Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Swansea are on the up, but Burnley's injury crisis might just hand the Welsh side an easy Saturday.** The visitors are threadbare at the back and have won just once in five — this looks like a home banker. 🏴
Swansea sit pretty with **two wins in their last three**, while Burnley are stuck in neutral with three draws sandwiched between defeats. The gap in form is real, and Burnley's battered squad — five players out — makes this a mismatch waiting to happen.
Key storylines:
- **Swansea's attacking intent**: A. Idah, Ž. Vipotnik, and L. Walta form a potent trio against a creaky Burnley backline
- **Burnley's defensive nightmare**: M. Alleyne, O. Sonne, and C. Roberts are under siege with five absentees
- **H2H edge to Swansea**: Seven wins to six in their last 14 meetings — the Welsh side know how to hurt them
Expected lineups:
- **Swansea City**: L. Vigouroux, J. Key, S. Welsh, F. Lissah, J. Tymon, M. Stamenić, M. K. Yeo, A. Idah, J. Fulton, Ž. Vipotnik, L. Walta
- **Burnley**: M. Weiss, C. Roberts, M. Alleyne, O. Sonne, K. Walker, A. Ramsey, U. Raghouber, J. Bruun Larsen, H. Mejbri, M. Edwards, Z. Amdouni
Prediction:
**Swansea 2-0 Burnley**. Home advantage, form, and Burnley's injury woes all point one way. Lean Swansea. ✅
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
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