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Paul Heckingbottom
Preston North End
Blackburn Rovers
Preston North End
4-4-2 · 3-4-2-1
Blackburn Rovers
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
275461 EUR · live
Home
1.04 · implied 96.2%
82.9%
-13.3 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
10.4%
+10.3 vs price
Draw
23.0 · implied 4.3%
6.8%
+2.4 vs price
Half time
4508 EUR · live
Home
1.02 · implied 98.0%
86.2%
-11.9 vs price
Draw
55.0 · implied 1.8%
11.8%
+9.9 vs price
Away
900.0 · implied 0.1%
2.0%
+1.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
29075 EUR · live
Under
4.4 · implied 22.7%
61.3%
+38.6 vs price
Over
1.3 · implied 76.9%
38.7%
-38.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
20691 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
90.3%
-8.7 vs price
Over
36.0 · implied 2.8%
9.7%
+6.9 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
9'
⚽
C. Lang · assist D. Burgzorg1–0
25'
Y. Ribeiro · Foul
27'
⚽
C. Lang · assist J. Thompson2–0
40'
S. Morsy · Foul
42'
D. Burgzorg · Time wasting
Half-time · 2–0
51'
⚽
S. Mills2–1
52'
S. Mills · Foul
59'
🔁
J. Erabi ◂ D. Burgzorg
59'
🔁
J. Kenny ◂ C. Lang
59'
🔁
A. Vukčević ◂ C. Wiley
64'
🔁
H. Carter ◂ A. Forshaw
64'
🔁
J. Fevrier ◂ O. Afolayan
65'
H. Clarke · Argument
69'
🔁
O. Offiah ◂ S. Mills
74'
🔁
L. Gibbs ◂ A. Devine
74'
🔁
H. Higgins ◂ S. Morsy
89'
J. Thompson · Time wasting
Full-time · 2–1
Coaches
Tony Mowbray 
Recent form
LHBristol City1-3
LACharlton Athletic0-1
LHEverton0-4
LHWolverhampton1-3
LABolton Wanderers1-2
DALincoln City0-0
LHQueens Park Rangers1-2
LHSheffield United1-2
WHMiddlesbrough2-1
DAWolverhampton2-2
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Match facts
Stadium
Deepdale
City
Preston
Kickoff
05 Sep, 11:30 UTC
Competition
Championship
Highlights & clips
1
D. Iversen
7.1
4
H. Clarke
7.3
14
J. Storey
6.7
19
L. Gibson
6.7
3
A. Vukčević
6.8
↑ 59'
24
O. Offiah
6.8
↑ 69'
27
L. Leroy
7.1
15
J. Thompson
8.0
20
L. Gibbs
6.7
↑ 74'
38
J. Kenny
6.1
↑ 59'
9
J. Erabi
6.5
↑ 59'
1
A. Pears
6.7
31
K. Montgomery
6.4
15
S. McLoughlin
6.8
4
Y. Ribeiro
5.7
2
R. Alebiousu
6.8
17
H. Carter
7.2
↑ 64'
45
H. Higgins
6.1
↑ 74'
11
J. Fevrier
6.5
↑ 64'
25
R. Morishita
5.9
10
T. Cantwell
6.3
9
A. Guðjohnsen
6.6
Substitutes
21GL. Nicholls
12DC. Wiley↓ 59'6.6
6DL. Lindsay
17MS. Mills↓ 69'6.9
7MA. Devine↓ 74'6.4
23MA. Moran
11MT. Small
10FC. Lang↓ 59'8.1
37FD. Burgzorg↓ 59'6.8
Coach: Paul Heckingbottom
Substitutes
37GF. Goddard
39DH. Pates
46DM. Decandia
47DL. Houghton
28MA. Forshaw↓ 64'6.5
8MS. Morsy↓ 74'6.3
53MF. Vare
30MJ. Garrett
21FO. Afolayan↓ 64'6.1
Coach: Tony Mowbray
Top stats
33%Possession67%
2.19Expected goals (xG)1.09
8Total shots12
3Shots on target5
3Big chances2
3Corners11
Shots
3Shots off target5
2Blocked shots2
5Shots inside box7
3Shots outside box5
0Hit woodwork1
2Big chances scored0
1Big chances missed2
0.15Goals prevented0.23
Attack
12Touches in box18
55Final third entries61
1Offsides5
9Free kicks11
4Fouled in final third2
Passing
243Passes518
159Accurate passes420
16/53 (30%)Long balls16/55 (29%)
2/18 (11%)Crosses2/24 (8%)
15Throw-ins26
Duels
56Duels44
36/62 (58%)Ground duels26/62 (42%)
16/31 (52%)Aerial duels15/31 (48%)
5/9 (56%)Dribbles4/14 (29%)
7Dispossessed13
Defending
23Tackles11
52Tackles won55
14Interceptions6
28Clearances21
45Recoveries45
Discipline
11Fouls9
4Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
5Saves1
1Big saves0
7Goal kicks8
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 55% · 1.81 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 67% · 1.47 @ Pinnacle
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 53% · 1.16 @ Unibet
1X2Draw 29% · 2.50 @ Unibet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 75% · 1.30 @ 10bet
1X2Blackburn to win 32% · 3.28 @ 1xBet
BTTSBoth teams to score 52% · 3.50 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 71% · 2.25 @ 1xBet
1X2Preston to win 39% · 2.75 @ 1xBet
Who winsPreston to win (DNB) 52% · 1.77 @ 10bet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 56% · 1.70 @ 10bet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.45
Preston North End
3.25
Draw
2.88
Blackburn Rovers
Double Chanceconsensus
1.38
Preston North End or Draw
1.31
Preston North End or Blackburn Rovers
1.52
Draw or Blackburn Rovers
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.73
Yes
2.01
No
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
3.00
YES
1.33
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
3.40
YES
1.28
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.98
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
4.90
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
9.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.33
Over 1.50
3.25
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.02
Over 2.50
1.77
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.50
Over 3.50
1.28
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
6.75
Over 4.50
1.08
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.67
Preston North End
2.10
Blackburn Rovers
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.23
Over 7.50
3.60
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.46
Over 8.50
2.58
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.79
Over 9.50
1.95
Under 9.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
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