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Alex Neil
Millwall
Wrexham
Millwall
3-1-4-2 · 3-4-2-1
Wrexham
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
388969 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
58.5%
-40.5 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
31.4%
+31.3 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
10.1%
+10.0 vs price
Half time
4576 EUR · live
Away
1.1 · implied 90.9%
51.9%
-39.0 vs price
Draw
10.0 · implied 10.0%
26.3%
+16.3 vs price
Home
120.0 · implied 0.8%
21.8%
+21.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
98922 EUR · live
Under
2.04 · implied 49.0%
73.7%
+24.6 vs price
Over
1.95 · implied 51.3%
26.4%
-24.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
5326 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
87.4%
-11.6 vs price
Over
100.0 · implied 1.0%
12.5%
+11.5 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 2 clips
Player of the match
Match events
18'
C. De Norre · Foul
28'
⚽
Z. Sturge0–1
36'
B. Whiteman · Foul
43'
🔁
C. Neghli ◂ C. De Norre
Half-time · 0–1
52'
⚽
K. Moore · assist J. Windass0–2
56'
L. Dykes · Foul
63'
🔁
Z. Lovelace ◂ J. Coburn
64'
🔁
D. Mazou-Sacko ◂ E. Baggott
67'
🔁
D. Imray ◂ I. Kaboré
67'
🔁
O. Rathbone ◂ J. Windass
69'
⚽
J. Ekomie · assist D. Imray0–3
73'
🔁
S. Smith ◂ K. Moore
74'
🔁
A. Massey ◂ D. Kelly
74'
🔁
J. Osei-Tutu ◂ J. Metcalfe
76'
🔁
R. Longman ◂ J. Ekomie
Full-time · 0–3
Coaches
Alex NeilPhil Parkinson 
Recent form
MillwallLASouthampton1-5
WACambridge United1-0
WHNorwich City3-0
WABristol City2-0
DAQueens Park Rangers1-1
WrexhamLHBirmingham City1-2
DHWatford1-1
DACardiff City1-1
LAMiddlesbrough0-1
LASunderland0-1
Where to watch
Viaplay
Sky Sports+
Viaplay
Sky Sports+
Viaplay
Viaplay
Match facts
Stadium
The Den
City
London
Kickoff
02 Sep, 18:45 UTC
Competition
Championship
Highlights & clips
Millwall
3-1-4-2 · 3-4-2-1
Wrexham
15
M. Crocombe
6.3
6
C. Taylor
6.1
5
J. Cooper
6.0
49
D. Mazou-Sacko
6.4
↑ 64'
10
C. Neghli
6.7
↑ 43'
17
M. Sykes
5.9
2
J. Osei-Tutu
6.8
↑ 74'
44
A. Massey
6.7
↑ 74'
3
Z. Sturge
5.7
29
Z. Lovelace
6.4
↑ 63'
13
L. Dykes
6.9
22
A. Patterson
6.6
4
M. Cleworth
7.3
5
D. Hyam
7.2
2
C. Doyle
7.1
30
D. Imray
7.3
↑ 67'
37
M. James
6.9
8
B. Whiteman
6.5
47
R. Longman
6.5
↑ 76'
20
O. Rathbone
6.5
↑ 67'
27
L. O'Brien
6.3
28
S. Smith
6.8
↑ 73'
Substitutes
43GJ. Coleman
12DE. Baggott↓ 64'6.4
23DD. Batth
55DT. Parkes
14MJ. Metcalfe↓ 74'6.8
24MC. De Norre↓ 43'6.6
16MD. Kelly↓ 74'6.3
51MS. T. Vieira
19FJ. Coburn↓ 63'6.8
Coach: Alex Neil
Substitutes
21GD. Ward
3DJ. Ekomie↓ 76'8.2
26DZ. Vyner
6DJ. Worrall
12MI. Kaboré↓ 67'7.0
17MC. O'Hare
19FK. Moore↓ 73'7.6
10FJ. Windass↓ 67'6.5
11FB. Cadamarteri
Coach: Phil Parkinson
Top stats
39%Possession61%
0.23Expected goals (xG)0.88
4Total shots9
0Shots on target3
0Big chances2
1Corners2
Shots
3Shots off target3
1Blocked shots3
1Shots inside box8
3Shots outside box1
0Big chances scored1
0Big chances missed1
-1.56Goals prevented0.0
Attack
8Touches in box16
62Final third entries53
0Offsides1
14Free kicks11
3Fouled in final third1
Passing
350Passes566
263Accurate passes473
29/59 (49%)Long balls22/59 (37%)
3/14 (21%)Crosses2/12 (17%)
22Throw-ins16
Duels
49Duels51
31/68 (46%)Ground duels37/68 (54%)
27/51 (53%)Aerial duels24/51 (47%)
4/10 (40%)Dribbles9/17 (53%)
12Dispossessed6
Defending
14Tackles18
64Tackles won72
10Interceptions9
18Clearances26
51Recoveries59
Discipline
11Fouls14
2Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
1Saves0
5Goal kicks6
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 59% · 1.45 @ 1xBet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 70% · 1.24 @ Unibet
1X2Draw 28% · 2.55 @ Unibet
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 51% · 1.17 @ 10bet
BTTSBoth teams to score 54% · 3.25 @ Bet365
Who winsMillwall to win (DNB) 60% · 1.67 @ 888Sport
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 72% · 1.33 @ Bet365
1X2Wrexham to win 30% · 3.37 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 73% · 2.11 @ 1xBet
1X2Millwall to win 42% · 2.62 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 51% · 2.12 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.30
Millwall
3.35
Draw
3.10
Wrexham
Double Chanceconsensus
1.33
Millwall or Draw
1.30
Millwall or Wrexham
1.61
Draw or Wrexham
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.75
Yes
1.98
No
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
2.95
YES
1.35
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
3.65
YES
1.25
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.95
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
5.25
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
9.50
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.30
Over 1.50
3.40
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.92
Over 2.50
1.85
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.35
Over 3.50
1.30
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
6.50
Over 4.50
1.10
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.62
Millwall
2.20
Wrexham
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.11
Over 7.50
5.34
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.22
Over 8.50
3.50
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.44
Over 9.50
2.60
Under 9.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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