Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Norwich are heavy favorites on home soil, and Bolton are limping in with an injury crisis.** This looks like a mismatch on paper, but the Canaries' inconsistency (losses to Manchester City and Middlesbrough sandwiched around a win) keeps it spicy.
Bolton have won just once in five and are bleeding bodies in defense. Norwich's form at Carrow Road has been solid, though, and they'll fancy running riot here. The question is whether the hosts can actually convert dominance into goals—they've shown they can leak in big numbers too.
Key storylines:
- **Norwich's home fortress vs Bolton's battered back line** — with Famewo, Brunt, and Stephenson out, Bolton's rearguard is paper-thin
- **Slimane and Touré pulling strings in midfield** — Norwich's creative core should have time and space
- **Can Bolton nick a surprise result?** — they've shown grit in patches but are severely undermanned
Expected lineups:
- **Norwich City**: Kovačević, Chrisene, McLean, Córdoba, McConville, Mattsson, Slimane, Touré, Schwartau, Brooks, Makama
- **Bolton Wanderers**: Bonham, Conway, Forino, Davies, Larrazabal, Sheehan, Erhahon, Gale, Rodrigues, Dong, Dalby
Prediction:
**Norwich 3-1 Bolton** — the hosts should dominate, though Bolton might sneak a goal on the counter. Lean Norwich.
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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