Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
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**Portsmouth host Sheffield United in a Championship clash where home advantage could be the difference** — the Blades are wobbling with three losses in five, while Pompey's mixed form at least includes a draw at home. 🏟️
Portsmouth have been streaky (1W-2D-2L), but Fratton Park has been cagey — that 0-0 vs Charlton and 2-2 vs Blackburn show they grind it out. Sheffield United's away form is rough: a loss to Fleetwood and a defeat at Stoke suggest they're vulnerable on the road, even if they battered Lincoln at home.
Key storylines:
- **C. Bishop** and **A. Segecic** midfield will need to control possession and limit **B. Brereton Díaz** and **K. Phillips** on the break
- **J. Tanganga** and **J. Baptiste** face a Portsmouth attack buoyed by **J. Swift** and **H. Blair** in a packed front three
- Sheffield United's road woes — **P. Bamford** and **T. Cannon** haven't clicked away from Bramall Lane this season
Expected lineups:
- **Portsmouth**: N. Schmid, Z. Swanson, C. Shaughnessy, B. Arthur, T. Devlin, A. Kamara, A. Segecic, C. Bishop, J. Swift, H. Blair, T. Shade
- **Sheffield United**: M. Cooper, R. Norrington-Davies, J. Tanganga, J. Baptiste, M. Doherty, S. Peck, B. Brereton Díaz, K. Phillips, R. Donovan, P. Bamford, T. Cannon
Prediction:
**Portsmouth 1-1 Sheffield United**
Lean Portsmouth with home turf, but the Blades' defensive shape on the road keeps it tight. Coin flip, really. ⚽
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.
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