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James Morrison
West Bromwich Albion
Watford
West Bromwich Albion
4-4-2 · 4-2-3-1
Watford
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
168337 EUR · live
Home
1.02 · implied 98.0%
77.5%
-20.5 vs price
Draw
27.0 · implied 3.7%
15.8%
+12.1 vs price
Away
85.0 · implied 1.2%
6.8%
+5.6 vs price
Half time
491 EUR · live
Away
6.2 · implied 16.1%
44.8%
+28.6 vs price
Draw
1.91 · implied 52.4%
41.5%
-10.8 vs price
Home
3.35 · implied 29.9%
13.2%
-16.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
29269 EUR · live
Over
70.0 · implied 1.4%
57.3%
+55.9 vs price
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
43.1%
-55.9 vs price
6 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
16'
M. Payero · Foul
34'
J. Morgan · Foul
36'
⚽
J. Morgan · assist H. Whitwell1–0
42'
O. Diakité · Foul
Half-time · 1–0
46'
🔁
E. Kayembe ◂ J. Zemura
59'
🔁
S. Coulibaly ◂ A. Eames
63'
E. Kayembe · Foul
67'
🔁
A. Nabizada ◂ M. Payero
67'
🔁
S. Mavididi ◂ O. Maamma
73'
🔁
F. Myhre ◂ A. S. Heggebø
73'
🔁
J. Molumby ◂ R. Nzingoula
81'
🔁
N. Phillips ◂ C. Mepham
82'
🔁
M. Doumbia ◂ L. Kjerrumgaard
82'
🔁
B. Stewart ◂ J. Morgan
88'
N. Phillips · Foul
89'
H. Whitwell · Foul
Full-time · 1–0
90'+5
I. Bravo · Argument
90'+5
I. Price · Argument
Coaches
Alessio Dionisi 
Recent form
DHCharlton Athletic1-1
LAMiddlesbrough1-3
LANewcastle United2-3
WHBurnley3-1
WANorwich City2-1
LASwansea City0-2
DHWest Ham United1-1
LHPeterborough United1-5
DAWrexham1-1
WHSouthampton2-1
Where to watch
Viaplay
Viaplay
Viaplay
Viaplay
Match facts
Stadium
The Hawthorns
City
West Bromwich
Kickoff
05 Sep, 14:00 UTC
Competition
Championship
Highlights & clips
1
M. O'Leary
7.1
25
N. Galves
7.6
3
N. Phillips
6.6
↑ 81'
6
G. Campbell
6.9
4
C. Styles
7.4
29
H. Whitwell
7.9
8
J. Molumby
6.7
↑ 73'
17
O. Diakité
6.7
21
I. Price
6.6
7
F. Myhre
6.6
↑ 73'
9
B. Stewart
6.6
↑ 82'
1
F. Ravaglia
7.0
3
S. Coulibaly
7.0
↑ 59'
6
M. Pollock
7.2
4
K. K. Biakolo
6.8
39
E. Kayembe
6.6
↑ 46'
8
E. Bove
6.9
5
H. Kyprianou
6.5
17
I. Bravo
7.1
45
S. Mavididi
6.7
↑ 67'
21
A. Nabizada
6.5
↑ 67'
20
M. Doumbia
6.5
↑ 82'
Substitutes
13GM. Ingram
2DC. Mepham↓ 81'7.7
18DB. Pereira
22DC. Townsend
11MJ. Morgan↓ 82'7.5
20MR. Nzingoula↓ 73'7.1
26MK. Tunde
15MT. Collyer
19FA. S. Heggebø↓ 73'6.5
Coach: James Morrison
Substitutes
24GS. Walker
26GD. Bachmann
56DA. Eames↓ 59'6.0
53DJ. Clarridge
22MM. Payero↓ 67'6.8
33MJ. Zemura↓ 46'6.3
7MO. Maamma↓ 67'6.3
9FL. Kjerrumgaard↓ 82'6.4
11FR. Vata
Coach: Alessio Dionisi
Top stats
51%Possession49%
1.14Expected goals (xG)1.26
9Total shots11
4Shots on target2
2Big chances4
5Corners4
Shots
2Shots off target3
3Blocked shots6
7Shots inside box8
2Shots outside box3
1Big chances scored0
1Big chances missed4
0.15Goals prevented0.78
Attack
23Touches in box23
43Final third entries44
2Offsides0
11Free kicks18
3Fouled in final third4
Passing
441Passes414
380Accurate passes340
16/36 (44%)Long balls25/64 (39%)
2/13 (15%)Crosses4/16 (25%)
15Throw-ins21
Duels
52Duels48
39/80 (49%)Ground duels41/80 (51%)
10/15 (67%)Aerial duels5/15 (33%)
6/13 (46%)Dribbles10/22 (45%)
8Dispossessed11
Defending
23Tackles15
48Tackles won53
5Interceptions12
23Clearances24
43Recoveries40
Discipline
18Fouls11
5Yellow cards3
Goalkeeping
2Saves3
0Big saves1
8Goal kicks5
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
Who winsWest Brom to win (DNB) 72% · 1.40 @ Unibet
CornersOver 9.5 corners 50% · 1.85 @ Unibet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 62% · 1.52 @ Unibet
1X2West Brom to win 50% · 2.30 @ William Hill
1X2Draw 27% · 2.55 @ Unibet
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 50% · 1.18 @ William Hill
BTTSBoth teams to score 53% · 3.40 @ Bet365
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 72% · 1.36 @ betfair
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 73% · 2.10 @ 10bet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 61% · 1.65 @ Pinnacle
1X2Watford to win 23% · 4.14 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.87
West Bromwich Albion
3.56
Draw
4.00
Watford
Double Chanceconsensus
1.22
West Bromwich Albion or Draw
1.26
West Bromwich Albion or Watford
1.87
Draw or Watford
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.75
Yes
1.98
No
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
2.55
YES
1.45
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
4.33
YES
1.18
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.30
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
6.50
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.03
Over 0.50
9.50
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.29
Over 1.50
3.40
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.90
Over 2.50
1.89
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.25
Over 3.50
1.33
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
6.50
Over 4.50
1.10
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.35
West Bromwich Albion
3.00
Watford
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.20
Over 7.50
3.58
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.44
Over 8.50
2.52
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.77
Over 9.50
1.95
Under 9.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
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