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Chris Cohen
Lincoln City
Southampton
Lincoln City
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1
Southampton
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
444385 EUR · live
Away
75.0 · implied 1.3%
69.1%
+67.8 vs price
Draw
1.04 · implied 96.2%
25.1%
-71.1 vs price
Home
40.0 · implied 2.5%
5.8%
+3.3 vs price
Half time
3517 EUR · live
Away
1.02 · implied 98.0%
51.2%
-46.8 vs price
Draw
27.0 · implied 3.7%
40.5%
+36.8 vs price
Home
13.0 · implied 7.7%
8.3%
+0.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
53619 EUR · live
Under
1.08 · implied 92.6%
73.1%
-19.5 vs price
Over
13.5 · implied 7.4%
26.9%
+19.5 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
2131 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
95.3%
-3.7 vs price
Over
80.0 · implied 1.2%
4.6%
+3.4 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 2 clips
Player of the match
Match events
43'
C. McGrandles · Foul
44'
⚽
Welington · assist J. Ward-Prowse0–1
Half-time · 0–1
54'
C. Cohen · Argument
56'
V. Ivan · Foul
62'
🔁
D. Mubama ◂ C. Larin
63'
🔁
S. Edozie ◂ L. Scienza
64'
🔁
M. Ladefoged ◂ R. Street
64'
🔁
R. Hackett-Fairchild ◂ S. Bradley
64'
🔁
Y. Konak ◂ V. Ivan
75'
F. Draper · Foul
76'
🔁
C. Ogbene ◂ B. House
76'
🔁
T. Bayliss ◂ C. McGrandles
78'
🔁
R. Manning ◂ Welington
78'
🔁
L. Dobbin ◂ F. Azaz
84'
🔁
N. Wood ◂ K. Matsuki
87'
⚽
M. Ladefoged · assist R. Hackett-Fairchild1–1
Full-time · 1–1
Coaches
Tonda Eckert 
Recent form
DHBlackburn Rovers0-0
WABolton Wanderers1-0
WABlackpool4-1
LHPortsmouth1-3
LAMiddlesbrough1-2
DABirmingham City1-1
WHMillwall5-1
LHWest Ham United1-4
WHStoke City3-1
LAWatford1-2
Where to watch
Betano
Viaplay
Sky Sports+
Viaplay
Sky Sports+
V Sport 1Viaplay
V Sport 1Viaplay
Match facts
Stadium
Sincil Bank
City
Lincoln
Kickoff
05 Sep, 11:30 UTC
Competition
Championship
Highlights & clips
1
G. Wickens
6.5
25
D. Elerewe
6.8
26
Y. Konak
6.8
↑ 64'
6
R. Towler
6.8
4
A. Coubiș
7.2
7
R. Hackett-Fairchild
8.4
↑ 64'
27
C. Ogbene
6.4
↑ 76'
3
A. Reach
7.5
8
T. Bayliss
6.8
↑ 76'
11
M. Ladefoged
7.5
↑ 64'
34
F. Draper
6.9
1
D. Peretz
8.3
14
J. Bree
6.6
5
J. Stephens
6.9
13
K. Schlotterbeck
7.2
3
R. Manning
6.5
↑ 78'
4
F. Downes
6.9
30
J. Ward-Prowse
7.6
15
N. Wood
6.1
↑ 84'
11
L. Dobbin
6.6
↑ 78'
23
S. Edozie
6.4
↑ 63'
28
D. Mubama
6.0
↑ 62'
Substitutes
46GJ. Gauci
15DS. Bradley↓ 64'6.8
14MC. McGrandles↓ 76'7.4
24MV. Ivan↓ 64'6.7
18MB. House↓ 76'6.4
20MC. Elder
16MD. Jefferies
17FR. Street↓ 64'7.6
19FT. Olaofe
Coach: Chris Cohen
Substitutes
25GG. Long
34DWelington↓ 78'8.1
6DZ. Abbott
7ML. Scienza↓ 63'7.0
10MF. Azaz↓ 78'6.6
27MK. Matsuki↓ 84'6.6
18MT. Fellows
26MC. Bragg
9FC. Larin↓ 62'6.2
Coach: Tonda Eckert
Top stats
39%Possession61%
2.27Expected goals (xG)0.77
19Total shots16
5Shots on target4
3Big chances0
4Corners6
Shots
8Shots off target9
6Blocked shots3
16Shots inside box7
3Shots outside box9
0Hit woodwork1
1Big chances scored0
2Big chances missed0
-0.7Goals prevented1.61
Attack
40Touches in box22
67Final third entries50
0Offsides1
10Free kicks14
0Fouled in final third4
Passing
316Passes510
240Accurate passes453
36/74 (49%)Long balls19/42 (45%)
7/19 (37%)Crosses5/17 (29%)
17Throw-ins20
Duels
53Duels47
33/66 (50%)Ground duels33/66 (50%)
23/40 (57%)Aerial duels17/40 (43%)
6/9 (67%)Dribbles8/12 (67%)
9Dispossessed13
Defending
17Tackles12
65Tackles won33
5Interceptions5
22Clearances41
47Recoveries44
Discipline
14Fouls10
3Yellow cards0
Goalkeeping
2Saves4
0Big saves2
8Goal kicks11
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
1X2Southampton to win 52% · 2.20 @ William Hill
Who winsLincoln to win (DNB) 71% · 3.25 @ Bet365
CornersOver 9.5 corners 54% · 1.68 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 65% · 1.36 @ Unibet
BTTSBoth teams to score 57% · 3.00 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 56% · 4.00 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 77% · 1.95 @ William Hill
1X2Draw 25% · 2.75 @ Unibet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 67% · 1.47 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 57% · 1.80 @ betfair
1X2Lincoln to win 24% · 4.03 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
4.00
Lincoln City
3.80
Draw
1.81
Southampton
Double Chanceconsensus
1.97
Lincoln City or Draw
1.23
Lincoln City or Southampton
1.22
Draw or Southampton
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.61
Yes
2.19
No
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
4.75
YES
1.15
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
2.75
YES
1.40
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
7.00
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
3.38
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
11.90
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.22
Over 1.50
4.20
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.69
Over 2.50
2.12
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.77
Over 3.50
1.41
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.16
Over 4.50
1.14
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.90
Lincoln City
1.36
Southampton
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.14
Over 7.50
4.32
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.32
Over 8.50
2.91
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.60
Over 9.50
2.17
Under 9.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
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