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Charlton Athletic
Bristol City
Bristol City
Bristol City
Bristol City
Bristol City
Charlton Athletic
Bristol City
Charlton Athletic
Charlton Athletic
Charlton Athletic
Nathan Jones
Charlton Athletic
Bristol City
Charlton Athletic
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Bristol City
Commentary
90'
Full-time. Charlton Athletic 1-1 Bristol City.
90+1'
Attempt saved. H. Knibbs (Charlton Athletic), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.13.
90+1'
Charlton Athletic
Corner, Charlton Athletic.
90'
3 minutes of added time.
77'
Attempt saved. T. Campbell (Charlton Athletic), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.52.
77'
Attempt blocked. T. Campbell (Charlton Athletic), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.07.
77'
Attempt missed. T. Campbell (Charlton Athletic), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.15.
52'
Attempt blocked. B. De Keersmaecker (Bristol City), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.
52'
Bristol City
Corner, Bristol City.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. Charlton Athletic 1-1 Bristol City.
45'
3 minutes of added time.
40'
Bristol City
Corner, Bristol City.
35'
Bristol City
Corner, Bristol City.
32'
Bristol City
Corner, Bristol City.
31'
Bristol City
Offside, Bristol City.
29'
Charlton Athletic
Corner, Charlton Athletic.
27'
Goal! Charlton Athletic 1-1 Bristol City. S. Twine (Bristol City) converts the penalty.
25'
Bristol City
Corner, Bristol City.
21'
Charlton Athletic
Corner, Charlton Athletic.
12'
Charlton Athletic
Corner, Charlton Athletic.
11'
Charlton Athletic
Corner, Charlton Athletic.
8'
Goal! Charlton Athletic 1-0 Bristol City. K. Grant (Charlton Athletic) scores, assisted by T. Campbell.
5'
Attempt blocked. B. De Keersmaecker (Bristol City), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.
1'
Kick-off: Charlton Athletic vs Bristol City.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
129328 EUR · live
Draw
1.07 · implied 93.5%
51.6%
-41.9 vs price
Home
16.5 · implied 6.1%
29.0%
+22.9 vs price
Away
24.0 · implied 4.2%
22.6%
+18.4 vs price
Half time
218 EUR
Draw
2.28 · implied 43.9%
99.6%
+55.7 vs price
Home
3.9 · implied 25.6%
0.0%
-25.6 vs price
Away
2.9 · implied 34.5%
0.0%
-34.5 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
83076 EUR · live
Under
1.05 · implied 95.2%
63.1%
-32.1 vs price
Over
22.0 · implied 4.5%
36.9%
+32.4 vs price
12 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 2 clips
Player of the match
Match events
8'
⚽
K. Grant · assist T. Campbell1–0
27'
⚽
S. Twine (pen)1–1
Half-time · 1–1
53'
🔁
I. Mesík ◂ J. Edwards
53'
🔁
K. Ramsay ◂ M. Mbick
65'
🔁
S. Greenwood ◂ B. De Keersmaecker
65'
🔁
C. Pring ◂ Y. Hirakawa
69'
B. Koumetio · Foul
77'
🔁
H. Knibbs ◂ K. Grant
77'
🔁
C. Kelman ◂ M. Leaburn
78'
🔁
E. Adebayo ◂ S. Twine
78'
🔁
G. Yah ◂ A. Randell
89'
🔁
M. Alli ◂ T. Campbell
Full-time · 1–1
90'+2
E. Adebayo · Argument
90'+2
I. Mesík · Argument
90'+3
🔁
S. Bell ◂ D. Ballard
Coaches
Nathan JonesMichael Skubala 
Recent form
Charlton AthleticLACardiff City1-3
DHPortsmouth0-0
DHQueens Park Rangers0-0
LAStoke City0-4
DAWest Bromwich Albion1-1
Bristol CityWACrystal Palace2-0
WHWatford1-0
LHLincoln City0-1
LASouthampton1-4
WABurnley2-1
About this match
**Bristol City are rolling, Charlton are stuck in neutral** — the visitors arrive at The Valley on a three-win streak while the hosts haven't tasted victory in five. Classic Championship sandwich. 🏟️
Charlton's been leaky (3D, 2L) and injury-hit, but home turf matters. Bristol City's explosive form is the real story though — they're clicking in attack and their league record this season says they're a cut above mid-table scrapping.
Key storylines:
- **Bristol City's attacking trio** of Greenwood, Twine, and Wallace have been the engine of the recent surge and Charlton's depleted rearguard will fancy them even less
- **Charlton needing Leaburn and Campbell** to carry creative weight with Sichenje, Ramsay, and Mannion all sidelined
- **Head-to-head history slightly favours Bristol** (5 wins to 3 in the last decade), but home form tends to compress those splits
Expected lineups:
- **Charlton Athletic**: Okonkwo, McNamara, Jones, Mesík, Bell, Chalobah, Skipp, Grant, Coventry, Campbell, Leaburn
- **Bristol City**: Tickle, Pring, Dickie, Atkinson, Tanner, Knight, Williams, Greenwood, Twine, Wallace, Tolaj
Prediction:
**Bristol City 2-1 Charlton Athletic**. The Robins' momentum is too strong and Charlton's injury list too long — but expect a scrappy reply at home. 🎯
Where to watch
Paramount+
Viaplay
V Sport FootballViaplay
Sky Sports+
Viaplay
Sky Sports+
TV2 PlayViaplay
V Sport FootballViaplay
Paramount+
Match facts
Stadium
The Valley
City
London
Kickoff
10 Oct, 11:30 UTC
Competition
Championship
Highlights & clips
Charlton Athletic
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Bristol City
13
A. Okonkwo
6.5
20
D. McNamara
6.5
5
L. Jones
6.8
12
B. Koumetio
7.2
2
K. Ramsay
7.2
↑ 53'
6
C. Coventry
6.4
34
O. Skipp
6.2
8
H. Knibbs
6.5
↑ 77'
18
I. Mesík
6.6
↑ 53'
19
M. Alli
↑ 89'
23
C. Kelman
6.6
↑ 77'
1
S. Tickle
6.4
19
G. Tanner
7.6
15
L. McNally
6.6
5
R. Atkinson
7.8
21
R. Cardines
6.9
27
G. Yah
6.7
↑ 78'
3
C. Pring
6.6
↑ 65'
20
S. Greenwood
6.5
↑ 65'
12
J. Knight
6.4
45
E. Adebayo
6.3
↑ 78'
11
S. Bell
↑ 90'
Substitutes
25GW. Mannion
3DJ. Edwards↓ 53'6.7
17DA. Bell
9MK. Grant↓ 77'7.7
14MS. Carey
26MJ. Rankin-Costello
7FT. Campbell↓ 89'6.6
11FM. Leaburn↓ 77'6.5
33FM. Mbick↓ 53'6.2
Coach: Nathan Jones
Substitutes
40GB. Collins
2DL. N. Eissat
4MA. Randell↓ 78'7.2
6MB. De Keersmaecker↓ 65'6.9
17MJ. Wallace
14MT. Horvat
10FS. Twine↓ 78'7.6
7FY. Hirakawa↓ 65'6.5
23FD. Ballard↓ 90'6.4
Coach: Michael Skubala
Top stats
53%Possession47%
1.78Expected goals (xG)1.47
12Total shots13
4Shots on target3
3Big chances2
5Corners5
Shots
4Shots off target5
4Blocked shots5
9Shots inside box6
3Shots outside box7
1Big chances scored1
2Big chances missed1
-0.09Goals prevented-0.03
Attack
21Touches in box20
60Final third entries66
0Offsides1
11Free kicks12
1Fouled in final third4
Passing
390Passes330
270Accurate passes225
13/63 (21%)Long balls12/64 (19%)
4/14 (29%)Crosses6/22 (27%)
28Throw-ins25
Duels
46Duels54
27/58 (47%)Ground duels31/58 (53%)
24/52 (46%)Aerial duels28/52 (54%)
7/20 (35%)Dribbles2/7 (29%)
5Dispossessed4
Defending
9Tackles18
56Tackles won56
6Interceptions8
45Clearances43
36Recoveries40
Discipline
13Fouls11
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
2Saves3
1Big saves1
8Goal kicks6
1Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers
1X2Bristol City to win 41% · 2.62 @ Bet365
CornersOver 9.5 corners 55% · 1.74 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 66% · 1.33 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 55% · 1.15 @ William Hill
1X2Draw 29% · 2.38 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 75% · 1.29 @ Bet365
BTTSBoth teams to score 51% · 3.50 @ Bet365
Who winsCharlton to win (DNB) 57% · 2.30 @ Betsson
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 70% · 2.25 @ William Hill
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 56% · 1.73 @ 1xBet
1X2Charlton to win 30% · 3.50 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
3.10
Charlton Athletic
3.26
Draw
2.29
Bristol City
Double Chanceconsensus
1.60
Charlton Athletic or Draw
1.31
Charlton Athletic or Bristol City
1.33
Draw or Bristol City
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.80
Yes
1.91
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
5.00
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
3.70
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.05
Over 0.50
9.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.33
Over 1.50
3.25
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.08
Over 2.50
1.73
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.75
Over 3.50
1.26
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
7.55
Over 4.50
1.06
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.23
Charlton Athletic
1.61
Bristol City
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.14
Over 7.50
4.80
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.33
Over 8.50
3.00
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.57
Over 9.50
2.25
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.00
Over 10.50
1.73
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.60
Over 11.50
1.44
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.
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