Burnley 1-2 Wolverhampton: Stats, xG & Lineups

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Championship ·Fri 16 Oct

Burnley

1–2

HT 1–1

Full time

Wolverhampton

Turf Moor, Burnley · Ref: Lewis Smith

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Burnley 1-2 Wolverhampton.

90+1'

T. Doyle

Attempt saved. T. Doyle (Wolverhampton), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.03.

90+1'

L. Krejčí

Attempt missed. L. Krejčí (Wolverhampton), header from a corner. xG 0.09.

90+1'

Wolverhampton

Corner, Wolverhampton.

90'

4 minutes of added time.

90'

K. Walker

Yellow card for K. Walker (Burnley) for foul.

88'

Wolverhampton

Corner, Wolverhampton.

88'

T. Doyle

Cleared off the line! T. Doyle (Wolverhampton), right-footed shot. xG 0.15.

87'

G. Konan

Substitution, Wolverhampton: L. Krejčí comes on for G. Konan.

87'

R. Saïd

Substitution, Wolverhampton: H. Bueno comes on for R. Saïd.

87'

M. Alleyne

Substitution, Burnley: U. Raghouber comes on for M. Alleyne.

81'

Burnley

Offside, Burnley.

78'

Burnley

Offside, Burnley.

77'

T. Doyle

Attempt missed. T. Doyle (Wolverhampton), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.35.

76'

M. Mané

Attempt saved. M. Mané (Wolverhampton), right-footed shot. xG 0.18.

75'

R. Hatate

Substitution, Burnley: M. Edwards comes on for R. Hatate.

75'

Burnley

Offside, Burnley.

72'

S. Neave

Substitution, Wolverhampton: T. Chirewa comes on for S. Neave.

72'

T. Chirewa

Goal! Burnley 1-2 Wolverhampton. T. Chirewa (Wolverhampton) scores, assisted by M. Mané.

71'

F. López

Substitution, Wolverhampton: T. Doyle comes on for F. López.

70'

S. Neave

Yellow card for S. Neave (Wolverhampton) for foul.

68'

J. Laurent

Attempt saved. J. Laurent (Burnley), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.

67'

Burnley

Corner, Burnley.

67'

L. Pires

Attempt blocked. L. Pires (Burnley), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

63'

R. Hatate

Yellow card for R. Hatate (Burnley) for foul.

62'

Burnley

Offside, Burnley.

61'

J. Bellegarde

Substitution, Wolverhampton: M. Mané comes on for J. Bellegarde.

61'

J. Vardy

Substitution, Burnley: A. Broja comes on for J. Vardy.

61'

J. Bruun Larsen

Substitution, Burnley: D. Satpayev comes on for J. Bruun Larsen.

60'

R. Saïd

Attempt saved. R. Saïd (Wolverhampton), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.03.

60'

J. Tchatchoua

Attempt missed. J. Tchatchoua (Wolverhampton), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.03.

60'

N. Djiga

Attempt missed. N. Djiga (Wolverhampton), header from a corner. xG 0.26.

60'

Wolverhampton

Corner, Wolverhampton.

59'

Wolverhampton

Corner, Wolverhampton.

59'

Wolverhampton

Corner, Wolverhampton.

52'

F. López

Attempt saved. F. López (Wolverhampton), left-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.04.

52'

Wolverhampton

Corner, Wolverhampton.

50'

J. Bruun Larsen

Attempt missed. J. Bruun Larsen (Burnley), left-footed shot. xG 0.11.

49'

S. Neave

Attempt missed. S. Neave (Wolverhampton), header. xG 0.04.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Burnley 1-1 Wolverhampton.

45+2'

J. Laurent

Attempt missed. J. Laurent (Burnley), header from a throw-in. xG 0.04.

45'

2 minutes of added time.

42'

L. Pires

Attempt blocked. L. Pires (Burnley), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

39'

F. López

Goal! Burnley 1-1 Wolverhampton. F. López (Wolverhampton) scores, assisted by S. Neave.

38'

R. Saïd

Attempt saved. R. Saïd (Wolverhampton), right-footed shot. xG 0.08.

35'

R. Saïd

Attempt blocked. R. Saïd (Wolverhampton), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

35'

J. Bellegarde

Attempt missed. J. Bellegarde (Wolverhampton), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

34'

J. Bruun Larsen

Attempt saved. J. Bruun Larsen (Burnley), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

32'

L. Pires

Attempt blocked. L. Pires (Burnley), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.01.

32'

L. Pires

Attempt blocked. L. Pires (Burnley), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.03.

29'

R. Saïd

Attempt missed. R. Saïd (Wolverhampton), right-footed shot. xG 0.01.

27'

Burnley

Offside, Burnley.

27'

M. Munetsi

Attempt blocked. M. Munetsi (Wolverhampton), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

24'

L. Ramazani

Attempt missed. L. Ramazani (Burnley), left-footed shot. xG 0.09.

20'

J. Vardy

Goal! Burnley 1-0 Wolverhampton. J. Vardy (Burnley) scores, assisted by J. Bruun Larsen.

18'

J. Vardy

Attempt missed. J. Vardy (Burnley), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.12.

17'

Burnley

Corner, Burnley.

16'

Burnley

Offside, Burnley.

15'

M. Munetsi

Attempt missed. M. Munetsi (Wolverhampton), right-footed shot. xG 0.01.

14'

Burnley

Offside, Burnley.

11'

L. Ramazani

Attempt blocked. L. Ramazani (Burnley), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

10'

J. Vardy

Attempt saved. J. Vardy (Burnley), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.09.

G. Konan

Attempt blocked. G. Konan (Wolverhampton), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.04.

I. Júlio

Attempt missed. I. Júlio (Burnley), left-footed shot. xG 0.01.

J. Vardy

Attempt missed. J. Vardy (Burnley), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.03.

Burnley

Corner, Burnley.

J. Bellegarde

Attempt missed. J. Bellegarde (Wolverhampton), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

Kick-off: Burnley vs Wolverhampton.

Where the money is

1979796 EUR matched · captured 4 weeks ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 1040202 EUR · live

Away 1.03 · implied 97.1%

52.1%

-45.0 vs price

Home 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

28.0%

+27.9 vs price

Draw 55.0 · implied 1.8%

19.9%

+18.1 vs price

Half time 5015 EUR · live

Draw 5.2 · implied 19.2%

57.7%

+38.4 vs price

Home 1.3 · implied 76.9%

27.8%

-49.1 vs price

Away 32.0 · implied 3.1%

14.5%

+11.3 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 228289 EUR · live

Over 1.72 · implied 58.1%

64.4%

+6.2 vs price

Under 2.38 · implied 42.0%

35.6%

-6.4 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 19089 EUR · live

Under 1.15 · implied 87.0%

88.9%

+2.0 vs price

Over 6.8 · implied 14.7%

11.1%

-3.6 vs price

18 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

20' ⚽ J. Vardy · assist J. Bruun Larsen1–0

39' ⚽ F. López · assist S. Neave1–1

Half-time · 1–1

61' 🔁 D. Satpayev ◂ J. Bruun Larsen

61' 🔁 A. Broja ◂ J. Vardy

61' 🔁 M. Mané ◂ J. Bellegarde

63' R. Hatate · Foul

70' S. Neave · Foul

71' 🔁 T. Doyle ◂ F. López

72' ⚽ T. Chirewa · assist M. Mané1–2

72' 🔁 T. Chirewa ◂ S. Neave

75' 🔁 M. Edwards ◂ R. Hatate

87' 🔁 U. Raghouber ◂ M. Alleyne

87' 🔁 H. Bueno ◂ R. Saïd

87' 🔁 L. Krejčí ◂ G. Konan

Full-time · 1–2

90' K. Walker · Foul

Coaches

Nicky Hayen

Cesar Peixoto

Recent form

Burnley

DHCharlton Athletic2-2

WAWatford4-0

DHDerby County1-1

LASwansea City1-3

DAWrexham1-1

Wolverhampton

LHBolton Wanderers1-3

LAMiddlesbrough0-1

WHWest Bromwich Albion1-0

LAEverton0-1

WASheffield United1-0

About this match

**Burnley's unbeaten run clashes with Wolves' wobble** — two sides heading in wildly different directions collide at Turf Moor in what could be a statement win for the hosts. 🔥

Burnley's ground out three draws and a win across their last four, looking sticky and hard to break down. Wolves, meanwhile, have dropped three of their last five and got absolutely battered 3-1 at home to Bolton — they need to tighten up *fast*.

Key storylines:

- **Burnley's depth test**: Missing Mejbri and Beyer to hamstring trouble, the Clarets lean on J. Bruun Larsen and A. Ramsey to drive creativity in midfield.
- **Wolves' defending under fire**: Without Jiménez up top and dealing with defensive injury concerns, T. Chirewa and A. Armstrong carry the offensive burden against a compact home side.
- **Burnley's home fortress**: Eight wins in the last 21 H2H meetings show the Clarets own this fixture at Turf Moor.

Expected lineups:

- **Burnley**: M. Weiss, L. Pires, A. Ahmedhodžić, I. Júlio, K. Walker, J. Laurent, U. Raghouber, J. Bruun Larsen, A. Ramsey, M. Edwards, Z. Amdouni
- **Wolverhampton**: J. Sá, H. Bueno, N. Djiga, T. Gomes, J. Tchatchoua, André, M. Munetsi, M. Mané, F. López, T. Chirewa, A. Armstrong

Prediction:

**Burnley 2–0 Wolverhampton**. Clarets edge it through sheer momentum and home advantage. 💪

Where to watch

TOD

Match facts

Stadium

Turf Moor

City

Burnley

Referee

Lewis Smith

3.55 yellows/match · 65 matches

Kickoff

16 Oct, 19:00 UTC

Competition

Championship

Top stats

47%Possession53%

1.0Expected goals (xG)1.82

15Total shots20

4Shots on target8

2Big chances3

3Corners6

Shots

6Shots off target9

5Blocked shots3

8Shots inside box12

7Shots outside box8

1Big chances scored2

1Big chances missed1

-0.53Goals prevented-0.65

Attack

25Touches in box20

62Final third entries45

7Offsides0

9Free kicks13

1Fouled in final third3

Passing

426Passes481

350Accurate passes417

20/55 (36%)Long balls18/37 (49%)

0/10 (0%)Crosses4/18 (22%)

22Throw-ins10

Duels

45Duels55

37/76 (49%)Ground duels39/76 (51%)

6/19 (32%)Aerial duels13/19 (68%)

5/16 (31%)Dribbles8/22 (36%)

7Dispossessed9

Defending

23Tackles18

65Tackles won83

12Interceptions7

17Clearances26

43Recoveries52

Discipline

13Fouls9

2Yellow cards1

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

5Saves3

1Big saves0

14Goal kicks9

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers

Burnley 31%

27%

Wolves 42%

1X2Wolves to win 42% · 2.62 @ Bet365

CornersOver 9.5 corners 53% · 1.93 @ Pinnacle

CornersOver 8.5 corners 64% · 1.57 @ Pinnacle

BTTSBoth teams to score 57% · 3.00 @ Bet365

1X2Draw 27% · 2.55 @ 1xBet

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 52% · 4.20 @ William Hill

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 75% · 2.00 @ William Hill

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 71% · 1.41 @ Pinnacle

Who winsBurnley to win (DNB) 57% · 2.20 @ Betsson

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 59% · 1.57 @ betfair

1X2Burnley to win 31% · 3.42 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

3.10

Burnley

3.50

Draw

2.20

Wolverhampton

Double Chanceconsensus

1.62

Burnley or Draw

1.27

Burnley or Wolverhampton

1.33

Draw or Wolverhampton

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.60

Yes

2.20

Home Win to Nilconsensus

4.75

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

4.00

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.04

Over 0.50

10.90

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.25

Over 1.50

3.90

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.80

Over 2.50

2.00

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.91

Over 3.50

1.37

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

5.73

Over 4.50

1.12

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

2.12

Burnley

1.65

Wolverhampton

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.25

Over 7.50

3.50

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.51

Over 8.50

2.37

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.87

Over 9.50

1.89

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.35

Over 10.50

1.56

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

3.00

Over 11.50

1.32

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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