Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Burnley are heavy favorites at home, and they should be** — Charlton haven't won in five and are bracing for a trip to Turf Moor where the hosts have found their groove. 🔥
Burnley's mixed form hides a decent foundation: the 4-0 demolition of Watford shows they can turn it on, though defensive wobbles (that 1-3 loss to Swansea) keep things spicy. Charlton, meanwhile, are grinding out draws but can't find the winner — three in their last five is a damning stat for a side chasing promotion.
Key storylines:
- **Burnley's firepower** (Ramsey, Ramazani, Bruun Larsen) should feast on a Charlton backline that's kept just one clean sheet in five
- **Depth issues** don't stop Burnley: missing Satpayev, Mejbri, and Beyer, but Laurent and Raghouber anchor midfield solidly
- **Charlton's draw culture** — they've settled for 1-1 and 0-0 too often; they need a spark from Campbell or Leaburn to threaten
Expected lineups:
- **Burnley**: M. Weiss, K. Walker, C. Roberts, B. Humphreys, A. Ramsey, J. Bruun Larsen, L. Ramazani
- **Charlton Athletic**: T. Brooks, L. Jones, D. McNamara, T. Bindon, O. Skipp, M. Leaburn, A. Okonkwo
Prediction:
**Burnley 3-0 Charlton Athletic**
Burnley's edge at home is decisive. Expect them to control and convert early chances. 📍
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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