Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
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**Preston's on the ropes, but Millwall can't get comfortable either** — both sides are stuttering through the Championship, and this Deepdale clash feels like a classic trap-game energy. 🏴
Preston have won just once in five and leaked three losses on the spin; Millwall aren't much better off at 1W in their last five, though they've scraped back draws against West Ham and Middlesbrough. The head-to-head slightly favours Millwall (11 wins to Preston's 3), but results are tight — nine of the last 23 meetings ended level.
Key storylines:
- **Preston's attacking shape** relies on J. Erabi and J. Kenny up top with J. Thompson pulling threads through midfield, but A. McCann's hamstring absence robs the engine room of key bodies
- **Millwall's defensive wall** (J. Cooper, C. Taylor anchoring a four-back line) will be tested by Preston's width, especially with A. Hughes and A. Vukčević pushing from the flank
- Both teams miss **key defensive pieces** — Millwall without L. Jensen and R. Leonard adds fragility to an already brittle backline
Expected lineups:
- **Preston North End**: D. Iversen, J. Storey, L. Gibson, A. Hughes, A. Vukčević, H. Clarke, A. Devine, J. Thompson, L. Leroy, J. Erabi, J. Kenny
- **Millwall**: M. Crocombe, Z. Sturge, J. Cooper, C. Taylor, J. Osei-Tutu, J. Metcalfe, D. Mazou-Sacko, K. Lisbie, L. Cundle, C. Neghli, T. Arconte
Prediction:
**1-1 draw** — both too fragile to win, both good enough not to lose.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.2%.
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