Southampton 1-0 Portsmouth: Stats, xG & Lineups

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Southampton 1-0 Portsmouth.

90+6'

Southampton

Offside, Southampton.

90+4'

M. Milovanović

Attempt missed. M. Milovanović (Portsmouth), left-footed shot. xG 0.15.

90+1'

K. Schlotterbeck

Attempt missed. K. Schlotterbeck (Southampton), header from a set piece. xG 0.25.

90'

5 minutes of added time.

88'

O. Bailey

Attempt missed. O. Bailey (Portsmouth), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.03.

88'

Portsmouth

Corner, Portsmouth.

85'

A. Kamara

Attempt blocked. A. Kamara (Portsmouth), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.05.

84'

Portsmouth

Corner, Portsmouth.

83'

Portsmouth

Corner, Portsmouth.

82'

K. Schlotterbeck

Yellow card for K. Schlotterbeck (Southampton) for foul.

77'

Z. Swanson

Substitution, Portsmouth: K. Anderson comes on for Z. Swanson.

74'

Portsmouth

Offside, Portsmouth.

74'

A. Kamara

Attempt blocked. A. Kamara (Portsmouth), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

72'

C. Larin

Substitution, Southampton: C. Jander comes on for C. Larin.

70'

F. Azaz

Attempt blocked. F. Azaz (Southampton), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.03.

69'

T. Devlin

Yellow card for T. Devlin (Portsmouth) for foul.

66'

Z. Swanson

Attempt missed. Z. Swanson (Portsmouth), right-footed shot. xG 0.15.

65'

T. Shade

Attempt missed. T. Shade (Portsmouth), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

65'

E. Adams

Substitution, Portsmouth: O. Bailey comes on for E. Adams.

65'

J. Meghoma

Substitution, Portsmouth: T. Devlin comes on for J. Meghoma.

65'

C. Bishop

Substitution, Portsmouth: M. Milovanović comes on for C. Bishop.

64'

A. Kamara

Attempt blocked. A. Kamara (Portsmouth), left-footed shot. xG 0.07.

62'

J. Bree

Attempt missed. J. Bree (Southampton), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.01.

57'

L. Scienza

Substitution, Southampton: K. Matsuki comes on for L. Scienza.

56'

A. Segecic

Attempt missed. A. Segecic (Portsmouth), left-footed shot. xG 0.05.

54'

J. Meghoma

Attempt blocked. J. Meghoma (Portsmouth), left-footed shot. xG 0.06.

54'

A. Segecic

Attempt missed. A. Segecic (Portsmouth), left-footed shot. xG 0.05.

53'

J. Meghoma

Yellow card for J. Meghoma (Portsmouth) for argument.

53'

F. Azaz

Yellow card for F. Azaz (Southampton) for foul.

51'

C. Larin

Yellow card for C. Larin (Southampton) for argument.

48'

L. Scienza

Attempt saved. L. Scienza (Southampton), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.19.

48'

K. Schlotterbeck

Attempt blocked. K. Schlotterbeck (Southampton), header from a corner. xG 0.08.

48'

Southampton

Corner, Southampton.

46'

R. K.-McQueen

Substitution, Portsmouth: A. Segecic comes on for R. K.-McQueen.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Southampton 1-0 Portsmouth.

45+3'

R. K.-McQueen

Attempt missed. R. K.-McQueen (Portsmouth), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

45'

2 minutes of added time.

45'

C. Bishop

Attempt saved. C. Bishop (Portsmouth), header from a set piece. xG 0.23.

44'

C. Bragg

Second yellow card for C. Bragg (Southampton), who is sent off.

37'

Portsmouth

Offside, Portsmouth.

35'

E. Adams

Attempt saved. E. Adams (Portsmouth), header from a corner. xG 0.14.

34'

E. Adams

Yellow card for E. Adams (Portsmouth) for argument.

33'

Portsmouth

Corner, Portsmouth.

32'

C. Bragg

Yellow card for C. Bragg (Southampton) for foul.

24'

Southampton

Corner, Southampton.

20'

J. Bree

Goal! Southampton 1-0 Portsmouth. J. Bree (Southampton) scores, assisted by F. Azaz.

15'

J. Meghoma

Attempt missed. J. Meghoma (Portsmouth), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.03.

12'

J. Meghoma

Attempt saved. J. Meghoma (Portsmouth), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

10'

R. K.-McQueen

Attempt missed. R. K.-McQueen (Portsmouth), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

4'

Portsmouth

Offside, Portsmouth.

2'

C. Larin

Attempt saved. C. Larin (Southampton), left-footed shot. xG 0.43.

1'

Kick-off: Southampton vs Portsmouth.

Where the money is

881107 EUR matched · captured 2 weeks, 6 days ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 437563 EUR · live

Home 1.01 · implied 99.0%

80.3%

-18.7 vs price

Away 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

10.8%

+10.7 vs price

Draw 50.0 · implied 2.0%

9.2%

+7.2 vs price

Half time 3491 EUR · live

Home 1.18 · implied 84.7%

61.1%

-23.7 vs price

Draw 6.6 · implied 15.2%

26.1%

+11.0 vs price

Away 50.0 · implied 2.0%

12.8%

+10.8 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 87066 EUR · live

Under 1.01 · implied 99.0%

64.2%

-34.8 vs price

Over 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

35.8%

+35.7 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 6156 EUR · live

Under 1.15 · implied 87.0%

86.1%

-0.9 vs price

Over 7.2 · implied 13.9%

13.9%

+0.1 vs price

18 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

20' ⚽ J. Bree · assist F. Azaz1–0

32' C. Bragg · Foul

34' E. Adams · Argument

44' C. Bragg · Foul

Half-time · 1–0

46' 🔁 A. Segecic ◂ R. K.-McQueen

51' C. Larin · Argument

53' J. Meghoma · Argument

53' F. Azaz · Foul

57' 🔁 K. Matsuki ◂ L. Scienza

65' 🔁 M. Milovanović ◂ C. Bishop

65' 🔁 T. Devlin ◂ J. Meghoma

65' 🔁 O. Bailey ◂ E. Adams

69' T. Devlin · Foul

72' 🔁 C. Jander ◂ C. Larin

77' 🔁 K. Anderson ◂ Z. Swanson

82' K. Schlotterbeck · Foul

Full-time · 1–0

Coaches

Tonda Eckert

John Mousinho

Recent form

Southampton

LAWrexham1-2

WHBristol City4-1

WHSwansea City3-1

DALincoln City1-1

DABirmingham City1-1

Portsmouth

DHBlackburn Rovers2-2

DACharlton Athletic0-0

WHCardiff City2-0

LHDerby County0-2

LABristol City1-2

About this match

**Southampton's home form is absolutely lethal right now, but Portsmouth's injury crisis is doing them no favors.** This has the makings of a classic Championship ambush waiting to happen. 🔥

Saints have rattled off wins and draws consistently, while Pompey are limping in with just one victory in their last five and three key players on the sidelines. The home advantage and form gap should tell here.

Key storylines:

- **Southampton's attack** has been clinical at St. Mary's — 4-1 and 3-1 wins prove they can put teams away when it matters
- **Portsmouth's missing personnel** (J. Murphy, L. Brooke-Smith, M. Kosznovszky out) leaves the midfield and defense paper-thin for a tough away day
- **Head-to-head balance** keeps it spicy — the last decade's split record (3-3-4) shows these matches are never a walk in the park

Expected lineups:

- **Southampton**: G. Long, R. Manning, N. Wood, K. Schlotterbeck, J. Bree, F. Downes, K. Matsuki, L. Scienza, F. Azaz, T. Fellows, C. Larin
- **Portsmouth**: D. Bielica, J. Meghoma, C. Shaughnessy, B. Arthur, T. Devlin, M. Pack, R. Shein, R. K.-McQueen, J. Swift, A. Segecic, C. Bishop

Prediction:

**Southampton 2-0 Portsmouth**

Saints' home form and Pompey's battered squad point to a comfortable afternoon on the south coast.

Where to watch

Disney+ Premium Argentina

Match facts

Stadium

St. Mary's Stadium

City

Southampton

Referee

Adam Herczeg

3.62 yellows/match · 45 matches

Kickoff

11 Oct, 11:00 UTC

Competition

Championship

Highlights & clips

Southampton 4-4-2 · 4-2-3-1 Portsmouth

1 D. Peretz 7.6 14 J. Bree 8.6 5 J. Stephens 7.5 13 K. Schlotterbeck 7.6 3 R. Manning 7.8 30 J. Ward-Prowse 6.9 26 C. Bragg 5.5 4 F. Downes 7.5 27 K. Matsuki 6.4 ↑ 57' 8 C. Jander 6.7 ↑ 72' 10 F. Azaz 7.4 1 N. Schmid 7.4 21 K. Anderson 6.8 ↑ 77' 5 R. Poole 6.8 55 M. Dia 6.5 24 T. Devlin 6.8 ↑ 65' 7 M. Pack 7.4 27 O. Bailey 6.8 ↑ 65' 10 A. Segecic 6.5 ↑ 46' 11 A. Kamara 6.8 17 T. Shade 7.0 29 M. Milovanović 6.2 ↑ 65'

Substitutes

25GG. Long 15DN. Wood 34DWelington 7ML. Scienza↓ 57'6.8 18MT. Fellows 23MS. Edozie 9FC. Larin↓ 72'6.8 11FL. Dobbin 28FD. Mubama

Coach: Tonda Eckert

Substitutes

31GD. Bielica 16DJ. Meghoma↓ 65'6.6 22DZ. Swanson↓ 77'6.1 38ME. Adams↓ 65'7.6 19MR. Shein 37MI. Mohamed 32ME. Kenny 9FC. Bishop↓ 65'7.0 25FR. K.-McQueen↓ 46'6.2

Coach: John Mousinho

Top stats

51%Possession49%

1.28Expected goals (xG)1.18

7Total shots16

3Shots on target3

4Big chances1

2Corners4

Shots

2Shots off target9

2Blocked shots4

6Shots inside box10

1Shots outside box6

1Big chances scored0

3Big chances missed1

1.25Goals prevented0.09

Attack

15Touches in box34

65Final third entries54

1Offsides3

15Free kicks11

5Fouled in final third2

Passing

402Passes371

329Accurate passes304

19/52 (37%)Long balls27/47 (57%)

3/15 (20%)Crosses4/22 (18%)

16Throw-ins21

Duels

53Duels47

30/59 (51%)Ground duels29/59 (49%)

13/22 (59%)Aerial duels9/22 (41%)

6/9 (67%)Dribbles9/18 (50%)

6Dispossessed2

Defending

11Tackles9

64Tackles won67

10Interceptions5

39Clearances21

31Recoveries39

Discipline

11Fouls15

5Yellow cards3

1Red cards0

Goalkeeping

3Saves2

12Goal kicks3

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers

Southampton 60%

22%

Portsmouth 18%

1X2Southampton to win 60% · 1.95 @ William Hill

CornersOver 9.5 corners 58% · 1.57 @ betfair

CornersOver 8.5 corners 69% · 1.30 @ betfair

Who winsSouthampton to win (DNB) 71% · 1.23 @ Betano

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 57% · 3.80 @ William Hill

BTTSBoth teams to score 55% · 3.25 @ Bet365

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 78% · 1.91 @ William Hill

1X2Draw 22% · 2.77 @ 1xBet

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 65% · 1.50 @ Bet365

1X2Portsmouth to win 18% · 4.80 @ 1xBet

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 53% · 2.03 @ Pinnacle

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

1.57

Southampton

4.20

Draw

5.11

Portsmouth

Double Chanceconsensus

1.15

Southampton or Draw

1.21

Southampton or Portsmouth

2.30

Draw or Portsmouth

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.65

Yes

2.15

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

2.90

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

9.50

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.02

Over 0.50

13.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.20

Over 1.50

4.50

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.64

Over 2.50

2.21

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.62

Over 3.50

1.47

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

4.50

Over 4.50

1.19

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.21

Southampton

4.00

Portsmouth

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.12

Over 7.50

4.59

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.25

Over 8.50

3.23

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.48

Over 9.50

2.39

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

1.81

Over 10.50

1.92

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

2.21

Over 11.50

1.64

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.

Southampton to win or draw

✓

82% confidence

A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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