1X2Stoke to win 30% · 3.56 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
3.40
Stoke City
3.48
Draw
2.10
Norwich City
Double Chanceconsensus
1.70
Stoke City or Draw
1.28
Stoke City or Norwich City
1.30
Draw or Norwich City
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.71
Yes
2.05
No
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
4.00
YES
1.20
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
2.90
YES
1.36
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
6.00
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
3.77
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
10.50
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.28
Over 1.50
3.65
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.90
Over 2.50
1.90
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.10
Over 3.50
1.34
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.75
Over 4.50
1.12
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.40
Stoke City
1.50
Norwich City
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.25
Over 7.50
3.32
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.49
Over 8.50
2.46
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.85
Over 9.50
1.85
Under 9.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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