**Burnley are limping at home; Derby just keeps falling apart.** Two teams drowning in the Championship, but one's got the home crowd and a brutal recent h2h advantage to lean on. 🔴

Burnley haven't won in five but at least they're grabbing draws. Derby? They've lost four of their last five, conceding nine goals in three of those matches. The Clarets should fancy this one despite the injury carnage on both sides.

Key storylines:

- **Burnley's home fortress** needs to show up: they've dominated Derby historically (11 wins in 17), and Turf Moor could be the spark this struggling side needs
- **Derby's defensive shambles** — three straight defeats and leaking goals at will means **M. Fuseini** and the backline will be under siege all afternoon
- **H. Mejbri** pulling strings in midfield could be the difference if Burnley can actually hold shape and break through

Expected lineups:

- **Burnley**: M. Weiss, O. Sonne, M. Alleyne, A. Ahmedhodžić, K. Walker, U. Raghouber, J. Laurent, H. Mejbri
- **Derby County**: J. Vickers, C. Taylor, S. K. Langås, D. Sanderson, J. Ward, B. Clark, A. Mowatt, S. Szmodics

Prediction:

**Burnley 2–0 Derby County** — both sides are sketchy, but the Clarets have just enough edge at home and the history against these opponents to nick three points. 📊