Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
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Tony Mowbray
Blackburn Rovers
Sheffield United**Blackburn's in trouble, and Sheffield United smell blood.** The Blades roll into Ewood Park with momentum while Rovers are limping along with half their squad in the treatment room. 🏥
Blackburn have won just one of their last five, and injuries have absolutely gutted the squad. Sheffield United, meanwhile, are the form side here — two wins and two draws, with enough grit to grind out results even in tight spots.
Key storylines:
- **Sheffield United's midfield dominance**: H. Choudhury, S. Peck, and J. Rothwell give the Blades serious control; Blackburn's K. Montgomery and A. Forshaw will be tested
- **Blackburn's injury crisis**: Missing A. Kargbo, H. Pickering, H. Carter, L. Miller, and M. Jørgensen leaves **A. Guðjohnsen** and **O. Afolayan** isolated up front
- **H2H edge to Sheffield**: Nine wins in 19 meetings gives the visitors clear historical confidence
Expected lineups:
- **Blackburn Rovers**: A. Pears, Y. Ribeiro, S. McLoughlin, T. Atcheson, R. Alebiousu, K. Montgomery, A. Forshaw, T. Cantwell, R. Morishita, O. Afolayan, A. Guðjohnsen
- **Sheffield United**: M. Cooper, S. McCallum, J. Tanganga, M. McGuinness, M. Doherty, H. Choudhury, S. Peck, J. Rothwell, R. Donovan, P. Bamford, T. Cannon
Prediction:
**Sheffield United 2–0 Blackburn Rovers**. Rovers' injury pile-up is just too much to overcome. 🔪
Blackburn Rovers
4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2
Sheffield United
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
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